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Mjallby AIF crestMjallby AIF
v
Red Bull Salzburg crestRed Bull Salzburg

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 17:00

Mjallby AIF v Red Bull Salzburg Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

The UEFA Europa League first-leg qualifier at Strandvallen presents a compelling clash between Mjallby AIF and Red Bull Salzburg. Salzburg arrives unbeaten in seven matches, showcasing a potent attack with an average of 2.67 goals scored and a solid defensive record conceding just 0.83 goals per game. Mjallby, despite recent struggles with four losses in six matches, demonstrated resilience by scoring four goals in their latest 4-3 win, highlighting their capacity to find the net at home. Salzburg's European away difficulties, including a six-match winless streak, add intrigue, while squad absences on both sides introduce tactical uncertainty. This fixture promises a dynamic contest with both teams likely to score.

BT4Y best bet

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score

  • Red Bull Salzburg unbeaten in last seven matches with strong scoring form
  • Mjallby AIF conceded 1.67 goals per match recently but maintain home scoring ability
  • Salzburg’s European away record shows six matches without a win, including heavy defeats in Sweden
  • Recent squad absences for Salzburg may affect defensive stability
  • Combination of Salzburg’s attack and Mjallby’s defensive vulnerabilities supports BTTS outcome

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Red Bull Salzburg to win with both teams scoring based on Salzburg's impressive recent form, averaging 2.67 goals per game while conceding under one. Mjallby's tendency to concede 1.67 goals per match combined with their ability to score at home supports the likelihood of both sides finding the net. Despite Salzburg’s European away struggles, their attacking volume and Mjallby’s defensive fragility create a strong case for a high-scoring Salzburg victory. The current offer positive value with a 9.1% edge, reflecting the model’s in this outcome. The limited data for Mjallby suggests line-ups and tactical adjustments could influence the final result.

Salzburg scoring rate2.67 goals per game
Strong positive
Mjallby goals conceded1.67 goals per game
Positive
European away form for Salzburgwinless in last six away matches
Neutral
Current odds3.1 decimal, 32.3% implied chance
Positive
Data qualityLimited data for Mjallby
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Red Bull Salzburg’s strong attacking form combined with Mjallby’s defensive vulnerabilities suggests Salzburg will secure victory while both teams score. Salzburg’s ability to score consistently and Mjallby’s home scoring record underpin this selection, despite Salzburg’s recent European away challenges. The bet balances Salzburg’s momentum with Mjallby’s scoring threat effectively.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and scoring

“Salzburg’s attacking prowess meets Mjallby’s defensive frailties in a fixture likely to produce goals at both ends, making a Salzburg win with both teams scoring a compelling tactical and statistical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Red Bull Salzburg unbeaten in last seven matches with strong scoring form

Mjallby AIF conceded 1.67 goals per match recently but maintain home scoring ability

Salzburg’s European away record shows six matches without a win, including heavy defeats in Sweden

Recent squad absences for Salzburg may affect defensive stability

What To Watch In The Data

Red Bull Salzburg to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six matches, Salzburg’s average of 2.67 goals per game and Mjallby’s concession rate of 1.67 suggest a trend towards higher-scoring games.
  • Salzburg’s European away matches have included high-scoring draws and defeats, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that increase the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals.
  • The tempo and attacking intent from both sides support a match with multiple goals.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mjallby AIF

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Mjallby AIF yet.

Red Bull Salzburg

DW
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
13 Aug 2026A Pafos3-3
06 Aug 2026H Pafos1-0
Market aligned with main pickRed Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +4.2 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
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Red Bull Salzburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Salzburg’s unbeaten run of seven matches, including four wins and two draws in their last six, highlights strong momentum and attacking consistency. Mjallby’s recent form is mixed, with four losses in six matches but a notable 4-3 win demonstrating scoring capability. Salzburg’s defensive solidity contrasts with Mjallby’s higher goals conceded, reinforcing Salzburg’s advantage but also the likelihood of both teams scoring.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mjallby AIF-
Avg goals scored
Red Bull Salzburg2
Mjallby AIF-
Avg goals conceded
Red Bull Salzburg1.5
Mjallby AIF-
BTTS rate
Red Bull Salzburg50%
Mjallby AIF-
Over 2.5 goals
Red Bull Salzburg50%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 43% · edge +11.4 pts
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Both teams have shown recent scoring ability, with Salzburg averaging 2.67 goals per game and Mjallby scoring at home despite defensive lapses. Mjallby’s concession rate of 1.67 goals per match and Salzburg’s European away defensive cracks support a fixture with goals at both ends. The tactical emphasis on wide play and transition threat by Salzburg further increases scoring chances for both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRed Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +4.2 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Red Bull Salzburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
The of 3.1 for Red Bull Salzburg to win and both teams to score reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model estimating a 41.4% chance against a 32.3% implied probability. This suggests the market underestimates Salzburg’s attacking potential combined with Mjallby’s ability to score. The price is attractive given Salzburg’s recent scoring form and Mjallby’s defensive concessions, making this a price-sensitive but value-positive market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Mjallby AIF wins
0Draws
0Red Bull Salzburg wins
Market aligned with main pickRed Bull Salzburg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 59% · edge +6.6 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
No previous head-to-head matches exist between Mjallby AIF and Red Bull Salzburg, limiting direct historical comparison. Therefore, tactical context, recent form, and statistical trends carry greater weight in assessing this fixture’s likely outcome.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mjallby AIF-
Avg corners for
Red Bull Salzburg13
Mjallby AIF-
Avg total corners
Red Bull Salzburg13
Mjallby AIF-
Avg yellow cards
Red Bull Salzburg1
Mjallby AIF-
Avg shots
Red Bull Salzburg0
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 55% · edge +14.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Red Bull Salzburg’s aggressive attacking style generates significant pressure, reflected in their average of 13 corners per match and consistent shots on target. Mjallby’s defensive vulnerabilities and fouling profile suggest a contested match with set-piece opportunities and disciplinary risks. Salzburg’s low average of one yellow card per game indicates disciplined play, which may help maintain attacking momentum and limit disruptions.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

Mjallby AIF0
Played
Red Bull Salzburg2
Mjallby AIF0
Avg goals for
Red Bull Salzburg2
Mjallby AIF0
Avg goals against
Red Bull Salzburg1.5
Mjallby AIF0
Clean sheets
Red Bull Salzburg1
Market aligned with main pickRed Bull Salzburg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +4.2 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Red Bull Salzburg to WinBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Salzburg’s season-long scoring average of 2.67 goals per game and low concession rate of 0.83 underpin their offensive strength and defensive discipline. Mjallby’s season stats reveal a tendency to concede frequently, with 1.67 goals allowed per match, but maintain a capacity to score at home. These season-long trends support a high-scoring Salzburg win with both teams finding the net.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Mjallby AIF Over 2.5
50%Red Bull Salzburg Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, Salzburg’s average of 2.67 goals per game and Mjallby’s concession rate of 1.67 suggest a trend towards higher-scoring games. Salzburg’s European away matches have included high-scoring draws and defeats, indicating defensive vulnerabilities that increase the likelihood of Over 2.5 goals. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides support a match with multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.