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Portsmouth crestPortsmouth
v
Cardiff crestCardiff

Championship | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Portsmouth v Cardiff Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Portsmouth face Cardiff in Championship on Sat 05 Sep, 15:00. Defensive absences and recent form suggest goals at both ends, supporting the Both Teams To Score YES selection as a solid choice for this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 10/1, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 9%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 24%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Portsmouth show a 75% BTTS rate and Cardiff show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Portsmouth average 1.25 goals scored and Cardiff average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 24% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 9% implied by the current price. Portsmouth show a 75% BTTS rate and Cardiff show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price24% model chance against roughly 9% implied
Strong positive
Portsmouth show a 75% BTTS rate and Cardiff show a.Visible data support
Positive
Portsmouth average 1.25 goals scored and Cardiff average 1.5, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Portsmouth show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Cardiff show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Portsmouth show a 75% BTTS rate and Cardiff show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Portsmouth average 1.25 goals scored and Cardiff average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Portsmouth1.25
Avg goals scored
Cardiff1.5
Portsmouth2
Avg goals conceded
Cardiff1.75
Portsmouth75%
BTTS rate
Cardiff100%
Portsmouth75%
Over 2.5 goals
Cardiff75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Cardiff to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cardiff Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Portsmouth6.67
Avg corners for
Cardiff8.25
Portsmouth11
Avg total corners
Cardiff13.5
Portsmouth0.67
Avg yellow cards
Cardiff1.5
Portsmouth17
Avg shots
Cardiff16
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 69% · edge -0.4 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price · model 52%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Portsmouth

LLWL
Last 51W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 3L
01 Sep 2026H Derby0-2
29 Aug 2026A Bristol City1-2
22 Aug 2026A Lincoln3-1
15 Aug 2026H QPR1-3

Cardiff

LDDD
Last 50W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 3D 1L
02 Sep 2026A QPR1-2
29 Aug 2026H Sheffield Utd2-2
22 Aug 2026A Derby2-2
17 Aug 2026H Wrexham1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 65% · edge +7.8 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Cardiff to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 69%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Cardiff Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Portsmouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Portsmouth wins
1Draws
3Cardiff wins
11 Feb 2025Portsmouth v Cardiff2-1
22 Oct 2024Cardiff v Portsmouth2-0
09 Aug 2022Cardiff v Portsmouth0-3
08 Aug 2017Cardiff v Portsmouth2-1
21 Jan 2012Cardiff v Portsmouth3-2
27 Aug 2011Portsmouth v Cardiff1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 64% · edge +12.3 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 72%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Cardiff to WinBetUK guide price · model 44%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Portsmouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
DrawBetfred guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Portsmouth4
Played
Cardiff4
Portsmouth1.3
Avg goals for
Cardiff1.5
Portsmouth2
Avg goals against
Cardiff1.8
Portsmouth0
Clean sheets
Cardiff0
Best odds for this sectionCardiff to WinBetUK guide price · Model 44% vs implied 35% · edge +9.7 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
Cardiff Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Portsmouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 40%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Season data supports Cardiff to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
19Cardiff34031-1
21Portsmouth34103-3
Portsmouth sit in position 21, while Cardiff sit in position 19, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Portsmouth Over 2.5
75%Cardiff Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Portsmouth sit at 75% and Cardiff sit at 75% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Portsmouth v Cardiff prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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