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Preston crestPreston
v
Blackburn crestBlackburn

Championship | Sat 05 Sep, 12:30

Preston v Blackburn Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Preston and Blackburn meet at Deepdale in a Championship derby marked by contrasting challenges. Preston have lost all four league matches, conceding 11 goals, highlighting defensive frailty that Blackburn can exploit. Blackburn, despite limited chance creation and a recent goalless draw at Lincoln, have scored five goals in four games, showing opportunistic scoring ability. Both teams have found the net recently, setting the stage for an open contest where defensive vulnerabilities and attacking resilience will be key. The fixture carries urgency for Preston to halt their poor run, while Blackburn seek to capitalize on their scoring potential despite inconsistent performances.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Preston have conceded 11 goals in four league matches, showing defensive weakness.
  • Blackburn have scored five goals in four games despite limited shot volume.
  • Both teams have scored in 75% of recent matches, supporting BTTS.
  • Recent Deepdale derbies have featured goals from both sides.
  • Blackburn's low chance creation contrasts with Preston's defensive lapses, suggesting goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% chance, well above the implied market probability of 57.9%, indicating strong value. Preston's high concession rate and Blackburn's consistent scoring despite limited chances create a credible scenario for goals at both ends. The tactical read highlights Preston's defensive struggles and Blackburn's opportunistic attack, reinforcing the likelihood of both teams scoring. is high at 85%, reflecting robust data support and football context. No price warnings apply, making this a solid selection based on current form and team dynamics.

Model Chance vs Market76% vs 57.9%
Strong positive
Preston Defensive Record11 goals conceded in 4 matches
Strong positive
Blackburn Scoring Output5 goals in 4 matches
Positive
Recent BTTS Rate75% for both teams
Positive
Confidence Level85%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Teams to Score is a fitting pick given Preston's defensive vulnerabilities and Blackburn's ability to find the net despite limited chances. The tactical setup suggests an open game with goals at both ends, supported by recent scoring patterns and derby history. This bet captures the balance between Preston's need to improve defensively and Blackburn's opportunistic attack.

Main risk

Their 0-0 draw at Lincoln then supplied a different concern: they were already under pressure before Tom Atcheson’s second-half dismissal and finished with only two efforts on target.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“Preston's porous defense combined with Blackburn's knack for scoring even with few chances makes Both Teams to Score a compelling angle. The fixture's intensity and recent form data align well with this outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Preston have conceded 11 goals in four league matches, showing defensive weakness.

Blackburn have scored five goals in four games despite limited shot volume.

Both teams have scored in 75% of recent matches, supporting BTTS.

Recent Deepdale derbies have featured goals from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, with a strong trend toward Over 2.5 goals in recent matches.
  • Both teams have a 75% rate of BTTS in their recent fixtures, indicating a pattern of open games with goals at both ends.
  • This trend suggests a tempo and chance quality that favors multiple goals, supporting the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Preston0.75
Avg goals scored
Blackburn1.25
Preston2.25
Avg goals conceded
Blackburn1.25
Preston75%
BTTS rate
Blackburn75%
Preston75%
Over 2.5 goals
Blackburn75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 34%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have scored in 75% of their recent matches, with Preston conceding 2.25 goals per game and Blackburn scoring 1.25 per game. This balance of defensive frailty and attacking output supports a BTTS outcome. The tactical context of Preston's defensive lapses and Blackburn's opportunistic scoring underlines the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Blackburn Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Blackburn to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Preston Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at implying a 57.9% chance, while the model estimates a 76% likelihood, indicating clear value. The price reflects cautious market sentiment due to Blackburn's inconsistent attacking threat, but Preston's defensive record justifies backing BTTS with . movement toward 1.8 or higher would enhance value further.

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Useful next reads

Championship hubPreston v Blackburn predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Preston4
Avg corners for
Blackburn4.5
Preston8.5
Avg total corners
Blackburn12
Preston2.5
Avg yellow cards
Blackburn4
Preston13.25
Avg shots
Blackburn7
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Preston average 4.67 corners and 14.33 shots per game with 2.33 shots on target, while Blackburn average 5 corners and 10 shots with 2 on target. Both teams show moderate attacking pressure and set-piece involvement. Blackburn's higher average yellows (3.5) versus Preston's 2.33 suggests a physical contest that could lead to fouls and set-piece chances, contributing to goal opportunities.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Preston

LLLL
Last 50W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 4L
01 Sep 2026H Bristol City1-3
29 Aug 2026A Charlton0-1
22 Aug 2026H Wolves1-3
15 Aug 2026A Bolton1-2

Blackburn

DLWD
Last 51W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 1L
01 Sep 2026A Lincoln0-0
29 Aug 2026H QPR1-2
22 Aug 2026H Middlesbrough2-1
14 Aug 2026A Wolves2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Blackburn Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Blackburn to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Preston Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Preston to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Preston have yet to earn points this season, scoring 0.75 goals per game but conceding 2.25, reflecting defensive issues. Blackburn have collected 5 points, scoring 1.25 goals and conceding 1.25 per game. Both teams have a 75% rate of BTTS in recent matches, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Preston wins
3Draws
5Blackburn wins
20 Feb 2026Blackburn v Preston1-0
21 Nov 2025Preston v Blackburn1-2
31 Jan 2025Blackburn v Preston2-1
22 Sep 2024Preston v Blackburn0-0
17 Feb 2024Preston v Blackburn2-2
10 Nov 2023Blackburn v Preston1-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 65%
2
Check odds @ 2
Blackburn to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Preston to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
The ten recent head-to-head matches between Preston and Blackburn average 2.7 goals per game, with Blackburn winning three of the last five encounters. While Blackburn have a stronger overall record, two of the last three Deepdale meetings ended in draws, indicating competitive balance. The H2H data moderately supports the BTTS pick given the frequency of goals and balanced outcomes in recent derbies.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Preston4
Played
Blackburn4
Preston0.8
Avg goals for
Blackburn1.3
Preston2.3
Avg goals against
Blackburn1.3
Preston0
Clean sheets
Blackburn1
Best odds for this sectionBlackburn Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
Blackburn to WinBetUK guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Preston Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Preston to WinBetUK guide price · model 27%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Preston's season stats reveal a porous defense conceding 11 goals in four games, while Blackburn's attack has produced five goals despite limited chance creation. Both teams' BTTS rates of 75% align with their season-long patterns, supporting the selection. Preston's defensive struggles and Blackburn's opportunistic scoring create a tactical environment conducive to both teams scoring.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Blackburn541210
24Preston04004-6
Preston sit bottom of the Championship with zero points, reflecting urgent need to improve results. Blackburn are mid-table with five points, showing more stability but inconsistent performances. The standings highlight Preston's pressure to score and avoid defeat, while Blackburn's position allows them to play with some freedom, both factors encouraging attacking intent and goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Preston Over 2.5
75%Blackburn Over 2.5
2.7H2H avg goals
In the last ten meetings, the average goals per game is 2.7, with a strong trend toward Over 2.5 goals in recent matches. Both teams have a 75% rate of BTTS in their recent fixtures, indicating a pattern of open games with goals at both ends. This trend suggests a tempo and chance quality that favors multiple goals, supporting the BTTS selection.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Preston v Blackburn prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Betting context

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