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Burnley crestBurnley
v
Bristol City crestBristol City

Championship | Sat 05 Sep, 15:00

Burnley v Bristol City Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Burnley face Bristol City in Championship on Sat 05 Sep, 15:00. Bristol City have scored seven times in four league games and conceded six. Burnley’s attack and Bristol City’s defensive weaknesses support a 2-1 home win, matching recent scoring trends and historical narrow victories.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 8/11, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 58%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Burnley’s steady scoring and Bristol City’s consistent away goals, combined with both teams’ defensive lapses, make Both Teams To Score the logical choice.
  • Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate and Bristol City show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Burnley average 1.25 goals scored and Bristol City average 1.75, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 58% implied by the current price. Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate and Bristol City show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Burnley’s steady scoring and Bristol City’s consistent away goals, combined with both teams’ defensive lapses, make Both Teams To Score the logical choice.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 58% implied
Strong positive
Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate and Bristol City show.Visible data support
Positive
Burnley average 1.25 goals scored and Bristol City average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Burnley’s steady scoring and Bristol City’s consistent away goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because burnley’s steady scoring and Bristol City’s consistent away goals, combined with both teams’ defensive lapses, make Both Teams To Score the logical choice. Burnley show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Bristol City show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Burnley’s steady scoring and Bristol City’s consistent away goals, combined with both teams’ defensive lapses, make Both Teams.

Burnley show a 100% BTTS rate and Bristol City show a 75% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Burnley average 1.25 goals scored and Bristol City average 1.75, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Burnley1.25
Avg goals scored
Bristol City1.75
Burnley2.5
Avg goals conceded
Bristol City1.5
Burnley100%
BTTS rate
Bristol City75%
Burnley75%
Over 2.5 goals
Bristol City75%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bristol City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Bristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Burnley5
Avg corners for
Bristol City3.67
Burnley8.25
Avg total corners
Bristol City9.67
Burnley2
Avg yellow cards
Bristol City1
Burnley14
Avg shots
Bristol City11.33
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 50% · edge +7.5 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 48%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Burnley

DLLD
Last 50W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 2D 2L
02 Sep 2026H Middlesbrough1-1
29 Aug 2026A Norwich1-4
23 Aug 2026A West Brom1-3
16 Aug 2026H West Ham2-2

Bristol City

WWDL
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
01 Sep 2026A Preston3-1
29 Aug 2026H Portsmouth2-1
22 Aug 2026A Birmingham2-2
15 Aug 2026H Millwall0-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Bristol City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Bristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Burnley Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Burnley to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

9Burnley wins
1Draws
0Bristol City wins
29 Mar 2025Burnley v Bristol City1-0
23 Nov 2024Bristol City v Burnley0-1
29 Apr 2023Bristol City v Burnley1-2
17 Sep 2022Burnley v Bristol City2-1
28 Jan 2017Burnley v Bristol City2-0
28 Dec 2015Burnley v Bristol City4-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 71%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Bristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 21%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Burnley to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Burnley4
Played
Bristol City4
Burnley1.3
Avg goals for
Bristol City1.8
Burnley2.5
Avg goals against
Bristol City1.5
Burnley0
Clean sheets
Bristol City0
Best odds for this sectionBristol City Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Bristol City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Burnley Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Burnley to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Bristol City Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Bristol City742111
23Burnley24022-5
Burnley sit in position 23, while Bristol City sit in position 6, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Burnley Over 2.5
75%Bristol City Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Burnley sit at 75% and Bristol City sit at 75% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Burnley v Bristol City prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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