Football Stats Hub

Portsmouth crestPortsmouth
v
Blackburn crestBlackburn

Championship | Sat 19 Sep, 15:00

Portsmouth v Blackburn Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 21:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Blackburn and Portsmouth meet at Ewood Park in a Championship clash shaped by tactical discipline and recent wobbling form. Both teams average around a goal per game and show mirrored struggles in finishing, setting the stage for a tight contest. Blackburn's aggressive high press and wide play aim to force turnovers, while Portsmouth rely on direct balls and set-piece strength, particularly through Colby Bishop. With no injuries reported, both managers can field full squads, making this a tactical battle where a stalemate is a plausible outcome given the defensive resilience and cautious approaches.

BT4Y match pick

Draw

  • Both teams average about one goal per game, indicating a low-scoring match.
  • Blackburn's aggressive pressing and wide crossing meet Portsmouth's aerial strength and set-piece threat.
  • Recent form shows both sides struggling for consistent wins, increasing draw likelihood.
  • Both teams win over 23 aerial duels per match, highlighting physical midfield battles.
  • No injuries or suspensions reported, allowing full-strength lineups for both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The draw is favored due to the statistical similarity between Blackburn and Portsmouth, both averaging roughly one goal per game and showing mirrored finishing struggles. Tactical setups suggest a cautious, physical contest with strong aerial duels and set-piece battles likely to limit clear scoring opportunities. Despite the being lower than the market implied probability, the football context supports a stalemate as both teams have defensive strengths and offensive bluntness. The current price is short, so reduced staking or waiting for better is advised until line-ups or late data improve the value.

Model Chance vs MarketModel chance 25.5% vs market implied 36.4%
Negative
Goal Scoring AveragesBoth teams average ~1 goal per game
Positive
Aerial Duel StrengthBoth sides win 23+ aerial duels per match
Positive
Recent FormBoth teams show inconsistent recent results
Neutral
Line-up StrengthNo injuries or suspensions reported
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The tactical battle between Blackburn's aggressive pressing and Portsmouth's aerial set-piece strength points to a tightly contested match unlikely to produce a decisive winner. Both teams' struggles in clinical finishing and defensive solidity suggest a draw is the most probable outcome, making this selection a sound reflection of the match dynamics and recent form.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“This fixture is a chess match of contrasting styles, with Blackburn's pressing and wide play meeting Portsmouth's set-piece prowess. The balance of strengths and weaknesses on both sides makes a draw the most logical result in this Championship encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Draw evidence

Both teams average about one goal per game, indicating a low-scoring match.

Blackburn's aggressive pressing and wide crossing meet Portsmouth's aerial strength and set-piece threat.

Recent form shows both sides struggling for consistent wins, increasing draw likelihood.

Both teams win over 23 aerial duels per match, highlighting physical midfield battles.

What To Watch In The Data

Draw notes

  • Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.5, suggesting moderate scoring.
  • However, recent trends and tactical setups point to a slower tempo and congested midfield battles, making an Over 2.5 Goals outcome less likely in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Portsmouth1.2
Avg goals scored
Blackburn1.2
Portsmouth1
Avg goals conceded
Blackburn1.4
Portsmouth40%
BTTS rate
Blackburn80%
Portsmouth40%
Over 2.5 goals
Blackburn80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 55% · edge +12.1 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams average around one goal per game and have shown low-scoring matches recently, aligning with an Under 3.5 Goals scenario. Portsmouth's defensive discipline and Blackburn's finishing issues reduce the likelihood of both teams scoring, supporting a cautious BTTS No angle in this fixture.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more Championship analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickDrawBet365 guide price · Model 26% vs implied 29% · edge -3.1 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Portsmouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
The draw market is priced shorter than the model's estimated chance, indicating a price-sensitive selection rather than clear value. The football context supports a draw given both teams' similar scoring and defensive profiles, but the current warrant reduced stakes or waiting for price improvement to enhance value.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Portsmouth6.8
Avg corners for
Blackburn6.8
Portsmouth12.2
Avg total corners
Blackburn10
Portsmouth0.6
Avg yellow cards
Blackburn3
Portsmouth14.4
Avg shots
Blackburn13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Both sides average 6.8 corners per game, reflecting balanced territorial battles with frequent wide play and crossing. Blackburn's aggressive pressing and Portsmouth's set-piece focus suggest a moderate volume of fouls and cards, with Blackburn's higher yellow card average indicating a more physical approach that could influence match tempo.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Portsmouth

DWLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 3L
12 Sep 2026A Charlton0-0
05 Sep 2026H Cardiff2-0
01 Sep 2026H Derby0-2
29 Aug 2026A Bristol City1-2
22 Aug 2026A Lincoln3-1

Blackburn

WLLDL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
12 Sep 2026H Millwall3-1
08 Sep 2026H Sheffield Utd1-2
05 Sep 2026A Preston1-2
01 Sep 2026A Lincoln0-0
29 Aug 2026H QPR1-2
Market aligned with main pickDrawBet365 guide price · Model 26% vs implied 29% · edge -3.1 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 83%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Portsmouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Blackburn Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Blackburn to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Recent form data shows Portsmouth with 7 points and Blackburn with 4 from their last matches, reflecting inconsistent performances. Both teams have conceded around one goal per game, reinforcing the expectation of a tight, low-scoring match where neither side dominates, supporting the draw outcome.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Portsmouth wins
1Draws
3Blackburn wins
07 Mar 2026Blackburn v Portsmouth1-1
13 Dec 2025Portsmouth v Blackburn2-1
29 Mar 2025Portsmouth v Blackburn1-0
15 Jan 2025Blackburn v Portsmouth3-0
13 Feb 2018Portsmouth v Blackburn1-2
21 Oct 2017Blackburn v Portsmouth3-0
Market aligned with main pickDrawBet365 guide price · Model 26% vs implied 29% · edge -3.1 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 61%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Portsmouth to WinBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Blackburn to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The six previous meetings between Blackburn and Portsmouth average 2.5 goals per game, indicating moderately open encounters historically. Nonetheless, current tactical approaches and defensive strengths suggest these past results offer only weak support for expecting a high-scoring or decisive outcome in this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Portsmouth7
Played
Blackburn8
Portsmouth1.3
Avg goals for
Blackburn1.5
Portsmouth1.4
Avg goals against
Blackburn1.5
Portsmouth2
Clean sheets
Blackburn1
Best odds for this sectionPortsmouth to WinBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 47% · edge +11.1 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Portsmouth Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Blackburn Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Blackburn to WinBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Season-long stats reveal both teams scoring approximately one goal per match with similar defensive records. This parity in output and concession rates underscores the likelihood of a balanced game with limited scoring opportunities, consistent with a draw prediction.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
16Blackburn982330
18Portsmouth87223-1
Portsmouth and Blackburn sit close in the Championship table, ranked 18th and 16th respectively, with similar points totals. This proximity adds competitive pressure but does not decisively favor either side, indicating a match where tactical caution and point preservation are priorities, aligning with a draw.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Portsmouth Over 2.5
80%Blackburn Over 2.5
2.5H2H avg goals
Over the last six head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.5, suggesting moderate scoring. However, recent trends and tactical setups point to a slower tempo and congested midfield battles, making an Over 2.5 Goals outcome less likely in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Portsmouth v Blackburn prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Cardiff v CharltonChampionship · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Millwall v West HamChampionship · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Stoke City v Sheffield UtdChampionship · Sat 19 Sep 12:30Burnley v DerbyChampionship · Sat 19 Sep 15:00

Competition and hubs

Championship hubmore Championship analysisrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre