Ponte Preta

CRB

Serie B | Sun 20 Sep, 15:00

Ponte Preta v CRB Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Ponte Preta face CRB in a Serie B clash where the home side are under pressure near the bottom of the table, sitting 20th with just 10 points. CRB, positioned 7th with 45 points, arrive in better form but face a Ponte Preta team eager to avoid defeat at home. Ponte Preta's defensive struggles contrast with CRB's attacking threat, setting up a tactical battle where Ponte Preta's resilience and home advantage could be decisive in a tight encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Ponte Preta Draw No Bet

Ponte Preta have a 45% for Draw No Bet, offering strong value at 5.25 .
CRB average 21.4 shots per game with 7 on target, showing offensive pressure.
Ponte Preta have scored 0 goals recently but maintain a cautious defensive approach.
CRB's BTTS rate is 80%, while Ponte Preta's is 0%, indicating contrasting styles.
Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.7 over 10 matches, suggesting moderate scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Ponte Preta Draw No Bet at 45% chance versus a 19% implied market chance, highlighting significant value. Despite Ponte Preta's low scoring and defensive vulnerabilities, their home resilience and CRB's inconsistency away justify backing Ponte Preta with a safety net. The price reflects an attractive opportunity to back Ponte Preta without full risk, supported by their defensive solidity and CRB's high shot volume but variable finishing. No price warning applies, making this a standard stake recommendation.

Model Chance45%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance19%

Strong positive

Value Edge26%

Strong positive

Confidence Level74

Positive

Ponte Preta Defensive Record2.8 goals conceded per game

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Ponte Preta's home resilience and the Draw No Bet safety net make this a tactically sound pick against a CRB side that creates many chances but may lack clinical finishing. The data supports Ponte Preta's ability to avoid defeat, making this a sensible choice given the contrasting team forms and styles.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical balance

“Backing Ponte Preta Draw No Bet leverages home advantage and CRB's inconsistent finishing, offering a balanced risk approach in a fixture where defensive solidity could prevail.”

Key Data Signals

Ponte Preta Draw No Bet evidence

Ponte Preta have a 45% for Draw No Bet, offering strong value at 5.25 .

CRB average 21.4 shots per game with 7 on target, showing offensive pressure.

Ponte Preta have scored 0 goals recently but maintain a cautious defensive approach.

CRB's BTTS rate is 80%, while Ponte Preta's is 0%, indicating contrasting styles.

What To Watch In The Data

Ponte Preta Draw No Bet notes

In the last 10 matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
Ponte Preta's low recent over 2.5 goals rate (20%) versus CRB's 100% suggests a clash of styles with potential for a controlled tempo and limited goals, aligning with a cautious game plan and supporting the Draw No Bet safety net.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Ponte Preta2.6

Avg corners for

CRB5.2

Ponte Preta11

Avg total corners

CRB8.6

Ponte Preta1.6

Avg yellow cards

CRB1.4

Ponte Preta11.4

Avg shots

CRB21.4

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

CRB averages double the shots (21.4) and corners (5.2) compared to Ponte Preta, indicating territorial control and attacking pressure. Ponte Preta's lower fouling and card rates suggest a disciplined defensive approach, potentially limiting CRB's effectiveness despite their offensive volume. This dynamic supports a tight contest with Ponte Preta aiming to absorb pressure.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Ponte Preta0

Avg goals scored

CRB1.6

Ponte Preta2.8

Avg goals conceded

CRB1.6

Ponte Preta0%

BTTS rate

CRB80%

Ponte Preta20%

Over 2.5 goals

CRB100%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 42% · edge +9.5 pts

2.4

Check odds @ 2.4

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.17

Check odds @ 1.17

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

CRB's high BTTS rate of 80% contrasts sharply with Ponte Preta's 0%, reflecting differing attacking and defensive approaches. The average 2.7 goals in their last 10 meetings suggests moderate scoring, but Ponte Preta's recent low scoring and defensive concessions hint at a cautious game with limited goal flow, favoring a Draw No Bet safety net.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPonte Preta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts

5.25

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Ponte Preta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 9

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

The Ponte Preta Draw No Bet market is priced attractively at 5.25 with a of 45%, indicating strong value. The implied market chance is only 19%, showing the market underestimates Ponte Preta's resilience and potential to avoid defeat. This price sensitivity suggests a compelling opportunity for standard stakes without requiring drift.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Ponte Preta

LLLLL

Last 50W 0D 5L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 2D 8L

15 Sep 2026A Londrina0-6

11 Sep 2026A Sport Recife0-2

06 Sep 2026H São Bernardo0-2

30 Aug 2026A America Mineiro0-2

23 Aug 2026H Avai0-2

CRB

WLWWL

Last 53W 0D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 107W 1D 2L

16 Sep 2026H Sport Recife2-1

10 Sep 2026A Operario-PR0-3

05 Sep 2026H America Mineiro3-1

30 Aug 2026H Criciuma2-1

25 Aug 2026A Juventude1-2

Market aligned with main pickPonte Preta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts

5.25

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Ponte Preta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 9

Ponte Preta have struggled recently, failing to score and conceding 2.8 goals per game, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities. CRB show better form with 9 points and 1.6 goals scored per game, indicating offensive momentum. Despite this, Ponte Preta's home setting and Draw No Bet offer a buffer against recent poor form, suggesting a cautious but optimistic outlook for the home side.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Ponte Preta wins

2Draws

2CRB wins

24 May 2026CRB v Ponte Preta4-2

20 Sep 2024CRB v Ponte Preta0-1

02 Jun 2024Ponte Preta v CRB4-2

25 Nov 2023Ponte Preta v CRB3-0

21 Jul 2023CRB v Ponte Preta1-0

05 Aug 2022CRB v Ponte Preta1-1

Market aligned with main pickPonte Preta to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 26% vs implied 11% · edge +15 pts

Check odds @ 9

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.7 goals, reflecting moderately open games historically. While CRB have generally been more attacking, Ponte Preta's home resilience and tactical adjustments in recent meetings provide a balanced context. The H2H data offers background but is less decisive than current form and tactical setups for this bet.

Season team stats

Serie B

Ponte Preta28

Played

CRB28

Ponte Preta0.6

Avg goals for

CRB1.5

Ponte Preta2.2

Avg goals against

CRB1.4

Ponte Preta2

Clean sheets

CRB7

Market aligned with main pickPonte Preta Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts

5.25

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Ponte Preta to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%

Check odds @ 9

Over the season, Ponte Preta's attack has been ineffective with zero recent goals, while conceding heavily. CRB maintain a balanced attack with 1.6 goals per game and a strong shot profile. These season stats underline Ponte Preta's defensive focus and CRB's offensive pressure, reinforcing the rationale for a Draw No Bet on Ponte Preta to mitigate risk.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
7	CRB	45	28	13	6	9	2
20	Ponte Preta	10	28	2	4	22	-46

Ponte Preta sit 20th with 10 points, under pressure to improve results, while CRB are 7th with 45 points, pushing for promotion. The standings highlight the stakes for Ponte Preta to avoid defeat at home, adding motivation and urgency that supports the Draw No Bet selection as a pragmatic approach.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Ponte Preta Over 2.5

100%CRB Over 2.5

2.7H2H avg goals

In the last 10 matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 2.7, indicating a moderate scoring trend. Ponte Preta's low recent over 2.5 goals rate (20%) versus CRB's 100% suggests a clash of styles with potential for a controlled tempo and limited goals, aligning with a cautious game plan and supporting the Draw No Bet safety net.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Ponte Preta v CRB Stats

Match Report

Ponte Preta Draw No Bet

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Ponte Preta

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Ponte Preta v CRB Stats

Match Report

Ponte Preta Draw No Bet

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Ponte Preta

CRB

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