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Goias crestGoias
v
Avai crestAvai

Serie B | Sun 20 Sep, 20:00

Goias v Avai Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Goias and Avai meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown mixed recent form but a shared tendency to concede and score. Goias have netted and conceded at a rate of 1.2 goals per game, while Avai's matches have been slightly lower scoring but still open. Both teams have struggled for defensive solidity, and with Goias sitting mid-table and Avai fighting to climb, this fixture promises competitive intensity and attacking opportunities on both ends. Tactical setups suggest openness, with neither side able to fully control possession or suppress opponent chances consistently.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Goias score and concede around 1.2 goals per game this season
  • Avai's matches average fewer goals but still show attacking intent
  • Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Goias) and 40% (Avai) recently
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.6 over 10 matches
  • Key attackers like Kadu and Daniel Penha provide goal threats for their teams

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 66.7% chance, well above the implied market chance of 47.6%, indicating strong value. Both Goias and Avai have shown offensive capabilities alongside defensive vulnerabilities, with Goias averaging 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game and Avai maintaining a similar defensive leak. Recent form data supports a decent BTTS frequency, especially from Goias. The attacking profiles of players like Kadu and Daniel Penha further bolster the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations reduce in this assessment.

Model BTTS Chance66.7%
Strong positive
Recent BTTS RatesGoias 60%, Avai 40%
Positive
Market Implied Chance47.6%
Strong positive
Key Player Goal ThreatsKadu (8 goals), Daniel Penha (0.3 goals/90)
Positive
Defensive VulnerabilitiesBoth concede ~1.2 goals per game
Positive
Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS tactical and data balance

“The balance of attacking threat and defensive lapses on both sides makes BTTS a compelling angle here, especially given Goias' higher scoring and conceding rates.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Goias score and concede around 1.2 goals per game this season

Avai's matches average fewer goals but still show attacking intent

Both teams have BTTS rates of 60% (Goias) and 40% (Avai) recently

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.6 over 10 matches

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • This suggests a tempo and openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, which aligns with the BTTS pick.
  • The trend underlines the likelihood of both teams finding the net through open play and transitional chances.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Goias4.6
Avg corners for
Avai3.8
Goias10.2
Avg total corners
Avai9.6
Goias2.2
Avg yellow cards
Avai1.8
Goias11.2
Avg shots
Avai12.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 53% · edge +11 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams average similar corner counts (Goias 4.6, Avai 4.25) and shots per game (Goias 11.2, Avai 13.75), indicating balanced attacking pressure. Yellow card averages are close, with Goias at 2.2 and Avai at 2.0 per game, suggesting a moderately physical contest. The shot volume and set-piece opportunities support an open game conducive to goals.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Goias to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The Both Teams to Score market offers clear value with a of 66.7% versus a market implied chance of 47.6%, indicating a 19.1% . This suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring, likely due to Avai's lower recent BTTS rate. The price is attractive for standard stakes and reflects the attacking and defensive profiles of both teams.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Goias

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
14 Sep 2026A Botafogo SP3-1
10 Sep 2026A Vila Nova0-2
05 Sep 2026H Fortaleza EC0-1
28 Aug 2026H São Bernardo2-1
22 Aug 2026A Cuiaba1-1

Avai

DLLLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
15 Sep 2026H Vila Nova1-1
09 Sep 2026A Fortaleza EC0-1
05 Sep 2026A Novorizontino1-3
30 Aug 2026H Atletico Goianiense0-1
23 Aug 2026A Ponte Preta2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 84% vs implied 85% · edge -0.9 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
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Goias to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Goias have earned 7 points recently, scoring and conceding 1.2 goals per game, showing balanced but open play. Avai's 4 points with a lower scoring rate indicate a more cautious approach but still vulnerable defense. The recent BTTS rates (60% for Goias, 40% for Avai) reflect a reasonable frequency of both teams scoring, supporting the BTTS pick based on current form dynamics.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Goias1.2
Avg goals scored
Avai0.8
Goias1.2
Avg goals conceded
Avai1.2
Goias60%
BTTS rate
Avai40%
Goias40%
Over 2.5 goals
Avai20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Recent form shows Goias with a 60% BTTS rate and Avai at 40%, reflecting a moderate frequency of both teams scoring. The average goals per game in head-to-head matches is 2.6, supporting an open game with goals at both ends. Both teams concede around 1.2 goals per match, reinforcing the likelihood of BTTS through defensive vulnerabilities and attacking opportunities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Goias wins
1Draws
4Avai wins
24 May 2026Avai v Goias0-2
08 Sep 2025Avai v Goias2-1
05 May 2025Goias v Avai2-1
14 Sep 2024Goias v Avai2-1
28 May 2024Avai v Goias2-0
13 Aug 2022Goias v Avai1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Goias to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
The ten previous meetings between Goias and Avai have averaged 2.6 goals per game, supporting an open and competitive fixture. This historical data weakly supports the Both Teams to Score pick, as the goal distribution has been fairly balanced. However, recent tactical changes and player form may have a greater influence on this match's outcome.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Goias392811611-6
17Avai30288614-7
Goias sits 13th with 39 points, while Avai is 17th with 30 points, reflecting a mid-to-lower table battle. While league position shows some pressure on Avai to improve results, it does not strongly dictate defensive or attacking styles here. The standings provide background context but the match's attacking and defensive tendencies are more decisive for BTTS.
Season team stats

Serie B

Goias28
Played
Avai28
Goias1
Avg goals for
Avai1
Goias1.2
Avg goals against
Avai1.3
Goias7
Clean sheets
Avai7
Best odds for this sectionGoias to WinBetUK guide price · Model 59% vs implied 54% · edge +4.5 pts
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Load more odds for this section
Goias Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over the season, Goias and Avai have similar defensive records, conceding around 1.2 goals per game, which suggests defensive frailty. Goias' attack is more productive, averaging 1.2 goals per game compared to Avai's 0.8, but Avai's offensive threat remains credible. These season-long stats underpin the expectation of goals at both ends and support the BTTS market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Goias Over 2.5
20%Avai Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
In the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.6, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. This suggests a tempo and openness conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, which aligns with the BTTS pick. The trend underlines the likelihood of both teams finding the net through open play and transitional chances.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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