Football Stats Hub

Sport Recife crestSport Recife
v
Juventude crestJuventude

Serie B | Sat 19 Sep, 20:30

Sport Recife v Juventude Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sport Recife face Juventude in Serie B on Sat 19 Sep, 20:30. Sport Recife come in with 6 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while Juventude have 8 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Juventude to Win

  • At 3.1, Juventude to Win implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 47%.
  • Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife.
  • Juventude have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Juventude to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sport Recife sit 9 in the table, while Juventude sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 47% for Juventude to Win sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife.

Model chance vs price47% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Juventude have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Juventude Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Juventude to Win evidence

Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Sport Recife.

Juventude have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Juventude Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sport Recife sit 9 in the table, while Juventude sit 2, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Juventude to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sport Recife1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Juventude1.2
    Sport Recife1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Juventude1
    Sport Recife60%
    BTTS rate
    Juventude40%
    Sport Recife80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Juventude40%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 50% · edge +13.3 pts
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    Juventude Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Juventude to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sport Recife5.6
    Avg corners for
    Juventude2.8
    Sport Recife12.8
    Avg total corners
    Juventude8.4
    Sport Recife1.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Juventude2.2
    Sport Recife16.6
    Avg shots
    Juventude13.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sport Recife

    LWLLW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    16 Sep 2026A CRB1-2
    11 Sep 2026H Ponte Preta2-0
    05 Sep 2026A Ceara1-2
    29 Aug 2026A Novorizontino1-2
    24 Aug 2026H America Mineiro3-0

    Juventude

    LWDDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    13 Sep 2026H Athletic Club0-2
    09 Sep 2026A Criciuma2-0
    05 Sep 2026H Atletico Goianiense2-2
    01 Sep 2026A Londrina0-0
    25 Aug 2026H CRB2-1
    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Juventude Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Sport Recife wins
    1Draws
    3Juventude wins
    24 May 2026Juventude v Sport Recife0-1
    05 Nov 2025Sport Recife v Juventude0-2
    15 Jul 2025Juventude v Sport Recife2-0
    17 Oct 2023Juventude v Sport Recife2-2
    23 Jun 2023Sport Recife v Juventude3-0
    06 Oct 2021Sport Recife v Juventude3-1
    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 63%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    2.35
    Check odds @ 2.35
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Juventude to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Sport Recife28
    Played
    Juventude28
    Sport Recife1.3
    Avg goals for
    Juventude1.1
    Sport Recife1
    Avg goals against
    Juventude0.6
    Sport Recife10
    Clean sheets
    Juventude19
    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Juventude Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Season data supports Juventude to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Juventude5028148613
    9Sport Recife4128101179
    Sport Recife sit in position 9, while Juventude sit in position 2, so table pressure belongs in the Juventude to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Sport Recife Over 2.5
    40%Juventude Over 2.5
    2.43H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sport Recife sit at 80% and Juventude sit at 40% with the H2H average at 2.43 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

    Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

    More stats pages

    Vila Nova v America MineiroSerie B · Fri 18 Sep 23:30Ceara v NovorizontinoSerie B · Sat 19 Sep 00:30São Bernardo v Atletico GoianienseSerie B · Sat 19 Sep 01:00Athletic Club v Botafogo SPSerie B · Sat 19 Sep 22:30

    Competition and hubs

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    View match centre