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Carrarese crestCarrarese
v
Benevento crestBenevento

Serie B | Sat 19 Sep, 14:00

Carrarese v Benevento Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Carrarese face Benevento in Serie B on Sat 19 Sep, 14:00. Carrarese come in with 1 recent points and 0.5 goals per match, while Benevento have 4 points and 1.25 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Benevento to Win

  • At 2.4, Benevento to Win implies roughly 42%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • Benevento have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Carrarese.
  • Carrarese have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.25 conceded per match, which helps the Benevento to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Carrarese sit 19 in the table, while Benevento sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Benevento to Win sits against roughly 42% implied by the current price. Benevento have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Carrarese.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 42% implied
Strong positive
Benevento have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Carrarese have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.25 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Benevento Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Benevento have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Carrarese. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Benevento to Win evidence

Benevento have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 1 for Carrarese.

Carrarese have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.25 conceded per match, which helps the Benevento Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Carrarese sit 19 in the table, while Benevento sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Benevento to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Carrarese0.5
    Avg goals scored
    Benevento1.25
    Carrarese1.25
    Avg goals conceded
    Benevento1.25
    Carrarese50%
    BTTS rate
    Benevento75%
    Carrarese25%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Benevento50%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 61%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 25%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBenevento to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Benevento Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Benevento to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Carrarese4.25
    Avg corners for
    Benevento7
    Carrarese9.75
    Avg total corners
    Benevento12.25
    Carrarese1.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Benevento2.5
    Carrarese12
    Avg shots
    Benevento14.25
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 57%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Carrarese

    LLDL
    Last 50W 1D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 1D 3L
    12 Sep 2026A Catanzaro0-1
    05 Sep 2026H Empoli0-1
    29 Aug 2026A Ascoli1-1
    22 Aug 2026H Mantova1-2

    Benevento

    WLDL
    Last 51W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 2L
    11 Sep 2026H Hellas Verona3-1
    05 Sep 2026A Ascoli0-1
    30 Aug 2026H Sudtirol1-1
    22 Aug 2026H Modena1-2
    Market aligned with main pickBenevento to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Benevento Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Carrarese wins
    1Draws
    0Benevento wins
    02 Jun 2024Benevento v Carrarese2-2
    28 May 2024Carrarese v Benevento1-0
    Market aligned with main pickBenevento to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 74%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 43%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Benevento to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Carrarese4
    Played
    Benevento4
    Carrarese0.5
    Avg goals for
    Benevento1.3
    Carrarese1.3
    Avg goals against
    Benevento1.3
    Carrarese0
    Clean sheets
    Benevento0
    Market aligned with main pickBenevento to WinBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Benevento Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 68%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Benevento to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    13Benevento441120
    19Carrarese14013-3
    Carrarese sit in position 19, while Benevento sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Benevento to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    25%Carrarese Over 2.5
    50%Benevento Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Carrarese sit at 25% and Benevento sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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