Cremonese

Virtus Entella

Serie B | Sat 19 Sep, 14:00

Cremonese v Virtus Entella Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cremonese face Virtus Entella in Serie B on Sat 19 Sep, 14:00. Cremonese come in with 4 recent points and 1.25 goals per match, while Virtus Entella have 4 points and 1.75 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

At 2.05, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
The Over 2.5 trend is 75% for Cremonese and 75% for Virtus Entella, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Virtus Entella are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.75 goals per match, with Cremonese at 1.25.
BTTS rates of 50% for Cremonese and 75% for Virtus Entella show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 75% for Cremonese and 75% for Virtus Entella, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied

Strong positive

The Over 2.5 trend is 75% for Cremonese and 75%.Visible data support

Positive

Virtus Entella are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 75% for Cremonese and 75% for Virtus Entella, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 75% for Cremonese and 75% for Virtus Entella, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Virtus Entella are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.75 goals per match, with Cremonese at 1.25.

BTTS rates of 50% for Cremonese and 75% for Virtus Entella show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cremonese1.25

Avg goals scored

Virtus Entella1.75

Cremonese1.75

Avg goals conceded

Virtus Entella1.5

Cremonese50%

BTTS rate

Virtus Entella75%

Cremonese75%

Over 2.5 goals

Virtus Entella75%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Load more odds for this section

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%

1.3

Check odds @ 1.3

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 42%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 29%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 42%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Virtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Cremonese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cremonese5

Avg corners for

Virtus Entella4.25

Cremonese8.5

Avg total corners

Virtus Entella7.75

Cremonese1.5

Avg yellow cards

Virtus Entella1.75

Cremonese13

Avg shots

Virtus Entella14.25

Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 52% vs implied 55% · edge -2.5 pts

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Load more odds for this section

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cremonese

DWLL

Last 51W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 2L

12 Sep 2026A Cesena2-2

06 Sep 2026H Padova3-1

28 Aug 2026H Modena0-3

22 Aug 2026A Empoli0-1

Virtus Entella

WDLL

Last 51W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 2L

11 Sep 2026A Pisa4-1

06 Sep 2026H Vicenza Virtus2-2

29 Aug 2026H Cesena1-2

22 Aug 2026A Sudtirol0-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Load more odds for this section

Virtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Cremonese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Cremonese wins

2Draws

2Virtus Entella wins

16 Mar 2021Virtus Entella v Cremonese0-2

05 Dec 2020Cremonese v Virtus Entella2-1

25 Jan 2020Virtus Entella v Cremonese1-1

31 Aug 2019Cremonese v Virtus Entella0-1

25 Mar 2018Cremonese v Virtus Entella0-1

24 Oct 2017Virtus Entella v Cremonese1-1

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Load more odds for this section

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 42%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Virtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.3

Check odds @ 3.3

Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Cremonese4

Played

Virtus Entella4

Cremonese1.3

Avg goals for

Virtus Entella1.8

Cremonese1.8

Avg goals against

Virtus Entella1.5

Cremonese0

Clean sheets

Virtus Entella0

Best odds for this sectionVirtus Entella to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 36% vs implied 21% · edge +15 pts

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

Load more odds for this section

Virtus Entella Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Cremonese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.95

Check odds @ 1.95

Cremonese to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Season data supports Virtus Entella to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
14	Virtus Entella	4	4	1	1	2	1
15	Cremonese	4	4	1	1	2	-2

Cremonese sit in position 15, while Virtus Entella sit in position 14, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Cremonese Over 2.5

75%Virtus Entella Over 2.5

1.71H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Cremonese sit at 75% and Virtus Entella sit at 75% with the H2H average at 1.71 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Cremonese v Virtus Entella Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Cremonese

Virtus Entella

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Cremonese v Virtus Entella Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Cremonese

Virtus Entella

Related football research

Prediction context

More stats pages

Competition and hubs

Next step