Football Stats Hub

Palermo crestPalermo
v
Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia

Serie B | Sun 23 Aug, 20:00

Palermo v Juve Stabia Stats

Data last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026, 10:49 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Palermo face Juve Stabia in Serie B on Sun 23 Aug, 20:00. Palermo begin this Serie B fixture at Stadio Renzo Barbera with a useful combination of recent momentum and formidable home form.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Palermo to win and both teams to score

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 29%, above the 22% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 5/2, Palermo to win and both teams to score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 22%.
  • Palermo v Juve Stabia: Home Strength Meets a Defence Under Pressure.
Price warning

Palermo to win and both teams to score is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 29% while the model sits nearer 22% (-6.7 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Juve Stabia Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 3.55.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 22% for Palermo to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Palermo v Juve Stabia: Home Strength Meets a Defence Under Pressure.

Model chance vs price22% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Negative
Palermo v Juve Stabia: Home Strength Meets a Defence.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -6.7 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Palermo Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because palermo v Juve Stabia: Home Strength Meets a Defence Under Pressure. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Palermo to win and both teams to score evidence

Palermo v Juve Stabia: Home Strength Meets a Defence Under Pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Palermo to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Palermo wins
2Draws
3Juve Stabia wins
17 Mar 2026Palermo v Juve Stabia2-2
08 Nov 2025Juve Stabia v Palermo1-0
17 May 2025Juve Stabia v Palermo1-0
19 Jan 2025Palermo v Juve Stabia1-0
14 Sep 2024Juve Stabia v Palermo1-3
12 Feb 2022Palermo v Juve Stabia3-1
Market aligned with main pickPalermo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 64% · edge -20.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for Palermo to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Palermo

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Palermo yet.

Juve Stabia

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Juve Stabia yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 89% · edge -16.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Palermo to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Palermo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Palermo-
Avg goals scored
Juve Stabia-
Palermo-
Avg goals conceded
Juve Stabia-
Palermo-
BTTS rate
Juve Stabia-
Palermo-
Over 2.5 goals
Juve Stabia-
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 49% · edge +3.4 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickPalermo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 64% · edge -20.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2
Check odds @ 2
Palermo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Palermo to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Palermo1
Played
Juve Stabia1
Palermo1
Avg goals for
Juve Stabia0
Palermo0
Avg goals against
Juve Stabia1
Palermo1
Clean sheets
Juve Stabia0
Market aligned with main pickPalermo to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 64% · edge -20.7 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Palermo Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Season data supports Palermo to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Palermo311001
20Juve Stabia01001-1
Palermo sit in position 8, while Juve Stabia sit in position 20, so table pressure belongs in the Palermo to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Palermo Over 2.5
-Juve Stabia Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Palermo v Juve Stabia: Home Strength Meets a Defence Under Pressure.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.