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NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen
v
Bodo/Glimt crestBodo/Glimt

UEFA Champions League | Wed 19 Aug, 20:00

NEC Nijmegen v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 09:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

NEC Nijmegen face Bodo/Glimt in UEFA Champions League on Wed 19 Aug, 20:00. NEC Nijmegen come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Bodo/Glimt have 4 points and 3 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • At 1.91, Over 3.5 Goals implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 57%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Bodo/Glimt are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with NEC Nijmegen at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 50% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for Bodo/Glimt show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 57% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price57% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for NEC Nijmegen.Visible data support
Positive
Bodo/Glimt are carrying more of the scoring load at 3.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 3.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 50% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Bodo/Glimt are carrying more of the scoring load at 3 goals per match, with NEC Nijmegen at 1.

BTTS rates of 50% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for Bodo/Glimt show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

NEC Nijmegen1
Avg goals scored
Bodo/Glimt3
NEC Nijmegen0.5
Avg goals conceded
Bodo/Glimt2.5
NEC Nijmegen50%
BTTS rate
Bodo/Glimt100%
NEC Nijmegen50%
Over 2.5 goals
Bodo/Glimt100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 52% · edge +4.6 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%
3
Check odds @ 3
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 3.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for NEC Nijmegen and 100% for Bodo/Glimt, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 71% · edge +3.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 Goals is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

NEC Nijmegen2.5
Avg corners for
Bodo/Glimt5
NEC Nijmegen7
Avg total corners
Bodo/Glimt8
NEC Nijmegen1.5
Avg yellow cards
Bodo/Glimt2
NEC Nijmegen14.5
Avg shots
Bodo/Glimt14.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 54% vs implied 55% · edge -0.8 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 33%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 39%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

NEC Nijmegen

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
11 Aug 2026H Olympiakos Piraeus2-1
04 Aug 2026A Olympiakos Piraeus0-0

Bodo/Glimt

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
11 Aug 2026H Union St. Gilloise3-2
04 Aug 2026A Union St. Gilloise3-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 65% vs implied 65% · edge -0.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 61%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0NEC Nijmegen wins
0Draws
0Bodo/Glimt wins
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 71% · edge +3.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Over 2.5 Goals, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

NEC Nijmegen4
Played
Bodo/Glimt5
NEC Nijmegen0.8
Avg goals for
Bodo/Glimt2.4
NEC Nijmegen1.8
Avg goals against
Bodo/Glimt2.2
NEC Nijmegen1
Clean sheets
Bodo/Glimt1
Best odds for this sectionBodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 51% · edge -3 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Bodo/Glimt Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
36Bodo/Glimt01001-5
UEFA Champions League standings are background only here: the useful read is whether the form and chance profile translate into control, territory and clear openings in this specific fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5
100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: NEC Nijmegen sit at 50% and Bodo/Glimt sit at 100%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Competition and hubs

UEFA Champions League hubUEFA Champions League fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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