NEC Nijmegen

Bodo/Glimt

UEFA Champions League | Wed 19 Aug, 20:00

NEC Nijmegen v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 07:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Champions League clash features NEC Nijmegen hosting Bodo/Glimt in a fixture where attacking intent and open play are expected. Both teams have shown offensive capabilities recently, with Bodo/Glimt particularly prolific in front of goal. NEC Nijmegen's tactical approach tends to encourage forward momentum, while Bodo/Glimt's high-scoring form suggests a lively encounter. The match stakes and contrasting defensive records set the stage for a potentially goal-rich game, with both sides likely to push for early control and scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Bodo/Glimt has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong scoring form.
NEC Nijmegen averages 14.5 shots per game with 5.5 on target, showing offensive pressure.
Bodo/Glimt concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.
Both teams have a combined recent BTTS rate supporting goal-scoring chances.
Model projects a 57% chance for Over 3.5 Goals, with positive value at 2.1 .

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Over 3.5 Goals due to Bodo/Glimt's consistent high-scoring matches and NEC Nijmegen's active attacking play, averaging 14.5 shots per game. Bodo/Glimt's defensive record also suggests openness at the back, increasing goal opportunities. The 57% exceeds the implied market probability, indicating positive value. The data quality is solid with balanced sample sizes, supporting in the attacking outlook for this Champions League fixture.

Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% recent matches

Strong positive

NEC Nijmegen Average Shots14.5 per game

Positive

Bodo/Glimt Goals Against2.5 per game

Positive

Model Probability57% chance Over 3.5 Goals

Strong positive

Market Implied Probability47.6%

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Bodo/Glimt's high scoring form meets NEC Nijmegen's active offense. The data shows both teams create and concede chances, making Over 3.5 Goals a plausible outcome in this Champions League encounter.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match attacking dynamics

“Bodo/Glimt's offensive firepower combined with NEC Nijmegen's willingness to push forward sets up a fixture ripe for multiple goals. The defensive gaps on both sides should lead to a lively, high-scoring match.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Bodo/Glimt has a 100% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches, indicating strong scoring form.

NEC Nijmegen averages 14.5 shots per game with 5.5 on target, showing offensive pressure.

Bodo/Glimt concedes an average of 2.5 goals per game, suggesting defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have a combined recent BTTS rate supporting goal-scoring chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

Analysis of recent matches and team trends over the last five fixtures highlights a strong pattern of games exceeding 2.5 goals, particularly for Bodo/Glimt.
The tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest that this fixture will continue the trend of high-scoring encounters, driven by offensive transitions and defensive vulnerabilities.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

NEC Nijmegen1

Avg goals scored

Bodo/Glimt3

NEC Nijmegen0.5

Avg goals conceded

Bodo/Glimt2.5

NEC Nijmegen50%

BTTS rate

Bodo/Glimt100%

NEC Nijmegen50%

Over 2.5 goals

Bodo/Glimt100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 48% · edge +9.4 pts

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%

1.12

Check odds @ 1.12

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 29%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Recent form data shows Bodo/Glimt consistently participates in high-scoring matches, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and frequent BTTS outcomes. NEC Nijmegen also contributes to goal opportunities with a 50% BTTS rate, highlighting a match environment conducive to multiple goals.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.1 with a of 57%, indicating positive value. The market's implied probability is lower, suggesting bettors may underestimate the likelihood of a high-scoring game given both teams' offensive and defensive profiles.

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UEFA Champions League fixtures and predictions corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

NEC Nijmegen2.5

Avg corners for

Bodo/Glimt5

NEC Nijmegen7

Avg total corners

Bodo/Glimt8

NEC Nijmegen1.5

Avg yellow cards

Bodo/Glimt2

NEC Nijmegen14.5

Avg shots

Bodo/Glimt14.5

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 54% · edge -21.3 pts

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

NEC Nijmegen averages 2.5 corners per game and 14.5 shots with 5.5 on target, reflecting sustained attacking pressure. Bodo/Glimt's lower corner count contrasts with their offensive efficiency. Both teams show moderate card counts, indicating competitive but not overly aggressive play, supporting open attacking phases.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

NEC Nijmegen

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

11 Aug 2026H Olympiakos Piraeus2-1

04 Aug 2026A Olympiakos Piraeus0-0

Bodo/Glimt

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

11 Aug 2026H Union St. Gilloise3-2

04 Aug 2026A Union St. Gilloise3-3

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 65% · edge +9.1 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 66%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Bodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 56%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Bodo/Glimt's recent matches show a strong inclination towards high-scoring games, with all recent fixtures exceeding 2.5 goals. NEC Nijmegen's form supports this trend, with half of their recent games also surpassing this threshold. The combined attacking momentum suggests a continuation of this pattern in the upcoming match.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0NEC Nijmegen wins

0Draws

0Bodo/Glimt wins

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 69% · edge +5.6 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

No previous head-to-head meetings exist between NEC Nijmegen and Bodo/Glimt, limiting direct comparative insights. Therefore, current form and team statistics carry greater weight in anticipating a high-scoring match rather than historical matchup data.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

NEC Nijmegen2

Played

Bodo/Glimt2

NEC Nijmegen1

Avg goals for

Bodo/Glimt3

NEC Nijmegen0.5

Avg goals against

Bodo/Glimt2.5

NEC Nijmegen1

Clean sheets

Bodo/Glimt0

Best odds for this sectionBodo/Glimt Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 53% · edge +3.4 pts

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

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Bodo/Glimt to WinBetMGM guide price · model 46%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 48%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 38%

2.45

Check odds @ 2.45

Season-long statistics reveal Bodo/Glimt's potent attack averaging multiple goals per game, paired with a leaky defense conceding 2.5 goals on average. NEC Nijmegen's offensive output is moderate but supported by a solid shot volume, indicating potential for goal-rich exchanges consistent with Over 3.5 Goals.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5

100%Bodo/Glimt Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

Analysis of recent matches and team trends over the last five fixtures highlights a strong pattern of games exceeding 2.5 goals, particularly for Bodo/Glimt. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest that this fixture will continue the trend of high-scoring encounters, driven by offensive transitions and defensive vulnerabilities.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

NEC Nijmegen v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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NEC Nijmegen

Bodo/Glimt

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NEC Nijmegen v Bodo/Glimt Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

NEC Nijmegen

Bodo/Glimt

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