Juventus

Parma

Serie A | Sat 29 Aug, 19:45

Juventus v Parma Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 14:40 UK time

BT4Y best bet

Under 2

At 5/4, Under 2 implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
His absence reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game while new players adjust.
The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Juventus and 0% for Parma, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Juventus are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Parma at 0.
BTTS rates of 0% for Juventus and 0% for Parma show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Under 2 sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Juventus and 0% for Parma, so the goals angle is not just a price call. His absence reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game while new players adjust.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 44% implied

Strong positive

The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Juventus and 0%.Visible data support

Positive

Juventus are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.Visible data support

Positive

His absence reduces the likelihood of a high-scoring game.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under that scoring level is the preferred angle because juventus's low scoring and Parma's defensive concession suggest a low-scoring game. Juventus are carrying more of the scoring load at that scoring level per match, with Parma at 0. Juventus clearly generated pressure, but one goal from that volume leaves room for improvement in conversion.

Main risk

Juventus clearly generated pressure, but one goal from that volume leaves room for improvement in conversion.

Key Data Signals

Under 2 evidence

Juventus's low scoring and Parma's defensive concession suggest a low-scoring game.

Juventus are carrying more of the scoring load at 1 goals per match, with Parma at 0.

BTTS rates of 0% for Juventus and 0% for Parma show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2 notes

The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Juventus12

Avg corners for

Parma3

Juventus15

Avg total corners

Parma5

Juventus2

Avg yellow cards

Parma0

Juventus20

Avg shots

Parma13

Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 50% · edge +1 pts

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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 54%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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Useful next reads

more Serie A analysis Juventus v Parma prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juventus1

Avg goals scored

Parma0

Juventus0

Avg goals conceded

Parma1

Juventus0%

BTTS rate

Parma0%

Juventus0%

Over 2.5 goals

Parma0%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 68%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionParma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts

6.6

Check odds @ 6.6

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Juventus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 51%

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Juventus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.11

Check odds @ 1.11

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 60%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 16%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 12%

Check odds @ 10

Parma Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juventus

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

23 Aug 2026A Frosinone1-0

Parma

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

22 Aug 2026H Cagliari0-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts

3.75

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Parma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 30%

6.6

Check odds @ 6.6

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.06

Check odds @ 1.06

Juventus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Juventus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.11

Check odds @ 1.11

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 16%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 12%

Check odds @ 10

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Juventus wins

2Draws

1Parma wins

01 Feb 2026Parma v Juventus1-4

24 Aug 2025Juventus v Parma2-0

23 Apr 2025Parma v Juventus1-0

30 Oct 2024Juventus v Parma2-2

21 Apr 2021Juventus v Parma3-1

19 Dec 2020Parma v Juventus0-4

Best odds for this sectionJuventus to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 80% · edge -7.6 pts

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

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DrawBetMGM guide price · model 16%

6.25

Check odds @ 6.25

Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 12%

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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 33%

2.25

Check odds @ 2.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

The head-to-head sample gives context for Juventus to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Season team stats

Serie A

Juventus4

Played

Parma4

Juventus1.5

Avg goals for

Parma0.5

Juventus1

Avg goals against

Parma1.5

Juventus2

Clean sheets

Parma0

Best odds for this sectionParma Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 30% vs implied 15% · edge +15 pts

6.6

Check odds @ 6.6

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Juventus to WinBetMGM guide price · model 72%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Juventus Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.11

Check odds @ 1.11

Parma to WinBetMGM guide price · model 12%

Check odds @ 10

Season data supports Parma Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
8	Juventus	7	4	2	1	1	2
18	Parma	1	4	0	1	3	-4

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Juventus Over 2.5

0%Parma Over 2.5

3.3H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Juventus sit at 0% and Parma sit at 0% with the H2H average at 3.3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Juventus v Parma Stats

Under 2

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Juventus

Parma

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Football Stats Hub

Juventus v Parma Stats

Under 2

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Juventus

Parma

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