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Juve Stabia crestJuve Stabia
v
Pisa crestPisa

Serie B | Sun 06 Sep, 14:00

Juve Stabia v Pisa Stats

Data last updated: Sat 05 Sep 2026, 08:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juve Stabia and Pisa meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown balanced attacking and defensive traits early in the season, each with a single goal scored and conceded. Positioned mid-table, the teams are likely to engage in a tactical battle with moderate offensive intent. The contest promises a competitive tempo with both sides capable of generating set-piece opportunities, setting the stage for a corner-rich encounter underpinned by their recent match rhythms and playing styles.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • Juve Stabia averages 6.5 corners per game, Pisa 5, combining for a strong corner count.
  • Both teams have similar recent form with 50% matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play potential.
  • Juve Stabia and Pisa produce an average of 15 and 20.5 shots per game respectively, showing attacking activity.
  • Player stats highlight Antonio Di Nardo's high shot volume and I. Ferrah's accuracy, suggesting offensive pressure that can lead to corners.
  • Discipline stats show moderate fouling rates, supporting set-piece frequency including corners.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 69% chance for over 9.5 corners, well above the 49.5% implied by current , indicating strong value. Both teams generate consistent attacking pressure, reflected in shot volumes and fouling patterns that typically produce corners. Juve Stabia's 6.5 and Pisa's 5 average corners per game combine to support a high corner count. The rating of 88% reflects reliable data without notable limitations, making this a statistically backed selection for a corner-heavy match.

Model Corner Chance69%
Strong positive
Combined Average Corners11.5 per game
Strong positive
Shot VolumeJuve Stabia 15, Pisa 20.5 per game
Positive
Fouls and Set PiecesModerate fouling rates support corner opportunities
Positive
Price Edge19.5% value edge at 2.02 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a match with sustained flank attacks and set-piece battles as Juve Stabia and Pisa both seek to leverage their attacking players. The corner count is likely to be high given the teams' combined offensive pressure and fouling tendencies, making over 9.5 corners a compelling angle supported by solid data and tactical context.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“The corner market stands out here due to both teams' attacking intent and the volume of shots and fouls that naturally lead to set-piece opportunities. This fixture's balance and tempo suggest a lively contest with frequent corners.”

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Juve Stabia averages 6.5 corners per game, Pisa 5, combining for a strong corner count.

Both teams have similar recent form with 50% matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating open play potential.

Juve Stabia and Pisa produce an average of 15 and 20.5 shots per game respectively, showing attacking activity.

Player stats highlight Antonio Di Nardo's high shot volume and I. Ferrah's accuracy, suggesting offensive pressure that can lead to corners.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • In the last five matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, indicating moderate scoring tempo.
  • This trend aligns with a match style that encourages attacking phases and transitions, which often produce corners, supporting the over 9.5 corners angle.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Juve Stabia6.5
Avg corners for
Pisa5
Juve Stabia10.5
Avg total corners
Pisa12
Juve Stabia1.5
Avg yellow cards
Pisa2
Juve Stabia15
Avg shots
Pisa20.5
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 50% · edge +15 pts
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Juve Stabia averages 6.5 corners and Pisa 5 per match, supported by high shot volumes (15 and 20.5 respectively) and moderate fouling rates. This combination of sustained pressure, wide attacks, and fouling suggests a fertile environment for corners and set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juve Stabia1
Avg goals scored
Pisa1
Juve Stabia1
Avg goals conceded
Pisa1
Juve Stabia50%
BTTS rate
Pisa50%
Juve Stabia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Pisa50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 69%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both Juve Stabia and Pisa have a 50% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals and BTTS occurrences, indicating open play and attacking willingness. While goals are modest, the attacking tempo supports set-piece creation, which often translates into corners and goalmouth action.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Juve Stabia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Pisa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Pisa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
The over 9.5 corners market is priced attractively with implying just under 50% chance, while the model estimates a 69% probability, highlighting clear value. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a corner-heavy game, making the bet a strong candidate for standard staking.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juve Stabia

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
29 Aug 2026A Sampdoria2-1
23 Aug 2026A Palermo0-1

Pisa

WL
Last 51W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 1L
30 Aug 2026H Catanzaro2-1
23 Aug 2026H Padova0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 67% · edge +6.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Juve Stabia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Pisa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Pisa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Recent form shows both teams with 3 points from their opening matches, scoring and conceding once each. Their balanced performances and 50% over 2.5 goals rate suggest neither side is overly defensive, supporting a match flow conducive to multiple corners through sustained attacks and transitions.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Juve Stabia wins
1Draws
3Pisa wins
22 Feb 2025Pisa v Juve Stabia3-1
29 Sep 2024Juve Stabia v Pisa2-0
30 Sep 2020Pisa v Juve Stabia2-0
25 Jan 2020Pisa v Juve Stabia1-1
01 Sep 2019Juve Stabia v Pisa0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Juve Stabia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Pisa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
The five recent meetings between Juve Stabia and Pisa have averaged 2.4 goals per game, reflecting competitive fixtures with attacking moments. While the sample is limited, the matches typically feature balanced play that can generate set-piece situations and corners, providing some background support for the corner market.
Season team stats

Serie B

Juve Stabia2
Played
Pisa2
Juve Stabia1
Avg goals for
Pisa1
Juve Stabia1
Avg goals against
Pisa1
Juve Stabia0
Clean sheets
Pisa0
Best odds for this sectionJuve Stabia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +7.3 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Juve Stabia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Pisa Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Pisa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 41%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Season-long data reveals Juve Stabia and Pisa maintain solid attacking outputs with average corners well above 5 per game. Their defensive records allow for open play, which combined with their shot volumes, supports the likelihood of a corner-rich match environment.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
11Pisa321010
13Juve Stabia121010
Juve Stabia sits 13th and Pisa 10th in Serie B early in the season, with minimal points difference. The mid-table positioning reflects balanced competitiveness without extreme pressure, suggesting both teams will play with measured attacking intent that can generate set-piece opportunities like corners.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Juve Stabia Over 2.5
50%Pisa Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
In the last five matches, the average goals per game between these teams is 2.4, indicating moderate scoring tempo. This trend aligns with a match style that encourages attacking phases and transitions, which often produce corners, supporting the over 9.5 corners angle.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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