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Juventude crestJuventude

Serie B | Wed 19 Aug, 01:35

Goias v Juventude Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 07:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Juventude aiming to extend their strong run as second in the table, visiting Goias who sit mid-table and seek to halt a recent dip in form. Juventude's more consistent attack and defensive solidity contrast with Goias' struggles to convert chances, setting up a tactical battle where Juventude's efficiency and momentum could prove decisive. Both teams will be mindful of the stakes as Juventude push to close the gap at the top, while Goias look to regain on home soil.

BT4Y best bet

Juventude to Win

  • Juventude holds a clear points advantage, sitting 2nd with 39 points versus Goias' 10th place and 32 points.
  • Juventude averages 1.2 goals per game, outscoring Goias' 0.8, indicating stronger attacking output.
  • Goias and Juventude both have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate at 20%, suggesting a typically tight scoring affair.
  • Juventude's Lucas Alves is a key attacking threat with 7.5 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting his goal-scoring potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Juventude to win with a 56.6% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, higher league standing, and more potent attack. The implied of 3.4 offer strong value given the model's and the sizable of 27.2%. Juventude's consistent goal threat, led by Lucas Alves, and their defensive resilience underpin this selection. Both teams' low Over 2.5 Goals rates suggest a controlled game where Juventude's efficiency could tip the balance. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Win Probability56.6%
Strong positive
Value Edge vs Implied Odds27.2%
Strong positive
Juventude League Position2nd
Positive
Juventude Goals Per Game1.2
Positive
Goias Goals Per Game0.8
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Juventude's superior form and attacking firepower make them the logical choice to secure victory. Their ability to create and convert chances, combined with Goias' inconsistent recent performances, suggests Juventude can capitalize and earn three points in this key Serie B fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Juventude's consistent offensive pressure and higher league standing give them the edge in this encounter, especially with Lucas Alves leading their attack. Their balanced approach should see them control the match tempo and secure a win.”

Key Data Signals

Juventude to Win evidence

Juventude holds a clear points advantage, sitting 2nd with 39 points versus Goias' 10th place and 32 points.

Juventude averages 1.2 goals per game, outscoring Goias' 0.8, indicating stronger attacking output.

Goias and Juventude both have a low Over 2.5 Goals rate at 20%, suggesting a typically tight scoring affair.

Juventude's Lucas Alves is a key attacking threat with 7.5 shots on target per 90 minutes, highlighting his goal-scoring potential.

What To Watch In The Data

Juventude to Win notes

  • In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.43, indicating moderately open games.
  • However, both teams' current low Over 2.5 Goals rates suggest a more cautious approach likely, with tempo and defensive organization limiting high-scoring outcomes.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Goias0.8
Avg goals scored
Juventude1.2
Goias0.8
Avg goals conceded
Juventude0.8
Goias40%
BTTS rate
Juventude20%
Goias20%
Over 2.5 goals
Juventude20%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 50% vs implied 46% · edge +4.5 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Both teams have a low rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals (20%), and Goias has a higher BTTS rate (40%) compared to Juventude (20%), suggesting a controlled game with limited scoring opportunities. This points to a match where goals may be scarce and tightly contested.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Goias

LWLDW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
15 Aug 2026A Criciuma0-1
10 Aug 2026H Londrina1-0
26 Jul 2026A America Mineiro0-1
23 Jul 2026H Sport Recife1-1
18 Jul 2026A Ponte Preta2-1

Juventude

DWWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 107W 2D 1L
15 Aug 2026H Fortaleza EC0-0
09 Aug 2026A Novorizontino1-0
28 Jul 2026H Avai1-0
24 Jul 2026A Botafogo SP2-4
17 Jul 2026H Cuiaba2-0
Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 79%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Juventude Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Juventude's recent form shows 10 points gained with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, reflecting balanced and effective performances. Goias has collected 7 points with similar defensive stats but less attacking output, indicating Juventude's momentum and efficiency give them a competitive edge.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Juventude3922116511
10Goias3222958-5
Juventude's position in 2nd place with 39 points underscores their status as promotion contenders, adding motivation and . Goias, sitting 10th with 32 points, face pressure to improve results but lack the consistency Juventude have shown, influencing the probable outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Juventude Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The current of 3.4 for Juventude to win present a strong value opportunity given the model's 56.6% win probability. This sizable indicates the market underestimates Juventude's chances, making this a price-sensitive but attractive selection for bettors.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Goias5.6
Avg corners for
Juventude4.4
Goias10.8
Avg total corners
Juventude8.6
Goias2.2
Avg yellow cards
Juventude2.2
Goias12.8
Avg shots
Juventude11.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Goias averages more shots (12.8) and corners (5.6) than Juventude (11.6 shots, 4.4 corners), indicating they may press territorially. However, Juventude's more efficient shooting and lower fouling rate suggest a disciplined approach, balancing pressure with control and limiting card risks.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Goias wins
2Draws
2Juventude wins
11 Apr 2026Juventude v Goias2-0
04 Nov 2022Goias v Juventude1-0
17 Jul 2022Juventude v Goias0-0
12 Oct 2018Juventude v Goias3-5
22 Jun 2018Goias v Juventude1-1
18 Oct 2017Goias v Juventude1-0
Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The seven previous meetings between these teams have averaged 2.43 goals per game, showing a moderate scoring history. While this supports the possibility of goals, the current form and defensive discipline of both sides suggest a tighter contest, slightly tempering expectations for a high-scoring match.
Season team stats

Serie B

Goias22
Played
Juventude22
Goias1
Avg goals for
Juventude1
Goias1.2
Avg goals against
Juventude0.5
Goias7
Clean sheets
Juventude16
Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Juventude Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
Over the season, Juventude's attack has been more productive, averaging 1.2 goals per game compared to Goias' 0.8, while both teams concede at similar rates. This offensive advantage supports Juventude's likelihood to break down Goias' defense and secure a win.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Goias Over 2.5
20%Juventude Over 2.5
2.43H2H avg goals
In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.43, indicating moderately open games. However, both teams' current low Over 2.5 Goals rates suggest a more cautious approach likely, with tempo and defensive organization limiting high-scoring outcomes.

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