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Sport Recife crestSport Recife

Serie B | Wed 19 Aug, 23:30

Avai v Sport Recife Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 07:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Avai and Sport Recife meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown attacking intent despite defensive vulnerabilities. Avai, positioned 17th, have scored and conceded at a rate of one goal per game recently, while Sport Recife, sitting 6th, average 1.4 goals scored and one conceded per match. Both teams have a history of matches featuring goals at both ends, reflecting open play and tactical openness. This fixture carries importance for Avai to climb the table and for Sport Recife to consolidate their playoff position, setting the stage for an engaging contest with goal-scoring potential from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Avai have a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.
  • Sport Recife show an 80% BTTS rate, indicating consistent attacking output.
  • Both teams average over 11 shots per game, with Sport Recife slightly higher at 12.6.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, supporting goal involvement from both sides.
  • Avai and Sport Recife each have a 40% rate of Over 2.5 Goals matches, suggesting moderate goal frequency.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating strong value in this BTTS market. Both Avai and Sport Recife have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with Avai scoring and conceding one goal per game recently and Sport Recife averaging 1.4 goals scored and one conceded. Player-level data highlights attacking threats like Perotti and C. de Pena for Sport Recife and Felipe Vizeu and Isaías Pereira for Avai, all contributing shots and key passes. This balance of offensive potency and defensive frailty underpins the BTTS likelihood. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Avai BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Sport Recife BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Recent Goals Per Game2.4 average in head-to-head
Positive
Player Attacking StatsMultiple players with high shots and key passes
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a tendency to both score and concede goals recently, making a Both Teams to Score bet tactically sound. Avai's need for points and Sport Recife's attacking players like Perotti and C. de Pena suggest open play and goal chances at both ends. The data supports this with high BTTS rates and shot volumes from both sides, indicating a lively match with goals expected from each team.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This fixture features two sides with clear attacking threats but defensive vulnerabilities, making BTTS a compelling angle. The presence of key creators and finishers on both teams suggests goals at both ends are likely in this Serie B encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Avai have a 60% rate of matches with both teams scoring this season.

Sport Recife show an 80% BTTS rate, indicating consistent attacking output.

Both teams average over 11 shots per game, with Sport Recife slightly higher at 12.6.

Recent head-to-head matches average 2.6 goals, supporting goal involvement from both sides.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.6, with both teams frequently contributing to the scoreline.
  • This trend over a meaningful sample suggests a tempo and openness in their encounters that favors over 2.5 goals and supports the BTTS market through balanced attacking and defensive vulnerabilities.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Avai1
Avg goals scored
Sport Recife1.4
Avai1
Avg goals conceded
Sport Recife1
Avai60%
BTTS rate
Sport Recife80%
Avai40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sport Recife40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both Avai and Sport Recife have strong BTTS rates this season, 60% and 80% respectively, supported by their recent form where both sides score and concede regularly. Their head-to-head average of 2.6 goals per game further confirms the likelihood of goals at both ends, driven by open tactical setups and attacking intent.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Avai

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
16 Aug 2026A Operario-PR2-1
11 Aug 2026H CRB0-1
28 Jul 2026A Juventude0-1
21 Jul 2026H America Mineiro2-1
17 Jul 2026A São Bernardo1-1

Sport Recife

WWDDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 6D 2L
15 Aug 2026H Londrina2-1
08 Aug 2026A Vila Nova1-0
27 Jul 2026H Cuiaba1-1
23 Jul 2026A Goias1-1
18 Jul 2026H Operario-PR2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.5 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Sport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Sport Recife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form data shows Avai scoring and conceding one goal per game, while Sport Recife averages 1.4 goals scored and one conceded. Both teams have maintained BTTS rates above 60%, reflecting ongoing offensive and defensive patterns that favor goals at both ends in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Sport Recife352281138
17Avai23226511-6
Sport Recife's 6th place and Avai's 17th position in Serie B add competitive context, with Avai needing points to avoid relegation pressure and Sport Recife aiming to secure playoff spots. This dynamic encourages attacking play from both sides, increasing the likelihood of goals and supporting the BTTS selection.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Sport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Sport Recife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at implying a 54.6% chance, while the model estimates a 76% likelihood, highlighting significant value. This discrepancy reflects the market underestimating the consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns of both teams, making the BTTS bet a positive value proposition without price warnings.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Avai4.4
Avg corners for
Sport Recife4
Avai9
Avg total corners
Sport Recife11.6
Avai1.8
Avg yellow cards
Sport Recife2.6
Avai11.4
Avg shots
Sport Recife12.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams generate a healthy number of shots per game, with Avai averaging 11.4 and Sport Recife 12.6, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Corner counts are balanced, and card averages suggest moderate fouling, which may lead to set-piece opportunities contributing to goal chances and supporting the BTTS market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Avai wins
3Draws
3Sport Recife wins
11 Apr 2026Sport Recife v Avai2-2
08 Sep 2024Avai v Sport Recife0-2
19 May 2024Sport Recife v Avai1-2
29 Sep 2023Avai v Sport Recife2-2
07 Jun 2023Sport Recife v Avai2-1
10 Sep 2017Sport Recife v Avai0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Sport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The ten previous meetings between Avai and Sport Recife have averaged 2.6 goals per game, with both teams regularly scoring. This historical pattern aligns with current form and season trends, providing a solid background that supports the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Season team stats

Serie B

Avai22
Played
Sport Recife22
Avai1
Avg goals for
Sport Recife1.3
Avai1.3
Avg goals against
Sport Recife0.9
Avai6
Clean sheets
Sport Recife8
Best odds for this sectionSport Recife to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 39% · edge +13.2 pts
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Load more odds for this section
Sport Recife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Avai Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Avai to WinBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Season-long statistics reveal Avai and Sport Recife both have balanced attacking and defensive profiles conducive to BTTS outcomes. Avai's 60% BTTS rate and Sport Recife's 80% indicate a season trend of both scoring and conceding, supported by their average goals per game and shot volumes, reinforcing the BTTS market rationale.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Avai Over 2.5
40%Sport Recife Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.6, with both teams frequently contributing to the scoreline. This trend over a meaningful sample suggests a tempo and openness in their encounters that favors over 2.5 goals and supports the BTTS market through balanced attacking and defensive vulnerabilities.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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