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Girona crestGirona
v
Real Sociedad crestReal Sociedad

La Liga | Thu 14 May, 19:00

Girona v Real Sociedad Stats

Data last updated: Wed 03 Jun 2026, 00:20 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Girona face Real Sociedad in La Liga on Thu 14 May, 19:00. Real Sociedad have conceded 54 league goals compared to Girona's 52, underlining the defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Michel's side are struggling to turn draws into the victories required for safety.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score

  • At 4/7, Both Teams To Score implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 76%.
  • 🎯 Match Analysis: Both Teams To Score
  • Girona show a 80% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Girona average 1 goals scored and Real Sociedad average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 76% for Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Girona show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Real Sociedad show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. 🎯 Match Analysis: Both Teams To Score

Model chance vs price76% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Positive
Girona show a 80% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad show.Visible data support
Positive
Girona average 1 goals scored and Real Sociedad average 1.6.Visible data support
Positive
🎯 Match Analysis: Both Teams To ScoreArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because 🎯 Match Analysis: Both Teams To Score Girona show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Real Sociedad show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The biggest concern is not merely results but the structural fragility in Girona’s game.

Main risk

The biggest concern is not merely results but the structural fragility in Girona’s game.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score evidence

🎯 Match Analysis: Both Teams To Score

Girona show a 80% BTTS rate and Real Sociedad show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Girona average 1 goals scored and Real Sociedad average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Girona1
Avg goals scored
Real Sociedad1.6
Girona1.6
Avg goals conceded
Real Sociedad2
Girona80%
BTTS rate
Real Sociedad60%
Girona40%
Over 2.5 goals
Real Sociedad60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 36%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Real Sociedad to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Girona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Girona3.6
Avg corners for
Real Sociedad5.5
Girona8.8
Avg total corners
Real Sociedad9
Girona1.8
Avg yellow cards
Real Sociedad2.25
Girona9.8
Avg shots
Real Sociedad11.25
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 62% · edge +2.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 48%
1.92
Check odds @ 1.92
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Girona

DLLLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
11 May 2026A Rayo Vallecano1-1
01 May 2026H Mallorca0-1
25 Apr 2026A Valencia1-2
21 Apr 2026H Real Betis2-3
10 Apr 2026A Real Madrid1-1

Real Sociedad

DLDLD
Last 50W 3D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
09 May 2026H Real Betis2-2
04 May 2026A Sevilla0-1
26 Apr 2026A Rayo Vallecano3-3
22 Apr 2026H Getafe0-1
11 Apr 2026H Alaves3-3
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +8.9 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Real Sociedad to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Girona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 64%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Girona to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Girona wins
5Draws
4Real Sociedad wins
12 Dec 2025Real Sociedad v Girona1-2
18 May 2025Real Sociedad v Girona3-2
19 Oct 2024Girona v Real Sociedad0-1
03 Feb 2024Girona v Real Sociedad0-0
12 Aug 2023Real Sociedad v Girona1-1
13 May 2023Real Sociedad v Girona2-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 76% vs implied 60% · edge +16.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Real Sociedad to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Girona to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

La Liga

Girona38
Played
Real Sociedad38
Girona1
Avg goals for
Real Sociedad1.6
Girona1.4
Avg goals against
Real Sociedad1.6
Girona6
Clean sheets
Real Sociedad3
Best odds for this sectionReal Sociedad to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 29% · edge +19.1 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Real Sociedad Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Girona Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Girona to WinBet365 guide price · model 36%
2
Check odds @ 2
Season data supports Real Sociedad to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Real Sociedad4638111314-2
19Girona413891415-16
Girona sit in position 19, while Real Sociedad sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Girona Over 2.5
60%Real Sociedad Over 2.5
2.8H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Girona sit at 40% and Real Sociedad sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.8 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Girona v Real Sociedad prediction

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Next step

Betting context

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