Fortuna Sittard

Cambuur

Eredivisie | Sat 15 Aug, 20:00

Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur meet in an Eredivisie clash where attacking intent is expected to dominate. Fortuna Sittard, ranked 9th, have shown a strong inclination towards high-scoring games, while Cambuur, struggling at 18th, have conceded multiple goals recently. Both teams have recorded 100% Over 2.5 Goals rates in their latest matches, setting the stage for an open encounter with potential defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. The fixture promises intensity and goal-scoring opportunities, with Fortuna Sittard's midfield and attack likely to test Cambuur's fragile defense under pressure.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur both have 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.
Fortuna Sittard averages 8 shots per game with 6 on target, indicating attacking pressure.
Cambuur concedes frequently, with 4 goals against in recent form and low defensive stability.
Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.89 over 9 matches, suggesting a tendency for multiple goals.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a value bet with a 58% chance against a 45.5% implied market chance, reflecting a 12.5% . Both teams have consistently featured high-scoring games recently, with Fortuna Sittard's active offense and Cambuur's defensive frailties contributing to a likely open game. Fortuna's strong shot volume and Cambuur's conceding pattern support the expectation of multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection despite the natural unpredictability of high-scoring outcomes.

Recent Over 2.5 Goals Rate100% for both teams

Strong positive

Fortuna Sittard Shot Volume8 shots per game, 6 on target

Positive

Cambuur Defensive Record4 goals conceded recently

Positive

Head-to-Head Average Goals2.89 goals per match

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as Fortuna Sittard leverages their offensive strengths against Cambuur's vulnerable defense. The recent form data and shot statistics underline a high likelihood of multiple goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a tactically sound and statistically supported choice for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking dynamics and defensive vulnerabilities

“Fortuna Sittard's midfield dynamism combined with Cambuur's defensive struggles sets the stage for a goal-rich encounter. The attacking roles and shot volumes clearly indicate a match where goals will be plentiful.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur both have 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate in recent matches.

Fortuna Sittard averages 8 shots per game with 6 on target, indicating attacking pressure.

Cambuur concedes frequently, with 4 goals against in recent form and low defensive stability.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.89 over 9 matches, suggesting a tendency for multiple goals.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.89, close to the Over 3.5 threshold.
Both teams have shown a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating a trend towards open, attacking matches with defensive vulnerabilities and quick transitions that favor goal-scoring chances.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Fortuna Sittard0

Avg corners for

Cambuur5

Fortuna Sittard9

Avg total corners

Cambuur13

Fortuna Sittard1

Avg yellow cards

Cambuur0

Fortuna Sittard8

Avg shots

Cambuur11

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

Check odds @ 2

Fortuna Sittard averages 0 corners but maintains high shot volumes with 6 shots on target per game, indicating direct and effective attacking play. Cambuur averages 5 corners but fewer shots on target, reflecting more wide play but less finishing precision. The card count is low, suggesting a game focused on open play rather than disciplinary disruptions.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Fortuna Sittard2

Avg goals scored

Cambuur0

Fortuna Sittard2

Avg goals conceded

Cambuur4

Fortuna Sittard100%

BTTS rate

Cambuur0%

Fortuna Sittard100%

Over 2.5 goals

Cambuur100%

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 46% · edge +12.5 pts

2.2

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.5

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%

1.14

Check odds @ 1.14

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 26%

2.5

Check odds @ 2.5

Both teams exhibit contrasting BTTS trends: Fortuna Sittard has a 100% BTTS rate recently, while Cambuur has not scored in their last outings. The goal-scoring patterns and Over 2.5 Goals rates indicate a game likely to surpass 3.5 goals, driven mainly by Fortuna's attack and Cambuur's defensive lapses rather than mutual scoring.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts

1.5

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Fortuna Sittard to WinBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

Fortuna Sittard Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.42

Check odds @ 1.42

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%

Check odds @ 4

The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively with a 12.5% , reflecting the model's 58% probability against a 45.5% implied chance. This pricing suggests a strong market opportunity, supported by both teams' recent high-scoring trends and offensive statistics, making it a positive value bet rather than a price-sensitive angle.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Fortuna Sittard

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

08 Aug 2026A PSV Eindhoven2-2

Cambuur

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

07 Aug 2026H Excelsior0-4

Best odds for this sectionFortuna Sittard to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.6 pts

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

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Fortuna Sittard Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.42

Check odds @ 1.42

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 45%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%

Check odds @ 4

Recent form data highlights Fortuna Sittard's ability to participate in high-scoring matches, with 2 goals scored and 2 conceded in their latest game, maintaining a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate. Cambuur's recent matches show defensive vulnerabilities, conceding 4 goals without scoring, reinforcing the expectation of a goal-laden fixture.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Fortuna Sittard wins

1Draws

3Cambuur wins

29 Jan 2023Cambuur v Fortuna Sittard1-2

20 Aug 2022Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur1-4

26 Feb 2022Cambuur v Fortuna Sittard2-1

16 Oct 2021Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur1-0

19 Dec 2018Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur2-1

23 Mar 2018Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur3-2

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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Fortuna Sittard to WinBetfred guide price · model 72%

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 21%

Check odds @ 4

The nine previous meetings between Fortuna Sittard and Cambuur have averaged 2.89 goals per game, suggesting a history of relatively open contests. While slightly below the 3.5 goals mark, the trend supports the likelihood of multiple goals, especially given Cambuur's current defensive struggles and Fortuna's attacking improvements.

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Fortuna Sittard1

Played

Cambuur1

Fortuna Sittard2

Avg goals for

Cambuur0

Fortuna Sittard2

Avg goals against

Cambuur4

Fortuna Sittard0

Clean sheets

Cambuur0

Best odds for this sectionFortuna Sittard to WinBetfred guide price · Model 72% vs implied 59% · edge +13.6 pts

1.7

Check odds @ 1.7

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Fortuna Sittard Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%

1.42

Check odds @ 1.42

Cambuur Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Cambuur to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%

4.75

Check odds @ 4.75

Season statistics reveal Fortuna Sittard's offensive strength with consistent shot volumes and goal contributions, while Cambuur's defensive record is among the weakest, conceding multiple goals. These profiles align with the Over 3.5 Goals prediction, as Fortuna's attack is likely to exploit Cambuur's defensive gaps throughout the season.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9	Fortuna Sittard	1	1	0	1	0	0
18	Cambuur	0	1	0	0	1	-4

Fortuna Sittard's mid-table position contrasts with Cambuur's bottom placement, reflecting differing team qualities and form. While standings alone are not decisive, the pressure on Cambuur to improve defensively and Fortuna's stable form contribute to an expectation of an open game with multiple goals.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Fortuna Sittard Over 2.5

100%Cambuur Over 2.5

2.89H2H avg goals

Over the last nine head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.89, close to the Over 3.5 threshold. Both teams have shown a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate recently, indicating a trend towards open, attacking matches with defensive vulnerabilities and quick transitions that favor goal-scoring chances.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Fortuna Sittard

Cambuur

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Fortuna Sittard v Cambuur Stats

Match Report

Over 3.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Fortuna Sittard

Cambuur

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