Telstar

Sparta Rotterdam

Eredivisie | Fri 14 Aug, 19:00

Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam Stats

Data last updated: Thu 13 Aug 2026, 06:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Telstar hosts Sparta Rotterdam at BUKO Stadion in a clash marked by contrasting momentum. Telstar arrives unbeaten in the Eredivisie with a recent 2-1 away win over NEC Nijmegen, showcasing sharp attacking efficiency and consistent goal scoring. Sparta Rotterdam, conversely, are struggling with five defeats and one draw in their last six league matches, conceding heavily and lacking clean sheets. Both teams deploy similar 4-2-3-1 formations, but Telstar's clinical finishing and positive momentum contrast with Sparta's defensive vulnerabilities and need to convert possession into clear chances. This sets up a fixture where Telstar's attacking precision meets Sparta's defensive frailty, promising an open contest with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Telstar to Win & Both Teams to Score

Telstar has scored in each of their last six matches, averaging 2.17 goals per game.
Sparta Rotterdam concedes 2.67 goals per match and has not kept a clean sheet in six games.
Telstar converts 44% of shots on target, with 77% of attempts inside the penalty area.
Sparta generates more attacks but struggles with shot accuracy, hitting target only 17% of the time.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Telstar to win with both teams scoring due to Telstar's superior shot accuracy and consistent goal scoring, averaging over two goals per game. Sparta's defensive frailty and inability to keep clean sheets increase the likelihood of conceding, while their offensive volume suggests they will find the net at least once. The 3.75 offer positive value given the model's 44.8% chance estimate, reflecting a strong football read for an open, goal-filled match. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Telstar scoring consistency2.17 goals per game over last six matches

Strong positive

Sparta defensive weakness2.67 goals conceded per game, zero clean sheets

Strong positive

Shot accuracy differenceTelstar 44% vs Sparta 17% on target

Strong positive

Sparta offensive volumeHigh attacks but low shot quality

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Telstar's clinical finishing and positive momentum make them the likely winners, while Sparta's defensive struggles and ability to generate attacks suggest both teams will score. This combination reflects the tactical dynamics and recent form data, supporting a confident selection for a competitive, goal-rich encounter.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goals

“Telstar's efficient in-box shooting and consistent scoring contrast sharply with Sparta's defensive vulnerabilities, making a Telstar win with both teams scoring a compelling tactical and statistical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Telstar to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Telstar has scored in each of their last six matches, averaging 2.17 goals per game.

Sparta Rotterdam concedes 2.67 goals per match and has not kept a clean sheet in six games.

Telstar converts 44% of shots on target, with 77% of attempts inside the penalty area.

Sparta generates more attacks but struggles with shot accuracy, hitting target only 17% of the time.

What To Watch In The Data

Telstar to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

Over the last seven meetings, the average goals per game is 2, with recent matches featuring multiple goals.
Telstar's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, while Sparta's defensive issues and attacking volume suggest a continuation of this trend, indicating a likely open game with multiple scoring opportunities.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Telstar3

Avg corners for

Sparta Rotterdam5

Telstar16

Avg total corners

Sparta Rotterdam15

Telstar2

Avg yellow cards

Sparta Rotterdam3

Telstar8

Avg shots

Sparta Rotterdam10

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 67% · edge +2.3 pts

1.5

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.28

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Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Telstar averages 8 shots with 3 corners and 2 yellow cards per game, indicating controlled attacking pressure and moderate discipline. Sparta averages 10 shots, 5 corners, and 3 yellow cards, reflecting higher territorial play but less accuracy and a higher fouling rate, which may lead to set-piece opportunities and a lively match atmosphere.

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more Eredivisie analysis full betting preview for Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles football stats hub football hub football predictions hub best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Telstar2

Avg goals scored

Sparta Rotterdam0

Telstar1

Avg goals conceded

Sparta Rotterdam1

Telstar100%

BTTS rate

Sparta Rotterdam0%

Telstar100%

Over 2.5 goals

Sparta Rotterdam0%

Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 43% · edge +13.2 pts

2.35

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.5

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%

2.5

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%

1.17

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 30%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Telstar's six-match scoring streak averaging 2.17 goals per game contrasts with Sparta's defensive record of conceding 2.67 goals per match and no clean sheets. Despite Sparta's low shot accuracy, their volume of dangerous attacks suggests they will score, supporting the BTTS and over 2.5 goals context for this fixture.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTelstar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts

1.72

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Telstar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The 3.75 for Telstar to win and both teams to score represent positive value compared to the model's 44.8% chance. This pricing reflects in Telstar's attacking efficiency and Sparta's defensive frailty, making the combined market an attractive proposition without price sensitivity concerns.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Telstar

Last 51W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 0L

08 Aug 2026A NEC Nijmegen2-1

Sparta Rotterdam

Last 50W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 1L

09 Aug 2026H Feyenoord0-1

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 86% vs implied 74% · edge +12.5 pts

1.36

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Telstar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%

1.72

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Telstar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Telstar's recent form includes a 2-1 away win and a six-match scoring streak, highlighting strong offensive output and positive momentum. Sparta's form is poor with five defeats and one draw in six matches, conceding heavily and failing to score consistently. This contrast in form underpins the expectation of a Telstar victory with goals at both ends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Telstar wins

3Draws

3Sparta Rotterdam wins

11 Jul 2026Sparta Rotterdam v Telstar1-0

22 Apr 2026Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam4-1

25 Oct 2025Sparta Rotterdam v Telstar1-0

13 Jul 2021Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam0-0

18 Aug 2020Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam0-0

25 Jan 2019Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam1-1

Market aligned with main pickTelstar to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.5

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%

1.57

Check odds @ 1.57

The seven head-to-head matches show an average of 2 goals per game, with Telstar winning the most recent home meeting 4-1. While the sample is moderate, recent results and goal margins support the expectation of a Telstar win with both teams scoring, reflecting historical and current form alignment.

Season team stats

Eredivisie

Telstar1

Played

Sparta Rotterdam1

Telstar2

Avg goals for

Sparta Rotterdam0

Telstar1

Avg goals against

Sparta Rotterdam1

Telstar0

Clean sheets

Sparta Rotterdam0

Market aligned with main pickTelstar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 58% · edge +15 pts

1.72

Check odds @ 1.72

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Telstar to WinBetMGM guide price · model 61%

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

Telstar's season stats show efficient scoring with 44% shot accuracy and 77% of attempts inside the penalty area, producing 13 goals in six matches. Sparta's defensive stats reveal vulnerability, conceding 16 goals in six matches without clean sheets. These season-long trends support the combined bet on Telstar winning and both teams scoring.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
5	Telstar	3	1	1	0	0	1
14	Sparta Rotterdam	0	1	0	0	1	-1

Telstar sits 5th in the Eredivisie with 3 points, reflecting a positive start and momentum. Sparta Rotterdam ranks 14th with no points, illustrating early struggles and pressure to improve. While standings provide background, the tactical and form disparities are more decisive for this fixture's outcome.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Telstar Over 2.5

0%Sparta Rotterdam Over 2.5

2H2H avg goals

Over the last seven meetings, the average goals per game is 2, with recent matches featuring multiple goals. Telstar's recent matches have all gone over 2.5 goals, while Sparta's defensive issues and attacking volume suggest a continuation of this trend, indicating a likely open game with multiple scoring opportunities.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam Stats

Match Report

Telstar to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Telstar

Sparta Rotterdam

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Football Stats Hub

Telstar v Sparta Rotterdam Stats

Match Report

Telstar to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Telstar

Sparta Rotterdam

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