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Deportivo Riestra crestDeportivo Riestra
v
Lanus crestLanus

Liga Profesional Argentina | Mon 14 Sep, 23:00

Deportivo Riestra v Lanus Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Liga Profesional Argentina fixture features Deportivo Riestra hosting Lanus in a contest where both teams have shown moderate scoring ability and defensive vulnerability. Deportivo Riestra has struggled to find the net consistently, averaging 0.8 goals per game, while Lanus has a slightly better attacking output at 1.2 goals per match. Both sides have conceded goals at similar rates, suggesting an open game with chances at both ends. Recent form indicates a competitive match with neither side dominating, setting the stage for a potentially balanced encounter with goals from both teams.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches with goals scored and conceded, supporting BTTS.
  • Lanus averages 16.6 shots per game with 5.6 on target, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Deportivo Riestra's defensive record shows 0.8 goals conceded per game, suggesting some vulnerability.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 1.75 goals, reflecting moderate scoring in past encounters.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 56.7% chance for both teams to score, driven by balanced offensive and defensive stats from both Deportivo Riestra and Lanus. Lanus's higher shot volume and goal threat from key attackers like D. Moreno enhance the likelihood of goals. Deportivo Riestra's moderate scoring and conceding rates further support the BTTS outcome. The current of 2.38 offer positive value with a 14.7% edge, making this a compelling selection based on statistical and tactical indicators.

Model Chance56.7%
Strong positive
Implied Chance42%
Positive
Value Edge14.7%
Strong positive
Confidence73
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Deportivo Riestra and Lanus have shown tendencies to both score and concede goals, creating a tactical environment conducive to goals at both ends. Lanus's attacking players, particularly D. Moreno, provide a consistent threat, while Deportivo Riestra's defensive lapses increase the likelihood of conceding. This combination supports the bet on both teams to score in this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Lanus's offensive firepower combined with Deportivo Riestra's defensive vulnerabilities make a compelling case for both teams finding the net in this encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 40% rate of matches with goals scored and conceded, supporting BTTS.

Lanus averages 16.6 shots per game with 5.6 on target, indicating offensive pressure.

Deportivo Riestra's defensive record shows 0.8 goals conceded per game, suggesting some vulnerability.

Head-to-head meetings average 1.75 goals, reflecting moderate scoring in past encounters.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.75, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters.
  • However, the recent trend in the league shows Lanus has a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting that while past meetings were modest in goals, current form and attacking tendencies could lead to a more open and higher-scoring game.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Deportivo Riestra2.8
Avg corners for
Lanus6
Deportivo Riestra6.4
Avg total corners
Lanus10.8
Deportivo Riestra3
Avg yellow cards
Lanus1.8
Deportivo Riestra9.4
Avg shots
Lanus16.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Lanus averages 6 corners per game compared to Deportivo Riestra's 2.8, reflecting territorial advantage and attacking pressure. Lanus also averages 16.6 shots with 5.6 on target, indicating sustained offensive activity. Deportivo Riestra's higher average of 3 yellow cards per game versus Lanus's 1.8 suggests a more aggressive defensive approach, potentially leading to set-piece opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Deportivo Riestra0.8
Avg goals scored
Lanus1.2
Deportivo Riestra0.8
Avg goals conceded
Lanus1
Deportivo Riestra40%
BTTS rate
Lanus40%
Deportivo Riestra0%
Over 2.5 goals
Lanus40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 22%
7
Check odds @ 7
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Both Deportivo Riestra and Lanus have a 40% rate of matches featuring goals from both teams, indicating a moderate likelihood of BTTS. Lanus's higher offensive output and Deportivo Riestra's defensive concessions suggest goals at both ends, though the overall goal totals remain modest, pointing to a controlled but open game.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Lanus to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Lanus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Deportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Deportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 2.38, reflecting an implied chance of 42% which is significantly below the model's 56.7% probability. This discrepancy indicates positive value in backing both teams to score, supported by balanced attacking and defensive statistics from both sides.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Deportivo Riestra

DDDLW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
04 Sep 2026A Platense1-1
29 Aug 2026H Velez Sarsfield1-1
23 Aug 2026A Huracan0-0
15 Aug 2026A Newells Old Boys0-2
08 Aug 2026H Estudiantes L.P.2-0

Lanus

WLDLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 5L
06 Sep 2026H Defensa Y Justicia1-0
29 Aug 2026A Boca Juniors0-1
25 Aug 2026H Argentinos JRS1-1
17 Aug 2026H Independiente1-3
12 Aug 2026A Talleres Cordoba3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 74% · edge +1.8 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Lanus to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Lanus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Deportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 65%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Deportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Recent form shows Deportivo Riestra with 6 points and Lanus with 7 in their last matches, both sides averaging around one goal per game. Both teams have a 40% BTTS rate recently, reinforcing the expectation of goals from both sides. This form suggests a competitive fixture with neither side dominating defensively or offensively.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Deportivo Riestra wins
0Draws
0Lanus wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +14.7 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Lanus to WinBetUK guide price · model 47%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Deportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
The four previous meetings between Deportivo Riestra and Lanus have averaged 1.75 goals per game, reflecting modest scoring and a tendency for tight matches. This limited sample suggests a cautious approach historically, but current attacking form and defensive vulnerabilities may alter this pattern in the upcoming fixture.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Deportivo Riestra24
Played
Lanus25
Deportivo Riestra0.5
Avg goals for
Lanus1
Deportivo Riestra0.8
Avg goals against
Lanus1
Deportivo Riestra9
Clean sheets
Lanus10
Best odds for this sectionLanus to WinBetUK guide price · Model 47% vs implied 36% · edge +10.8 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Lanus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.98
Check odds @ 1.98
Deportivo Riestra to WinBetMGM guide price · model 37%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Deportivo Riestra Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Season-long statistics reveal Lanus as a more prolific attacking side with 1.2 goals per game and a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, while Deportivo Riestra has a lower scoring average of 0.8 and no over 2.5 goals matches recently. Both teams concede at similar rates, supporting the likelihood of goals at both ends but with a moderate overall scoring tempo.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Lanus24166643
15Deportivo Riestra1116187-7
10Lanus1083140
12Deportivo Riestra982331
Deportivo Riestra sits 12th with 9 points and Lanus 10th with 10 points, indicating a mid-table clash with both sides seeking to improve their standings. The close points tally suggests a balanced contest where both teams will push for results, potentially increasing offensive intent and goal opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Deportivo Riestra Over 2.5
40%Lanus Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last four head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.75, indicating relatively low-scoring encounters. However, the recent trend in the league shows Lanus has a 40% over 2.5 goals rate, suggesting that while past meetings were modest in goals, current form and attacking tendencies could lead to a more open and higher-scoring game.

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