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Sarmiento Junin crestSarmiento Junin
v
Belgrano Cordoba crestBelgrano Cordoba

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 13 Sep, 18:45

Sarmiento Junin v Belgrano Cordoba Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sarmiento Junin face Belgrano Cordoba in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun 13 Sep, 18:45. Sarmiento Junin come in with 12 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Belgrano Cordoba have 8 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Sarmiento Junin to Win

  • At 3.4, Sarmiento Junin to Win implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 44%.
  • Sarmiento Junin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Belgrano Cordoba.
  • Belgrano Cordoba have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Sarmiento Junin to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Sarmiento Junin sit 2 in the table, while Belgrano Cordoba sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 44% for Sarmiento Junin to Win sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Sarmiento Junin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Belgrano Cordoba.

Model chance vs price44% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Strong positive
Sarmiento Junin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12.Visible data support
Positive
Belgrano Cordoba have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sarmiento Junin Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sarmiento Junin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Belgrano Cordoba. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Sarmiento Junin to Win evidence

Sarmiento Junin have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 8 for Belgrano Cordoba.

Belgrano Cordoba have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Sarmiento Junin Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Sarmiento Junin sit 2 in the table, while Belgrano Cordoba sit 5, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sarmiento Junin to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Sarmiento Junin1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Belgrano Cordoba1.2
    Sarmiento Junin1
    Avg goals conceded
    Belgrano Cordoba0.6
    Sarmiento Junin40%
    BTTS rate
    Belgrano Cordoba40%
    Sarmiento Junin40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Belgrano Cordoba20%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 49% · edge +7.9 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 23%
    5
    Check odds @ 5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 47%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 40% for Sarmiento Junin and 40% for Belgrano Cordoba, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Sarmiento Junin

    WLWWW
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 0D 4L
    04 Sep 2026A Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2-0
    28 Aug 2026A Union Santa Fe1-4
    23 Aug 2026H Estudiantes L.P.2-0
    16 Aug 2026H Huracan2-0
    08 Aug 2026A Atletico Tucuman2-1

    Belgrano Cordoba

    DDLWW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 4D 2L
    04 Sep 2026H Huracan1-1
    30 Aug 2026A Atletico Tucuman0-0
    23 Aug 2026H Defensa Y Justicia1-2
    15 Aug 2026H Independ. Rivadavia2-0
    10 Aug 2026A Banfield2-0
    Market aligned with main pickSarmiento Junin to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 80%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Sarmiento Junin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    5Belgrano Cordoba26167544
    11Sarmiento Junin1916619-7
    2Sarmiento Junin1585033
    5Belgrano Cordoba1283323
    Sarmiento Junin sit in position 2, while Belgrano Cordoba sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Sarmiento Junin to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSarmiento Junin to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Sarmiento Junin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Sarmiento Junin to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Sarmiento Junin4.2
    Avg corners for
    Belgrano Cordoba3.5
    Sarmiento Junin11.8
    Avg total corners
    Belgrano Cordoba8
    Sarmiento Junin1.6
    Avg yellow cards
    Belgrano Cordoba1.75
    Sarmiento Junin12.6
    Avg shots
    Belgrano Cordoba14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 56% · edge +6.6 pts
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Sarmiento Junin wins
    3Draws
    3Belgrano Cordoba wins
    03 May 2026Belgrano Cordoba v Sarmiento Junin4-0
    04 Aug 2024Sarmiento Junin v Belgrano Cordoba0-0
    20 Feb 2024Belgrano Cordoba v Sarmiento Junin4-1
    25 Sep 2023Sarmiento Junin v Belgrano Cordoba0-0
    04 Apr 2023Belgrano Cordoba v Sarmiento Junin0-0
    20 Nov 2016Belgrano Cordoba v Sarmiento Junin1-2
    Market aligned with main pickSarmiento Junin to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sarmiento Junin to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Liga Profesional Argentina

    Sarmiento Junin24
    Played
    Belgrano Cordoba28
    Sarmiento Junin1.2
    Avg goals for
    Belgrano Cordoba1.2
    Sarmiento Junin1.3
    Avg goals against
    Belgrano Cordoba0.8
    Sarmiento Junin8
    Clean sheets
    Belgrano Cordoba14
    Market aligned with main pickSarmiento Junin to WinBet365 guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Sarmiento Junin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Season data supports Sarmiento Junin to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Sarmiento Junin Over 2.5
    20%Belgrano Cordoba Over 2.5
    2.29H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Sarmiento Junin sit at 40% and Belgrano Cordoba sit at 20% with the H2H average at 2.29 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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