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Argentinos JRS crestArgentinos JRS
v
Gimnasia L.P. crestGimnasia L.P.

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 13 Sep, 21:00

Argentinos JRS v Gimnasia L.P. Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Argentinos JRS face Gimnasia L.P. in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun 13 Sep, 21:00. Argentinos JRS come in with 8 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Gimnasia L.P. have 9 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.25, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Argentinos JRS and 80% for Gimnasia L.P., so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with Argentinos JRS at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Argentinos JRS and 60% for Gimnasia L.P. Show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Argentinos JRS and 80% for Gimnasia L.P., so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Argentinos JRS.Visible data support
Positive
Are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Argentinos JRS and 80% for Gimnasia L.P., so the goals angle is not just a price call. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for Argentinos JRS and 80% for Gimnasia L.P., so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with Argentinos JRS at 1.

BTTS rates of 60% for Argentinos JRS and 60% for Gimnasia L.P. Show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Argentinos JRS1
Avg goals scored
Gimnasia L.P.1.6
Argentinos JRS1
Avg goals conceded
Gimnasia L.P.1.8
Argentinos JRS60%
BTTS rate
Gimnasia L.P.60%
Argentinos JRS40%
Over 2.5 goals
Gimnasia L.P.80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.2 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 34%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.2 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Gimnasia L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Gimnasia L.P. to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Argentinos JRS to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Argentinos JRS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Argentinos JRS6.6
Avg corners for
Gimnasia L.P.3.6
Argentinos JRS9.8
Avg total corners
Gimnasia L.P.7.6
Argentinos JRS2.2
Avg yellow cards
Gimnasia L.P.2.8
Argentinos JRS15
Avg shots
Gimnasia L.P.12.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 5.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Argentinos JRS

DWDLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 3D 1L
07 Sep 2026A Barracas Central0-0
30 Aug 2026H Aldosivi2-1
25 Aug 2026A Lanus1-1
16 Aug 2026A River Plate0-2
10 Aug 2026H Racing Club2-1

Gimnasia L.P.

WWLLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 4L
05 Sep 2026H Tigre2-1
29 Aug 2026A Rosario Central2-1
22 Aug 2026H Gimnasia M.2-3
15 Aug 2026A Estudiantes L.P.0-4
09 Aug 2026H Barracas Central2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Gimnasia L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Gimnasia L.P. to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Argentinos JRS to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Argentinos JRS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Argentinos JRS wins
2Draws
4Gimnasia L.P. wins
03 May 2026Gimnasia L.P. v Argentinos JRS2-0
02 Sep 2024Gimnasia L.P. v Argentinos JRS1-0
06 Mar 2024Argentinos JRS v Gimnasia L.P.2-0
19 Oct 2023Gimnasia L.P. v Argentinos JRS3-2
25 Apr 2023Argentinos JRS v Gimnasia L.P.2-4
17 Oct 2022Gimnasia L.P. v Argentinos JRS0-0
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.2 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 64%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Gimnasia L.P. to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Argentinos JRS to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The head-to-head sample gives context for Over 2.5 Goals, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Argentinos JRS27
Played
Gimnasia L.P.26
Argentinos JRS1.2
Avg goals for
Gimnasia L.P.1.2
Argentinos JRS0.8
Avg goals against
Gimnasia L.P.1.3
Argentinos JRS13
Clean sheets
Gimnasia L.P.8
Best odds for this sectionGimnasia L.P. Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
Load more odds for this section
Gimnasia L.P. to WinBetUK guide price · model 34%
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Argentinos JRS to WinBetfred guide price · model 38%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Argentinos JRS Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.38
Check odds @ 1.38
Season data supports Gimnasia L.P. Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Argentinos JRS29168534
6Gimnasia L.P.26168260
1Argentinos JRS1785215
3Gimnasia L.P.1585030
Argentinos JRS sit in position 1, while Gimnasia L.P. sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Over 2.5 Goals assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Argentinos JRS Over 2.5
80%Gimnasia L.P. Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Argentinos JRS sit at 40% and Gimnasia L.P. sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

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Betting context

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