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Tigre crestTigre
v
Rosario Central crestRosario Central

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sun 13 Sep, 18:45

Tigre v Rosario Central Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tigre face Rosario Central in Liga Profesional Argentina on Sun 13 Sep, 18:45. Tigre come in with 8 recent points and 0.8 goals per match, while Rosario Central have 8 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 9.5 Corners

  • At 1.91, Over 9.5 Corners implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Rosario Central lead the corner sample at 8.2 per match, with Tigre lower at 3.8.
  • Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Tigre average 10 and Rosario Central average 16.4.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Over 9.5 Corners sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Rosario Central lead the corner sample at 8.2 per match, with Tigre lower at 3.8.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
Rosario Central lead the corner sample at 8.2 per match.Visible data support
Positive
Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 9.5 Corners is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rosario Central lead the corner sample at 8.2 per match, with Tigre lower at 3.8. Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Key Data Signals

Over 9.5 Corners evidence

Rosario Central lead the corner sample at 8.2 per match, with Tigre lower at 3.8.

Corner value is stronger when the territory also produces shots: Tigre average 10 and Rosario Central average 16.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 9.5 Corners notes

  • Use corner averages alongside shot pressure to separate territory from real threat.
  • Check whether wide attacks are producing repeat deliveries rather than harmless possession.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tigre3.8
Avg corners for
Rosario Central8.2
Tigre8.8
Avg total corners
Rosario Central11.4
Tigre2.6
Avg yellow cards
Rosario Central2.8
Tigre10
Avg shots
Rosario Central16.4
Market aligned with main pickOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 59% vs implied 52% · edge +7 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tigre0.8
Avg goals scored
Rosario Central1.4
Tigre0.6
Avg goals conceded
Rosario Central1.2
Tigre40%
BTTS rate
Rosario Central80%
Tigre40%
Over 2.5 goals
Rosario Central60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 66%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 30%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 56%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Tigre to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Rosario Central to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Tigre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Rosario Central Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tigre

LDWDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 4D 3L
05 Sep 2026A Gimnasia L.P.1-2
01 Sep 2026H Barracas Central0-0
24 Aug 2026H Central Cordoba de Santiago2-1
15 Aug 2026A Aldosivi0-0
08 Aug 2026H River Plate1-0

Rosario Central

DLDWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
06 Sep 2026H Newells Old Boys1-1
29 Aug 2026H Gimnasia L.P.1-2
25 Aug 2026A Talleres Cordoba2-2
17 Aug 2026A Barracas Central1-0
07 Aug 2026H Aldosivi2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 71% · edge +0.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Tigre to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Rosario Central to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Tigre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Rosario Central Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Tigre wins
4Draws
2Rosario Central wins
03 May 2026Rosario Central v Tigre1-1
21 May 2024Rosario Central v Tigre1-1
03 Feb 2023Tigre v Rosario Central2-2
09 Aug 2022Tigre v Rosario Central3-1
04 Apr 2022Tigre v Rosario Central2-0
17 Feb 2019Rosario Central v Tigre0-2
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Tigre to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Rosario Central to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Tigre24
Played
Rosario Central27
Tigre1
Avg goals for
Rosario Central1.3
Tigre0.8
Avg goals against
Rosario Central1
Tigre8
Clean sheets
Rosario Central7
Best odds for this sectionTigre to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 35% · edge +7 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
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Rosario Central to WinBetUK guide price · model 43%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Tigre Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Rosario Central Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season data supports Tigre to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Rosario Central28168444
10Tigre20164843
6Tigre1283322
7Rosario Central1283321
Tigre sit in position 6, while Rosario Central sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the Over 9.5 Corners assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Tigre Over 2.5
60%Rosario Central Over 2.5
2.44H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Tigre sit at 40% and Rosario Central sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.44 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Defensa Y Justicia v Gimnasia M.Liga Profesional Argentina · Fri 11 Sep 23:15Boca Juniors v Central Cordoba de SantiagoLiga Profesional Argentina · Sat 12 Sep 01:30Estudiantes L.P. v PlatenseLiga Profesional Argentina · Sat 12 Sep 18:45Independ. Rivadavia v AldosiviLiga Profesional Argentina · Sat 12 Sep 18:45

Competition and hubs

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Betting context

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