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Club Tijuana crestClub Tijuana
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Atlas crestAtlas

Liga MX | Sat 26 Sep, 04:00

Club Tijuana v Atlas Stats

Data last updated: Fri 25 Sep 2026, 08:31 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Club Tijuana and Atlas meet in a Liga MX clash where both sides have shown offensive intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Club Tijuana ranks 6th with 14 points, while Atlas sits 9th also on 14 points, highlighting a competitive mid-table battle. Recent form data reveals Club Tijuana averaging 1.6 goals scored and 1.8 conceded per game, with Atlas scoring 1.4 and conceding 2. Both teams have a strong tendency to see both sides scoring, with Club Tijuana and Atlas posting BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively, setting up an open and attacking encounter with goal-scoring chances at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have high BTTS rates: Club Tijuana 60%, Atlas 80%.
  • Recent matches show Club Tijuana scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals per game.
  • Atlas concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Both teams average over 14 shots per game, suggesting attacking pressure.
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.4 per match, supporting goal-scoring likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking output and defensive lapses on both sides. Club Tijuana and Atlas both maintain high BTTS percentages and generate significant shot volumes, indicating sustained offensive pressure. The average goals in their recent meetings and current season stats reinforce the likelihood of goals at both ends. The pricing at 1.7 offers positive value given the model's higher probability estimate, making BTTS a compelling selection for this fixture.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
BTTS RatesClub Tijuana 60%, Atlas 80%
Strong positive
Average Goals in H2H2.4 goals per match
Positive
Shots per GameBoth teams average 14.2 shots
Positive
Implied Chance vs Model58.8% vs 76%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both Club Tijuana and Atlas have shown attacking intent but also defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical pick. The data highlights consistent goal-scoring from both sides and a high BTTS rate, supported by their recent form and head-to-head goal averages. Expect an open game with chances for both teams to find the net.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This fixture features two mid-table sides with offensive strengths and defensive weaknesses, creating a fertile environment for goals at both ends. The high BTTS percentages and shot volumes underline the attacking nature of this match-up.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have high BTTS rates: Club Tijuana 60%, Atlas 80%.

Recent matches show Club Tijuana scoring 1.6 and conceding 1.8 goals per game.

Atlas concedes 2 goals per game on average, indicating defensive frailty.

Both teams average over 14 shots per game, suggesting attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4 per match, indicating a moderately high scoring trend.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, supporting the BTTS market through sustained attacking play and defensive gaps on both sides.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Club Tijuana5
Avg corners for
Atlas6
Club Tijuana11
Avg total corners
Atlas9.75
Club Tijuana1.4
Avg yellow cards
Atlas1.25
Club Tijuana14.2
Avg shots
Atlas15
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 58% · edge +5 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams average around five corners per game, reflecting balanced territorial exchanges and set-piece opportunities. Shot volumes are high with 14.2 shots per team per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Discipline is moderate with yellow cards averaging 1.4 for Club Tijuana and 1.2 for Atlas, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Club Tijuana1.6
Avg goals scored
Atlas1.4
Club Tijuana1.8
Avg goals conceded
Atlas2
Club Tijuana60%
BTTS rate
Atlas80%
Club Tijuana60%
Over 2.5 goals
Atlas40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Both teams have strong BTTS rates this season, with Club Tijuana at 60% and Atlas at 80%. Their recent matches show consistent goal scoring and conceding, supported by an average of 2.4 goals in their last 10 meetings. This suggests a high likelihood of goals at both ends, driven by open play and defensive vulnerabilities.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Club Tijuana to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Club Tijuana Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Atlas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Atlas to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.7 with an implied chance of 58.8%, while the model estimates a 76% probability, indicating clear value. This pricing reflects market recognition of both teams' offensive capabilities and defensive lapses, making the BTTS bet a positive-value opportunity without warning flags.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Club Tijuana

DLWLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
21 Sep 2026A CF Pachuca2-2
12 Sep 2026H Club Queretaro0-1
29 Aug 2026H U.N.A.M. - Pumas2-0
23 Aug 2026A Guadalajara Chivas2-5
17 Aug 2026H Cruz Azul2-1

Atlas

DLDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 3L
20 Sep 2026H U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1
13 Sep 2026A Toluca2-5
06 Sep 2026H Atlante FC1-1
30 Aug 2026H Club Queretaro1-3
23 Aug 2026A Cruz Azul2-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 80% · edge +0.5 pts
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Load more odds for this section
Club Tijuana to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Club Tijuana Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Atlas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Atlas to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Recent form data shows Club Tijuana scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 1.8 per game, while Atlas scores 1.4 and concedes 2. Both teams have maintained BTTS rates above 60%, reflecting ongoing offensive threat and defensive exposure. This trend supports the expectation of goals from both sides in the upcoming fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Club Tijuana wins
3Draws
2Atlas wins
05 Mar 2026Atlas v Club Tijuana2-1
08 Nov 2025Club Tijuana v Atlas2-0
10 Mar 2025Club Tijuana v Atlas3-4
25 Nov 2024Club Tijuana v Atlas3-0
27 Oct 2024Atlas v Club Tijuana0-0
21 Jan 2024Atlas v Club Tijuana0-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Load more odds for this section
Club Tijuana to WinBetfred guide price · model 54%
2
Check odds @ 2
Atlas to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 2.4 goals per game, indicating a history of open contests with goals from both sides. While not overwhelmingly high, this trend aligns with the current season's offensive and defensive profiles, providing moderate support for the BTTS selection.
Season team stats

Liga MX

Club Tijuana8
Played
Atlas9
Club Tijuana1.5
Avg goals for
Atlas1.4
Club Tijuana1.3
Avg goals against
Atlas1.7
Club Tijuana3
Clean sheets
Atlas2
Best odds for this sectionClub Tijuana to WinBetfred guide price · Model 54% vs implied 50% · edge +3.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Club Tijuana Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.55
Check odds @ 1.55
Atlas Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Atlas to WinBetMGM guide price · model 30%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Season-long statistics reveal Club Tijuana's attack produces 1.6 goals per game but concedes 1.8, while Atlas scores 1.4 and concedes 2. These figures highlight both teams' offensive capabilities coupled with defensive vulnerabilities, reinforcing the BTTS market as a natural fit for this matchup.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Club Tijuana1484222
9Atlas149423-2
Both teams are level on 14 points, with Club Tijuana 6th and Atlas 9th in the Liga MX standings. This mid-table proximity suggests a competitive fixture where both sides will seek points, likely encouraging open play and goal attempts as they push for advantage.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Club Tijuana Over 2.5
40%Atlas Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.4 per match, indicating a moderately high scoring trend. This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, supporting the BTTS market through sustained attacking play and defensive gaps on both sides.

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