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Cesena crestCesena
v
Sampdoria crestSampdoria

Serie B | Sun 23 Aug, 20:00

Cesena v Sampdoria Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 07:40 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cesena face Sampdoria in Serie B on Sun 23 Aug, 20:00. Cesena and Sampdoria begin their Serie B campaigns at Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi with recent evidence pointing to a match shaped less by possession than by what either side can actually do with it. Cesena and Sampdoria have similar recent form, suggesting a balanced contest.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score NO

  • At 23/20, Both Teams To Score NO implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Their recent matches often see one side failing to score, making Both Teams To Score NO a logical choice.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 50% for Both Teams To Score NO sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Their recent matches often see one side failing to score, making Both Teams To Score NO a logical choice.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Neutral
Their recent matches often see one side failing.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +3.5 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because their recent matches often see one side failing to score, making Both Teams To Score NO a logical choice. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score NO evidence

Their recent matches often see one side failing to score, making Both Teams To Score NO a logical.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score NO notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cesena-
Avg goals scored
Sampdoria-
Cesena-
Avg goals conceded
Sampdoria-
Cesena-
BTTS rate
Sampdoria-
Cesena-
Over 2.5 goals
Sampdoria-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 56% · edge -5.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.05
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 35%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS Yes does not fully support the current price; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 56% · edge -5.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sampdoria to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Sampdoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS Yes is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cesena

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Cesena yet.

Sampdoria

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sampdoria yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 71% vs implied 65% · edge +5.6 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Sampdoria to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Sampdoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3Cesena wins
3Draws
2Sampdoria wins
25 Apr 2026Cesena v Sampdoria0-0
13 Sep 2025Sampdoria v Cesena1-2
17 Jan 2025Sampdoria v Cesena1-2
20 Oct 2024Cesena v Sampdoria3-5
18 Apr 2015Sampdoria v Cesena0-0
23 Nov 2014Cesena v Sampdoria1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 56% · edge -5.6 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Sampdoria to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Cesena1
Played
Sampdoria1
Cesena1
Avg goals for
Sampdoria1
Cesena1
Avg goals against
Sampdoria1
Cesena0
Clean sheets
Sampdoria0
Best odds for this sectionSampdoria to WinBet365 guide price · Model 41% vs implied 36% · edge +4.6 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
2.55
Check odds @ 2.55
Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Sampdoria Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season data supports Sampdoria to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Cesena110100
11Sampdoria110100
Cesena sit in position 10, while Sampdoria sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score NO assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Cesena Over 2.5
-Sampdoria Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
Their recent matches often see one side failing to score, making Both Teams To Score NO a logical choice.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.