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Cremonese crestCremonese

Serie B | Sat 12 Sep, 18:30

Cesena v Cremonese Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Cesena hosts Cremonese in a Serie B clash where both teams have shown contrasting defensive records and attacking intent early in the season. Cesena has been solid at home with a balanced goal output and a perfect BTTS record so far, while Cremonese has struggled defensively but remains capable of scoring. The match promises tactical battles in midfield with both sides eager to break defensive lines, setting the stage for an open game with scoring opportunities on both ends. Recent form and attacking patterns suggest a lively encounter under the lights.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Cesena has scored and conceded in all recent matches, showing consistent BTTS form.
  • Cremonese concedes an average of 1.67 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams average 11 shots per game, reflecting offensive activity from each side.
  • D'Andrea is highly active with over 5 shots per 90 minutes, contributing to attacking chances.
  • Thorsby leads with 4.74 shots on target per 90, highlighting goal threat potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a strong 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by Cesena's perfect BTTS rate and Cremonese's offensive pressure despite defensive lapses. Both sides generate similar shot volumes and have key players like C. Thorsby who consistently threaten goal. The of nearly 19% at of 1.75 reflects a favorable price for this market. The balanced attacking and defensive profiles suggest a match where both teams are likely to find the net, making BTTS a compelling selection.

Cesena BTTS Rate100% in recent matches
Strong positive
Cremonese Defensive Record1.67 goals conceded per game
Positive
Shot VolumeBoth teams average 11 shots per game
Positive
Key Player ThreatsShpendi and Thorsby high shots on target
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making a Both Teams to Score outcome tactically plausible. Cesena’s home form and Cremonese’s offensive players provide a solid data foundation for expecting goals at both ends in this Serie B fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“The attacking profiles of Cesena and Cremonese, combined with their defensive openness, create a fertile ground for both sides to score. Key players like Shpendi and Thorsby are pivotal in unlocking defenses, making BTTS a logical betting angle.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Cesena has scored and conceded in all recent matches, showing consistent BTTS form.

Cremonese concedes an average of 1.67 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams average 11 shots per game, reflecting offensive activity from each side.

D'Andrea is highly active with over 5 shots per 90 minutes, contributing to attacking chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last four meetings, the average goals per game is 1.5, a moderate scoring rate.
  • However, recent form and attacking stats suggest an increased tempo and offensive pressure that could push this match over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams’ tendencies to concede and create chances align with a lively, goal-filled encounter.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Cesena1.33
Avg goals scored
Cremonese1
Cesena1
Avg goals conceded
Cremonese1.67
Cesena100%
BTTS rate
Cremonese33%
Cesena33%
Over 2.5 goals
Cremonese67%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cesena’s perfect BTTS record contrasts with Cremonese’s 33% BTTS rate, but Cremonese’s higher goals conceded per game and offensive shot volume suggest they can breach Cesena’s defense. The average 1.5 goals in their recent head-to-heads and attacking tendencies point to a match with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
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Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cremonese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.75 with a of 76%, indicating clear value. The implied chance of 57.1% is well below the model's probability, suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of both teams scoring. This price sensitivity supports a confident stance on BTTS without major caution flags.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Cesena4
Avg corners for
Cremonese5.33
Cesena11.33
Avg total corners
Cremonese8.33
Cesena1.67
Avg yellow cards
Cremonese1.67
Cesena11
Avg shots
Cremonese11
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 53% vs implied 46% · edge +7.2 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams average a combined 9.33 corners per game, reflecting active wing play and set-piece opportunities. Discipline is balanced with 1.67 yellow cards each, indicating moderate fouling that can disrupt rhythm but not overly hinder attacking flow. Shot volumes of 11 per team underline sustained offensive pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Cesena

DWD
Last 51W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 0L
06 Sep 2026H Mantova1-1
29 Aug 2026A Virtus Entella2-1
23 Aug 2026H Sampdoria1-1

Cremonese

WLL
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
06 Sep 2026H Padova3-1
28 Aug 2026H Modena0-3
22 Aug 2026A Empoli0-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Cesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Cremonese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cesena has accumulated 5 points with a strong BTTS record, scoring 1.33 goals per game and conceding 1. Cremonese holds 3 points but concedes more frequently at 1.67 goals per game. Cesena’s recent form suggests a balanced attack and defense, while Cremonese’s form indicates vulnerability at the back but consistent offensive attempts, supporting BTTS.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Cesena wins
0Draws
2Cremonese wins
22 Feb 2025Cremonese v Cesena1-2
26 Dec 2024Cesena v Cremonese0-1
18 May 2018Cesena v Cremonese1-0
28 Dec 2017Cremonese v Cesena1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Cremonese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The four recent head-to-head matches have averaged 1.5 goals, indicating relatively low scoring historically. While this suggests a cautious baseline, current season form and attacking player performances imply a shift towards more open play, making BTTS a more viable expectation than past meetings alone would suggest.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Cesena3
Played
Cremonese3
Cesena1.3
Avg goals for
Cremonese1
Cesena1
Avg goals against
Cremonese1.7
Cesena0
Clean sheets
Cremonese0
Best odds for this sectionCesena Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.9 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Cesena to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Cremonese Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Cremonese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Cesena’s season stats show a balanced attack and defense with a 33% Over 2.5 goals rate but perfect BTTS, indicating consistent goal exchanges. Cremonese’s higher Over 2.5 rate at 67% and goals conceded average support the likelihood of both teams scoring, reflecting their open defensive style and attacking willingness.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9Cesena531201
13Cremonese33102-2
Cesena sits 9th with 5 points, showing competitive early-season form, while Cremonese is 13th with 3 points. The standings reflect a mid-table clash where both teams seek points to improve position, likely encouraging open play and offensive risk-taking that favors goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Cesena Over 2.5
67%Cremonese Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
In the last four meetings, the average goals per game is 1.5, a moderate scoring rate. However, recent form and attacking stats suggest an increased tempo and offensive pressure that could push this match over 2.5 goals. Both teams’ tendencies to concede and create chances align with a lively, goal-filled encounter.

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Fixture links

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