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Celtic crestCeltic
v
Rangers crestRangers

Premiership | Sun 10 May, 12:00

Celtic v Rangers Stats

Data last updated: Mon 15 Jun 2026, 15:15 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Celtic face Rangers in Premiership on Sun 10 May, 12:00. While Celtic are in superior form, Rangers have scored in recent matches and often find a way to contribute in this fixture. Celtic enter the derby with massive momentum following five consecutive wins in all competitions.

BT4Y match pick · price watch

Ing one of three outcomes: Home win, Away win, or Draw

  • At 5/6, Celtic Win implies roughly 55%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 48%.
  • Celtic’s home advantage and attacking ruthlessness should prove decisive in this clash.
  • Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Rangers.
  • Celtic have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Celtic Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Celtic sit 1 in the table, while Rangers sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Ing one of three outcomes: Home win, Away win, or Draw is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 55% while the model sits nearer 48% (-6.5 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Over 3.5 Goals shows a +14.5 pts edge at 2.3.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 48% for Celtic Win sits against roughly 55% implied by the current price. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Rangers. Celtic’s home advantage and attacking ruthlessness should prove decisive in this clash.

Model chance vs price48% model chance against roughly 55% implied
Negative
Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points.Visible data support
Positive
Celtic have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Celtic’s home advantage and attacking ruthlessness should prove decisive.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Celtic Win is the preferred angle because celtic’s home advantage and attacking ruthlessness should prove decisive in this clash. Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Rangers. However, Celtic have responded impressively despite those absences.

Main risk

However, Celtic have responded impressively despite those absences.

Key Data Signals

Celtic Win evidence

Celtic’s home advantage and attacking ruthlessness should prove decisive in this clash.

Celtic have the stronger recent points return, taking 12 points from the sample compared with 9 for Rangers.

Celtic have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Celtic Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Celtic sit 1 in the table, while Rangers sit 3, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Celtic Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Celtic7
    Avg corners for
    Rangers5.2
    Celtic11.4
    Avg total corners
    Rangers8
    Celtic1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Rangers1.6
    Celtic15.6
    Avg shots
    Rangers17.6
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 60% vs implied 46% · edge +14.6 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    Premiership fixtures and predictionsCeltic v Rangers predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Celtic1.6
    Avg goals scored
    Rangers3.4
    Celtic1
    Avg goals conceded
    Rangers2.2
    Celtic60%
    BTTS rate
    Rangers100%
    Celtic60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Rangers100%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 65% · edge +11.1 pts
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 28%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 51% · edge -3.3 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Celtic to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Celtic

    WWWWL
    Last 54W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 107W 1D 2L
    03 May 2026A Hibernian2-1
    25 Apr 2026H Falkirk3-1
    11 Apr 2026H ST Mirren1-0
    05 Apr 2026A Dundee2-1
    22 Mar 2026A Dundee Utd0-2

    Rangers

    LLWWW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    04 May 2026A Heart Of Midlothian1-2
    26 Apr 2026H Motherwell2-3
    12 Apr 2026A Falkirk6-3
    04 Apr 2026H Dundee Utd4-2
    21 Mar 2026H Aberdeen4-1
    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 51% · edge -3.3 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 77%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Celtic wins
    5Draws
    3Rangers wins
    08 Mar 2026Rangers v Celtic0-0
    01 Mar 2026Rangers v Celtic2-2
    03 Jan 2026Celtic v Rangers1-3
    02 Nov 2025Celtic v Rangers3-1
    31 Aug 2025Rangers v Celtic0-0
    04 May 2025Rangers v Celtic1-1
    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 51% · edge -3.3 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.5
    Check odds @ 1.5
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Celtic to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Celtic38
    Played
    Rangers38
    Celtic1.9
    Avg goals for
    Rangers2
    Celtic1.1
    Avg goals against
    Rangers1.1
    Celtic13
    Clean sheets
    Rangers12
    Market aligned with main pickCeltic to WinBetfred guide price · Model 48% vs implied 51% · edge -3.3 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Celtic Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.82
    Check odds @ 1.82
    Season data supports Celtic to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    2Rangers69331912235
    3Celtic6733214824
    1Celtic8238264832
    3Rangers72382012633
    Celtic sit in position 1, while Rangers sit in position 3, so table pressure belongs in the Celtic Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%Celtic Over 2.5
    100%Rangers Over 2.5
    3.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Celtic sit at 60% and Rangers sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Celtic v Rangers prediction

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    Betting context

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