Football Stats Hub

ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd

Premiership | Sun 17 May, 14:00

ST Mirren v Dundee Utd Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren face Dundee Utd in Premiership on Sun 17 May, 14:00. ST Mirren come in with 3 recent points and 0.4 goals per match, while Dundee Utd have 7 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Cards

  • At 2.1, Over 3.5 Cards implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • ST Mirren have the higher yellow-card average at 2.2, while Dundee Utd sit at 1.8.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Over 3.5 Cards sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. ST Mirren have the higher yellow-card average at 2.2, while Dundee Utd sit at 1.8.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
ST Mirren have the higher yellow-card average at 2.2.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that discipline level is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers ST Mirren have the higher yellow-card average at 2.2, while Dundee Utd sit at 1.8. The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Main risk

The card line needs match pressure and repeated duels; a controlled game state would weaken the booking angle.

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Cards evidence

ST Mirren have the higher yellow-card average at 2.2, while Dundee Utd sit at 1.8.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Cards notes

  • Compare both yellow-card averages before treating the card line as value.
  • Check whether match pressure is likely to create fouls and recovery challenges.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

ST Mirren0.4
Avg goals scored
Dundee Utd1.2
ST Mirren1.4
Avg goals conceded
Dundee Utd1.4
ST Mirren0%
BTTS rate
Dundee Utd20%
ST Mirren20%
Over 2.5 goals
Dundee Utd60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Dundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
ST Mirren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
ST Mirren to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 Cards is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

ST Mirren4.6
Avg corners for
Dundee Utd4.6
ST Mirren9.6
Avg total corners
Dundee Utd9.2
ST Mirren2.2
Avg yellow cards
Dundee Utd1.8
ST Mirren10.8
Avg shots
Dundee Utd14.8
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

ST Mirren

WLLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
12 May 2026A Aberdeen2-0
09 May 2026H Kilmarnock0-3
02 May 2026A Dundee0-1
25 Apr 2026H Livingston0-2
11 Apr 2026A Celtic0-1

Dundee Utd

DLLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 4L
12 May 2026H Livingston0-0
09 May 2026A Aberdeen0-2
02 May 2026A Kilmarnock0-3
26 Apr 2026H Dundee3-0
11 Apr 2026H Livingston3-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Dundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
ST Mirren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
ST Mirren to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

3ST Mirren wins
1Draws
6Dundee Utd wins
03 Mar 2026Dundee Utd v ST Mirren2-1
06 Dec 2025ST Mirren v Dundee Utd2-0
25 Oct 2025Dundee Utd v ST Mirren3-1
10 May 2025Dundee Utd v ST Mirren0-2
11 Jan 2025ST Mirren v Dundee Utd0-1
30 Nov 2024Dundee Utd v ST Mirren2-0
Best odds for this sectionDundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · Model 47% vs implied 32% · edge +15 pts
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
DrawBetUK guide price · model 23%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
ST Mirren to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample gives context for Dundee Utd to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Premiership

ST Mirren40
Played
Dundee Utd38
ST Mirren0.8
Avg goals for
Dundee Utd1.3
ST Mirren1.4
Avg goals against
Dundee Utd1.6
ST Mirren10
Clean sheets
Dundee Utd7
Best odds for this sectionDundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Dundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · model 47%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
ST Mirren Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
ST Mirren to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Dundee Utd Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Dundee Utd403391311-9
10ST Mirren30337917-21
1Dundee Utd4538101513-11
5ST Mirren343881020-25
ST Mirren sit in position 5, while Dundee Utd sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Over 3.5 Cards assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%ST Mirren Over 2.5
60%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ST Mirren sit at 20% and Dundee Utd sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

ST Mirren v Dundee Utd prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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