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ST Mirren crestST Mirren
v
Dundee Utd crestDundee Utd

Premiership | Sun 17 May, 14:00

ST Mirren v Dundee Utd Stats

Data last updated: Wed 10 Jun 2026, 10:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

ST Mirren face Dundee Utd in Premiership on Sun 17 May, 14:00. Manager Technical Comparison: Career PPG ST Mirren come in with 3 recent points and 0.4 goals per match, while Dundee Utd have 7 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Dundee Utd Win

  • At 3.1, Dundee Utd Win implies roughly 32%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Manager Technical Comparison: Career PPG
  • Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for ST Mirren.
  • ST Mirren have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee Utd Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • ST Mirren sit 5 in the table, while Dundee Utd sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Dundee Utd Win sits against roughly 32% implied by the current price. Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for ST Mirren. Manager Technical Comparison: Career PPG

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 32% implied
Strong positive
Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 7.Visible data support
Positive
ST Mirren have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded.Visible data support
Positive
Manager Technical Comparison: Career PPGArticle support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Dundee Utd Win is the preferred angle because manager Technical Comparison: Career PPG Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for ST Mirren. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Dundee Utd Win evidence

Manager Technical Comparison: Career PPG

Dundee Utd have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 3 for ST Mirren.

ST Mirren have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.4 conceded per match, which helps the Dundee Utd Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

ST Mirren sit 5 in the table, while Dundee Utd sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Dundee Utd Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    ST Mirren0.4
    Avg goals scored
    Dundee Utd1.2
    ST Mirren1.4
    Avg goals conceded
    Dundee Utd1.4
    ST Mirren0%
    BTTS rate
    Dundee Utd20%
    ST Mirren20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Dundee Utd60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 46% · edge +21.8 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
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    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 60%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 32% · edge +31.5 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
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    Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 64%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Dundee Utd to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    ST Mirren4.6
    Avg corners for
    Dundee Utd4.6
    ST Mirren9.6
    Avg total corners
    Dundee Utd9.2
    ST Mirren2.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Dundee Utd1.8
    ST Mirren10.8
    Avg shots
    Dundee Utd14.8
    Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 48% · edge +16.4 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
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    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    ST Mirren

    WLLLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 1D 6L
    12 May 2026A Aberdeen2-0
    09 May 2026H Kilmarnock0-3
    02 May 2026A Dundee0-1
    25 Apr 2026H Livingston0-2
    11 Apr 2026A Celtic0-1

    Dundee Utd

    DLLWW
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    12 May 2026H Livingston0-0
    09 May 2026A Aberdeen0-2
    02 May 2026A Kilmarnock0-3
    26 Apr 2026H Dundee3-0
    11 Apr 2026H Livingston3-2
    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 32% · edge +31.5 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
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    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3ST Mirren wins
    1Draws
    6Dundee Utd wins
    03 Mar 2026Dundee Utd v ST Mirren2-1
    06 Dec 2025ST Mirren v Dundee Utd2-0
    25 Oct 2025Dundee Utd v ST Mirren3-1
    10 May 2025Dundee Utd v ST Mirren0-2
    11 Jan 2025ST Mirren v Dundee Utd0-1
    30 Nov 2024Dundee Utd v ST Mirren2-0
    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 32% · edge +31.5 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 37%
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Dundee Utd to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Premiership

    ST Mirren40
    Played
    Dundee Utd38
    ST Mirren0.8
    Avg goals for
    Dundee Utd1.3
    ST Mirren1.4
    Avg goals against
    Dundee Utd1.6
    ST Mirren10
    Clean sheets
    Dundee Utd7
    Market aligned with main pickDundee Utd to WinBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 32% · edge +31.5 pts
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Dundee Utd Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 72%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Season data supports Dundee Utd to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    7Dundee Utd403391311-9
    10ST Mirren30337917-21
    1Dundee Utd4538101513-11
    5ST Mirren343881020-25
    ST Mirren sit in position 5, while Dundee Utd sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Dundee Utd Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%ST Mirren Over 2.5
    60%Dundee Utd Over 2.5
    2.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: ST Mirren sit at 20% and Dundee Utd sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    ST Mirren v Dundee Utd prediction

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