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Bahia crestBahia
v
Internacional crestInternacional

Serie A | Sun 30 Aug, 23:30

Bahia v Internacional Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 05:11 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Bahia face Internacional in Serie A on Sun 30 Aug, 23:30. Bahia average 17.2 attempts per game across their last 10 league matches, two more than Internacional’s 15.2, while also holding a sizeable possession advantage at 57% to 46.8%.

BT4Y best bet

Bahia to win

  • At 17/20, Bahia to win implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 62%.
  • Bahia vs Internacional: Home Strength Meets an Attack Searching for Answers.
  • Bahia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Internacional.
  • Bahia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bahia to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Bahia sit 4 in the table, while Internacional sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 62% for Bahia to win sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Bahia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Internacional. Bahia vs Internacional: Home Strength Meets an Attack Searching for Answers.

Model chance vs price62% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
Bahia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points.Visible data support
Positive
Bahia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Bahia vs Internacional: Home Strength Meets an Attack Searching.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Bahia Win is the preferred angle because bahia vs Internacional: Home Strength Meets an Attack Searching for Answers. Bahia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Internacional. The visitors have become difficult to break down recently, but their lack of attacking reward leaves precious little margin for error.

Main risk

The visitors have become difficult to break down recently, but their lack of attacking reward leaves precious little margin for error.

Key Data Signals

Bahia to win evidence

Bahia vs Internacional: Home Strength Meets an Attack Searching for Answers.

Bahia have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 4 for Internacional.

Bahia have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.8 conceded per match, which helps the Bahia Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Bahia sit 4 in the table, while Internacional sit 18, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Bahia to win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Bahia1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Internacional0.4
    Bahia0.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Internacional0.8
    Bahia40%
    BTTS rate
    Internacional40%
    Bahia20%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Internacional0%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +14.7 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 57%
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Bahia

    WDDDD
    Last 51W 4D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 6D 1L
    23 Aug 2026A Vitoria2-0
    16 Aug 2026A Chapecoense-sc3-3
    09 Aug 2026H Vasco DA Gama0-0
    30 Jul 2026A Fluminense0-0
    26 Jul 2026H Corinthians1-1

    Internacional

    DDDDL
    Last 50W 4D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 5D 4L
    22 Aug 2026H Atletico-MG0-0
    18 Aug 2026H Remo1-1
    09 Aug 2026A Palmeiras0-0
    29 Jul 2026H Flamengo1-1
    25 Jul 2026A Atletico Paranaense0-2
    Market aligned with main pickBahia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +9 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Bahia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Bahia4627121059
    18Internacional282761011-5
    Bahia sit in position 4, while Internacional sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Bahia to win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickBahia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +9 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Bahia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Bahia to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Bahia4.8
    Avg corners for
    Internacional4.75
    Bahia10
    Avg total corners
    Internacional9.25
    Bahia1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Internacional2.25
    Bahia16.2
    Avg shots
    Internacional14
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 64% · edge +2.7 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 10.5 CornersBetUK guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Bahia wins
    3Draws
    4Internacional wins
    15 Mar 2026Internacional v Bahia0-1
    08 Nov 2025Internacional v Bahia2-2
    22 Oct 2025Bahia v Internacional1-0
    28 May 2025Internacional v Bahia2-1
    03 Apr 2025Bahia v Internacional1-1
    28 Jul 2024Bahia v Internacional1-1
    Market aligned with main pickBahia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +9 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Bahia to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie A

    Bahia27
    Played
    Internacional27
    Bahia1.6
    Avg goals for
    Internacional1.1
    Bahia1.2
    Avg goals against
    Internacional1.3
    Bahia8
    Clean sheets
    Internacional6
    Market aligned with main pickBahia to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 53% · edge +9 pts
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Load more odds for this section
    Bahia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.48
    Check odds @ 1.48
    Season data supports Bahia to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    20%Bahia Over 2.5
    0%Internacional Over 2.5
    2.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Bahia sit at 20% and Internacional sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Bahia v Internacional prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

    Read full prediction View match centre