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Remo crestRemo
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Santos crestSantos

Serie A | Sat 19 Sep, 22:30

Remo v Santos Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Santos approaches this Serie A clash against Remo with strong momentum, having accumulated 13 points recently compared to Remo's solitary point. Santos ranks 10th in the league with 35 points, showing solid defensive resilience conceding just 0.8 goals per game. Remo, positioned 19th with 23 points, has struggled defensively, allowing 1.8 goals per match. Santos' tactical setup emphasizes controlled possession and efficient attacking transitions, leveraging key attackers like Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa. The match presents a clear opportunity for Santos to capitalize on their form and tactical discipline away from home.

BT4Y best bet

Santos to Win

  • Santos holds a 70% to win with strong value at 2.62 .
  • Remo concedes 1.8 goals per game, while Santos allows only 0.8, highlighting defensive strength.
  • Santos averages 15.2 shots per game with 5.6 on target, indicating attacking threat.
  • Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa lead Santos' attack with high shot and goal involvement.
  • Recent form heavily favors Santos, who have gained 13 points versus Remo's 1 in recent matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Santos to win due to their superior recent form, defensive solidity, and attacking efficiency. Santos concedes significantly fewer goals than Remo and generates more shots on target, indicating better chance creation and defensive control. Key players like Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa contribute consistently to goal threats, supported by midfielders such as Everton who provide volume and accuracy in shooting. The price offers clear value given the implied chance is well below the model's 70% win probability, making Santos a strong selection. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Recent FormSantos 13 points vs Remo 1 point
Strong positive
Defensive RecordSantos concedes 0.8 goals/game vs Remo 1.8
Strong positive
Attacking ThreatSantos averages 15.2 shots, 5.6 on target per game
Strong positive
Key PlayersNeymar 6 goals, 1.54 SOT/90; Gabriel Barbosa 0.69 goals/game
Strong positive
Price ValueOdds 2.62 imply 38.2% chance vs model 70%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Santos' tactical discipline and superior defensive record make them the clear favorites to win this match. Their recent form and attacking firepower, led by Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa, provide a strong foundation for victory against a struggling Remo side. Expect Santos to control the game and capitalize on Remo's defensive vulnerabilities.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Santos' blend of defensive resilience and attacking quality, especially through Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa, positions them well to secure a win despite playing away. Their recent form and shot metrics underline a team in control and capable of breaking down Remo's defense.”

Key Data Signals

Santos to Win evidence

Santos holds a 70% to win with strong value at 2.62 .

Remo concedes 1.8 goals per game, while Santos allows only 0.8, highlighting defensive strength.

Santos averages 15.2 shots per game with 5.6 on target, indicating attacking threat.

Neymar and Gabriel Barbosa lead Santos' attack with high shot and goal involvement.

What To Watch In The Data

Santos to Win notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, indicating tight contests.
  • Both teams have a 60% rate for over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting potential for goals if Santos' attack breaks through.
  • The trend points to a balanced tempo with opportunities for both sides, but Santos' defensive strength may limit the total goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Remo1
Avg goals scored
Santos2
Remo1.8
Avg goals conceded
Santos0.8
Remo80%
BTTS rate
Santos60%
Remo60%
Over 2.5 goals
Santos60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams have a 60% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, but Santos' stronger defense suggests a controlled game with fewer goals conceded. Remo's higher BTTS rate at 80% indicates they often concede and score, but Santos' solidity may limit this. Expect a moderate scoring game with Santos likely to keep a clean sheet or concede minimally.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Santos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The for Santos to win at 2.62 offer significant value compared to the model's 70% win probability. This price reflects market underestimation of Santos' form and defensive strength. The current pricing is attractive for standard stakes, with potential for further improvement if Santos maintain their momentum.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Remo5.5
Avg corners for
Santos6.5
Remo12
Avg total corners
Santos10.75
Remo2.25
Avg yellow cards
Santos2
Remo16.75
Avg shots
Santos17.75
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 5.5 CardsBetfred guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Shot data shows Santos averages slightly more shots (15.2) and significantly more shots on target (5.6) than Remo, indicating better attacking pressure. Corner counts are similar, suggesting balanced territorial play. Card averages are close, with Santos slightly higher, reflecting a competitive but disciplined match environment.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Remo

LLLLD
Last 50W 1D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
15 Sep 2026A Bahia1-2
06 Sep 2026H Flamengo0-1
01 Sep 2026H Coritiba2-3
22 Aug 2026A Fluminense1-2
18 Aug 2026A Internacional1-1

Santos

WWWDW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
13 Sep 2026H Cruzeiro2-1
06 Sep 2026A Internacional3-2
30 Aug 2026A Corinthians1-0
23 Aug 2026H Mirassol1-1
16 Aug 2026A Vasco DA Gama3-0
Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Santos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Santos has collected 13 points recently, showcasing strong form and consistency, while Remo has managed just 1 point, highlighting their struggles. Santos' defensive record in this period is impressive, conceding fewer goals and maintaining clean sheets, which supports in their ability to secure a win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Remo wins
1Draws
2Santos wins
05 Aug 2026Remo v Santos0-1
02 Aug 2026Santos v Remo0-0
02 Apr 2026Santos v Remo2-0
Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample is limited to three matches with an average of only one goal per game, indicating cautious encounters. While this suggests tight games, Santos' current form and defensive solidity provide a stronger basis to expect them to edge this fixture, making past meetings a minor but relevant background factor.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Remo27
Played
Santos26
Remo1.1
Avg goals for
Santos1.5
Remo1.7
Avg goals against
Santos1.5
Remo3
Clean sheets
Santos6
Market aligned with main pickSantos to WinBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 38% · edge +15 pts
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
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Santos Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over the season, Santos exhibits a solid defensive profile conceding only 0.8 goals per game, coupled with an effective attack averaging over 15 shots per match. Remo's defensive frailties are evident in their 1.8 goals conceded per game, which Santos can exploit. These season-long trends align with the expectation of a Santos victory.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
10Santos35269890
19Remo23275814-14
Santos sits comfortably in 10th place with 35 points, reflecting a stable mid-table position and less pressure compared to Remo, who are 19th with 23 points and facing relegation threats. This standings context suggests Santos can play with and control, while Remo may be under pressure to avoid defeat.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Remo Over 2.5
60%Santos Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is low at 1 per game, indicating tight contests. Both teams have a 60% rate for over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting potential for goals if Santos' attack breaks through. The trend points to a balanced tempo with opportunities for both sides, but Santos' defensive strength may limit the total goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.