Football Stats Hub

Vasco DA Gama crestVasco DA Gama
v
Coritiba crestCoritiba

Serie A | Sun 20 Sep, 00:30

Vasco DA Gama v Coritiba Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:16 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Vasco DA Gama and Coritiba meet in a Serie A clash where both teams have shown attacking intent despite defensive vulnerabilities. Vasco DA Gama ranks 17th with 28 points, while Coritiba sits comfortably in 8th with 38 points. Recent form highlights Coritiba's stronger offensive output, averaging 2 goals per game, while Vasco DA Gama manages 1.2. Both sides have high BTTS rates, with Coritiba at 100% and Vasco DA Gama at 60%, suggesting an open game with scoring chances at both ends. The match promises tactical battles with attacking players eager to influence the outcome.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Coritiba has scored in every recent match, showing consistent offensive threat.
  • Vasco DA Gama concedes an average of 2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 80% or higher, supporting goal exchanges.
  • Average shots on target per game are high for both sides, reflecting attacking intent.
  • Recent matches for both teams frequently exceed 2.5 goals, indicating open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 76% chance for both teams to score, driven by Coritiba's perfect BTTS record and Vasco DA Gama's defensive concessions. Both teams average over 14 shots per game with solid shots on target, reinforcing offensive pressure. The high BTTS rates and recent goal trends support an open game scenario. No price warning applies, and the of 1.95 offer positive value given the model's and the tactical openness expected in this fixture.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Coritiba BTTS Rate100%
Strong positive
Vasco DA Gama Defensive Concession2 goals per game
Positive
Shots on Target Average4.15 combined per game
Positive
Over 2.5 Goals Rate80% both teams
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess attacking qualities that make goals likely at both ends. Coritiba's consistent scoring and Vasco DA Gama's defensive lapses create an environment conducive to both teams finding the net. This pick aligns well with the tactical openness and recent form data, suggesting a lively contest with goals from both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“Coritiba's attacking consistency combined with Vasco DA Gama's defensive struggles sets the stage for both teams to score. Expect an open game where offensive players like Bruno Lopes and Pedro Rocha will be key contributors.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Coritiba has scored in every recent match, showing consistent offensive threat.

Vasco DA Gama concedes an average of 2 goals per game, indicating defensive frailty.

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 80% or higher, supporting goal exchanges.

Average shots on target per game are high for both sides, reflecting attacking intent.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.3 per match, with a strong trend towards matches exceeding 2.5 goals.
  • This trend reflects a tempo favoring open play and goal opportunities, aligning with the BTTS pick and suggesting an entertaining fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vasco DA Gama1.2
Avg goals scored
Coritiba2
Vasco DA Gama2
Avg goals conceded
Coritiba1.8
Vasco DA Gama60%
BTTS rate
Coritiba100%
Vasco DA Gama80%
Over 2.5 goals
Coritiba80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have high BTTS rates, with Coritiba at 100% and Vasco DA Gama at 60%. Combined with an average of 2.3 goals in their last 10 meetings, the data suggests a match prone to goal exchanges and open play, supporting BTTS.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.95 with a of 76%, indicating clear value. The implied chance is 51.3%, well below the model's estimate, making this a positive value bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Vasco DA Gama5.8
Avg corners for
Coritiba4.8
Vasco DA Gama9.4
Avg total corners
Coritiba12.6
Vasco DA Gama2.8
Avg yellow cards
Coritiba1.8
Vasco DA Gama16.6
Avg shots
Coritiba14.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 68% vs implied 60% · edge +8 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams average around 4.5 corners per game, reflecting attacking pressure and wing play. Vasco DA Gama averages 3 yellow cards per game, indicating a physical approach that could disrupt rhythm but also lead to set-piece opportunities. Shot volumes are high, with both sides averaging over 14 shots and around 4 on target, highlighting offensive activity.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vasco DA Gama

WLWLL
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
12 Sep 2026A Gremio2-1
06 Sep 2026A Fluminense0-1
30 Aug 2026H Cruzeiro3-1
23 Aug 2026A Palmeiras1-4
16 Aug 2026H Santos0-3

Coritiba

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
12 Sep 2026H Atletico Paranaense3-3
06 Sep 2026H Mirassol1-2
01 Sep 2026A Remo3-2
23 Aug 2026H Corinthians2-1
16 Aug 2026A Sao Paulo1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 57% vs implied 42% · edge +15 pts
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Vasco DA Gama to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Coritiba's recent form shows 8 points with 2 goals per game and a 100% BTTS rate, indicating consistent scoring and conceding. Vasco DA Gama has 6 points with 1.2 goals scored and 2 conceded per game, reflecting vulnerability at the back and moderate scoring, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Vasco DA Gama wins
6Draws
2Coritiba wins
02 Apr 2026Coritiba v Vasco DA Gama1-1
21 Sep 2023Vasco DA Gama v Coritiba5-1
11 May 2023Coritiba v Vasco DA Gama1-1
16 Oct 2021Vasco DA Gama v Coritiba2-1
14 Jul 2021Coritiba v Vasco DA Gama1-1
17 Jan 2021Vasco DA Gama v Coritiba0-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 25%
4.1
Check odds @ 4.1
Vasco DA Gama to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 2.3 goals per game, indicating moderately high scoring encounters. While not overwhelmingly supportive, the H2H data complements the broader BTTS trend and recent form, providing background context rather than a decisive factor.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Vasco DA Gama26
Played
Coritiba27
Vasco DA Gama1.1
Avg goals for
Coritiba1.4
Vasco DA Gama1.6
Avg goals against
Coritiba1.4
Vasco DA Gama2
Clean sheets
Coritiba6
Best odds for this sectionCoritiba Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 28% · edge +15 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Load more odds for this section
Coritiba to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
7.5
Check odds @ 7.5
Vasco DA Gama Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Vasco DA Gama to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over the season, Vasco DA Gama concedes 2 goals per game and scores 1.2, while Coritiba scores 2 and concedes 1.8. Both teams have an 80% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, supporting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities and BTTS likelihood.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Coritiba38271089-1
17Vasco DA Gama28267712-12
Vasco DA Gama sits 17th with 28 points, under pressure to improve results, while Coritiba is 8th with 38 points, aiming to consolidate their position. The standings suggest Vasco DA Gama may adopt a more attacking approach to chase points, increasing goal chances for both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Vasco DA Gama Over 2.5
80%Coritiba Over 2.5
2.3H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 2.3 per match, with a strong trend towards matches exceeding 2.5 goals. This trend reflects a tempo favoring open play and goal opportunities, aligning with the BTTS pick and suggesting an entertaining fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Atletico-MG v Chapecoense-scSerie A · Sat 19 Sep 20:00Mirassol v BotafogoSerie A · Sat 19 Sep 21:00Remo v SantosSerie A · Sat 19 Sep 22:30Sao Paulo v InternacionalSerie A · Sun 20 Sep 01:00

Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre