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Arezzo crestArezzo
v
Palermo crestPalermo

Serie B | Sun 30 Aug, 18:00

Arezzo v Palermo Stats

Data last updated: Sun 20 Sep 2026, 23:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Arezzo face Palermo in Serie B on Sun 30 Aug, 18:00. Arezzo and Palermo both arrive at the Stadio Città di Arezzo with three points from their opening Serie B fixture, but by rather different routes. Arezzo's 16-match home scoring streak and Palermo's porous away defence support both teams scoring.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 9/10, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 53%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • A 1-1 draw fits the evidence of both teams scoring with limited goals.
  • Arezzo show a 100% BTTS rate and Palermo show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Arezzo average 2 goals scored and Palermo average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 53% implied by the current price. Arezzo show a 100% BTTS rate and Palermo show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. A 1-1 draw fits the evidence of both teams scoring with limited goals.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 53% implied
Positive
Arezzo show a 100% BTTS rate and Palermo show a.Visible data support
Positive
Arezzo average 2 goals scored and Palermo average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
A 1-1 draw fits the evidence of both teams.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because a 1-1 draw fits the evidence of both teams scoring with limited goals. Arezzo show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Palermo show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

A 1-1 draw fits the evidence of both teams scoring with limited goals.

Arezzo show a 100% BTTS rate and Palermo show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Arezzo average 2 goals scored and Palermo average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Arezzo2
Avg goals scored
Palermo1
Arezzo1
Avg goals conceded
Palermo0
Arezzo100%
BTTS rate
Palermo0%
Arezzo100%
Over 2.5 goals
Palermo0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Palermo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Arezzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Palermo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Arezzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Arezzo2
Avg corners for
Palermo6
Arezzo6
Avg total corners
Palermo12
Arezzo2
Avg yellow cards
Palermo4
Arezzo16
Avg shots
Palermo16
Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 51%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Arezzo

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
22 Aug 2026A Avellino2-1

Palermo

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
23 Aug 2026H Juve Stabia1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 56% · edge +0.9 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Palermo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Arezzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Palermo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Arezzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Arezzo wins
0Draws
0Palermo wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Arezzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Palermo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Arezzo5
Played
Palermo5
Arezzo1.2
Avg goals for
Palermo2
Arezzo2.6
Avg goals against
Palermo1
Arezzo1
Clean sheets
Palermo1
Best odds for this sectionPalermo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 53% vs implied 53% · edge +0.6 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Arezzo to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Palermo to WinBetMGM guide price · model 43%
2
Check odds @ 2
Arezzo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Season data supports Palermo Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Palermo1354105
12Arezzo65203-7
Arezzo sit in position 12, while Palermo sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Arezzo Over 2.5
0%Palermo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Arezzo sit at 100% and Palermo sit at 0%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.