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America Mineiro crestAmerica Mineiro
v
São Bernardo crestSão Bernardo

Serie B | Mon 14 Sep, 23:30

America Mineiro v São Bernardo Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 08:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features America Mineiro hosting São Bernardo in a fixture where both teams have shown tendencies to find the net recently. America Mineiro, despite sitting lower in the standings, have been involved in matches with multiple goals and have a strong over 2.5 goals rate. São Bernardo, positioned higher in the table, also demonstrate attacking intent and have a solid record of scoring in their games. The tactical setup suggests an open contest with opportunities at both ends, making goal-scoring from both sides a realistic prospect.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • America Mineiro and São Bernardo have a combined recent BTTS rate favoring both teams scoring.
  • America Mineiro's matches see a high over 2.5 goals rate at 80%.
  • São Bernardo averages 1.2 goals per game with a strong BTTS rate of 80%.
  • Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots, indicating offensive pressure.
  • Historical head-to-head shows an average of 2 goals, supporting goal involvement from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 73.3% chance for both teams to score, significantly higher than the market's implied 55.6%, indicating strong value at 1.8 . Both sides have demonstrated offensive capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities, with America Mineiro conceding 2 goals per game and São Bernardo 1.2. The attacking statistics, including shots on target and key players like Pedro Vitor and Rodrigo Andrade for São Bernardo, and Willian and R. Piñeiro for America Mineiro, reinforce the likelihood of goals from both teams. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Probability73.3% chance of BTTS
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance55.6%
Neutral
Value Edge+17.7%
Strong positive
Recent FormBoth teams scoring in majority of recent games
Positive
Player Offensive StatsHigh shots and shots on target from key attackers
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both America Mineiro and São Bernardo have shown offensive intent and defensive frailties, making both teams to score a compelling pick. The data highlights consistent goal involvement from key attackers and a high rate of matches featuring goals at both ends, supporting this selection as a tactically and statistically sound choice.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture's attacking profiles and recent scoring trends strongly suggest that both sides will find the net, making the BTTS market a smart angle to consider.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

America Mineiro and São Bernardo have a combined recent BTTS rate favoring both teams scoring.

America Mineiro's matches see a high over 2.5 goals rate at 80%.

São Bernardo averages 1.2 goals per game with a strong BTTS rate of 80%.

Both teams generate a healthy volume of shots, indicating offensive pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, America Mineiro has an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, while São Bernardo's is 40%.
  • Their head-to-head average of 2 goals indicates a moderate scoring tempo.
  • This trend panel suggests a decent likelihood of multiple goals, supporting the BTTS market through tempo and attacking opportunity analysis.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

America Mineiro

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for America Mineiro yet.

São Bernardo

LWLDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 5L
10 Sep 2026H Londrina1-2
06 Sep 2026A Ponte Preta2-0
28 Aug 2026A Goias1-2
23 Aug 2026H Nautico Recife1-1
19 Aug 2026A Fortaleza EC1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 79% vs implied 64% · edge +15 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
São Bernardo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
São Bernardo to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
America Mineiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
America Mineiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Recent form data shows America Mineiro earning 6 points with a high over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, while São Bernardo has 5 points and a BTTS rate of 80%. Both teams have been involved in matches with goals at both ends, reinforcing the likelihood of a BTTS outcome in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14São Bernardo352798106
19America Mineiro17274518-25
America Mineiro sits 19th with 17 points, under pressure to improve results, while São Bernardo is 14th with 35 points, aiming to consolidate mid-table position. The standings suggest both teams have motivation to attack and secure points, which may lead to an open game with goals at both ends.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

America Mineiro-
Avg goals scored
São Bernardo1.2
America Mineiro-
Avg goals conceded
São Bernardo1.2
America Mineiro-
BTTS rate
São Bernardo80%
America Mineiro-
Over 2.5 goals
São Bernardo40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Both teams have shown a propensity to score and concede goals, with America Mineiro conceding 2 per game and São Bernardo 1.2. Their BTTS rates of 40% and 80% respectively, combined with an average of 2 goals in their sole head-to-head, underline the likelihood of goals from both sides in this match.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
São Bernardo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
São Bernardo to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
America Mineiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
America Mineiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.8, offering a significant with the model estimating a 73.3% chance versus the market's 55.6%. This price sensitivity indicates a strong betting opportunity, supported by the teams' offensive and defensive profiles.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0America Mineiro wins
0Draws
0São Bernardo wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
São Bernardo to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
2
Check odds @ 2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
America Mineiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
The single head-to-head meeting between these teams averaged 2 goals, indicating a moderately open game with scoring from both sides. While the sample is limited, it aligns with current attacking and defensive trends, providing useful context for the BTTS selection.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

America Mineiro-
Avg corners for
São Bernardo6.4
America Mineiro-
Avg total corners
São Bernardo11.4
America Mineiro-
Avg yellow cards
São Bernardo0.6
America Mineiro-
Avg shots
São Bernardo13.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Both teams average 6.4 corners per game, reflecting balanced territorial battles and set-piece opportunities. America Mineiro's higher shot volume (18.2) and shots on target (5.8) compared to São Bernardo (13.6 shots, 3.8 on target) suggest sustained attacking pressure, while card counts indicate a moderately physical contest.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

America Mineiro27
Played
São Bernardo27
America Mineiro0.8
Avg goals for
São Bernardo1.4
America Mineiro1.7
Avg goals against
São Bernardo1.1
America Mineiro4
Clean sheets
São Bernardo6
Best odds for this sectionSão Bernardo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
São Bernardo to WinBet365 guide price · model 46%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
America Mineiro Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
America Mineiro to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Season-long statistics reveal America Mineiro's defensive vulnerability, conceding 2 goals per game, and São Bernardo's balanced attack and defense with 1.2 goals scored and conceded. These profiles support a match where both teams are likely to score, consistent with their BTTS rates and attacking tendencies.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-America Mineiro Over 2.5
40%São Bernardo Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, America Mineiro has an 80% over 2.5 goals rate, while São Bernardo's is 40%. Their head-to-head average of 2 goals indicates a moderate scoring tempo. This trend panel suggests a decent likelihood of multiple goals, supporting the BTTS market through tempo and attacking opportunity analysis.

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Fixture links

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