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Juventude crestJuventude
v
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

Serie B | Sun 13 Sep, 22:00

Juventude v Athletic Club Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:10 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juventude face Athletic Club in Serie B on Sun 13 Sep, 22:00. Juventude come in with 11 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Athletic Club have 3 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Juventude to Win

  • At 1.67, Juventude to Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 74%.
  • Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 3 for Athletic Club.
  • Juventude have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Juventude to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Juventude sit 1 in the table, while Athletic Club sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 74% for Juventude to Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 3 for Athletic Club.

Model chance vs price74% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Positive
Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points.Visible data support
Positive
Juventude have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Juventude Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 3 for Athletic Club. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Juventude to Win evidence

Juventude have the stronger recent points return, taking 11 points from the sample compared with 3 for Athletic Club.

Juventude have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.6 conceded per match, which helps the Juventude Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Juventude sit 1 in the table, while Athletic Club sit 12, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Juventude to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Juventude1.4
    Avg goals scored
    Athletic Club1.4
    Juventude0.6
    Avg goals conceded
    Athletic Club2.2
    Juventude40%
    BTTS rate
    Athletic Club40%
    Juventude40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Athletic Club80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 57% vs implied 44% · edge +12.3 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
    4.5
    Check odds @ 4.5
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 47%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Season team stats

    Serie B

    Juventude27
    Played
    Athletic Club27
    Juventude1.1
    Avg goals for
    Athletic Club1.1
    Juventude0.6
    Avg goals against
    Athletic Club1.1
    Juventude19
    Clean sheets
    Athletic Club7
    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Juventude Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Season data supports Juventude to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Juventude

    WDDWW
    Last 53W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 106W 3D 1L
    09 Sep 2026A Criciuma2-0
    05 Sep 2026H Atletico Goianiense2-2
    01 Sep 2026A Londrina0-0
    25 Aug 2026H CRB2-1
    19 Aug 2026A Goias1-0

    Athletic Club

    LWLLL
    Last 51W 0D 4L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    09 Sep 2026A Cuiaba0-3
    05 Sep 2026H Vila Nova5-0
    29 Aug 2026A Nautico Recife1-2
    24 Aug 2026H Novorizontino1-4
    20 Aug 2026H CRB0-2
    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Juventude Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Juventude Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    Juventude to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Juventude2.8
    Avg corners for
    Athletic Club4.2
    Juventude8.6
    Avg total corners
    Athletic Club9
    Juventude1.8
    Avg yellow cards
    Athletic Club1.8
    Juventude11.4
    Avg shots
    Athletic Club10
    Best odds for this sectionOver 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 58% · edge -3.4 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 4.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Juventude wins
    1Draws
    0Athletic Club wins
    17 May 2026Athletic Club v Juventude1-1
    Market aligned with main pickJuventude to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 60% · edge +14.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 57%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 50%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Juventude to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Juventude5027148515
    12Athletic Club372791081
    Juventude sit in position 1, while Athletic Club sit in position 12, so table pressure belongs in the Juventude to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%Juventude Over 2.5
    80%Athletic Club Over 2.5
    2H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Juventude sit at 40% and Athletic Club sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Football predictions hub

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    More stats pages

    Atletico Goianiense v CriciumaSerie B · Sun 13 Sep 20:00Fortaleza EC v CearaSerie B · Sun 13 Sep 22:30Novorizontino v CuiabaSerie B · Sun 13 Sep 22:30

    Competition and hubs

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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