Football Stats Hub

1899 Hoffenheim crest1899 Hoffenheim
v
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund

Bundesliga | Sat 05 Sep, 14:30

1899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund Stats

Data last updated: Fri 04 Sep 2026, 07:52 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Borussia Dortmund travel to face 1899 Hoffenheim in this Bundesliga clash, bringing recent momentum from a solid opening match win while Hoffenheim have yet to secure points this season. Dortmund's attacking structure, led by dynamic forwards and creative midfielders, contrasts with Hoffenheim's struggles to convert chances despite high shot volumes. The visitors' tactical discipline and sharper finishing could prove decisive, especially given Hoffenheim's defensive vulnerabilities and the pressure to respond at home. This match sets up as a test of Dortmund's efficiency against Hoffenheim's urgency to find form early in the campaign.

BT4Y best bet

Borussia Dortmund to Win

  • Borussia Dortmund have a 68.7% to win, showing strong value at 2.15 .
  • Hoffenheim have conceded 3 goals and scored 2 in recent form, while Dortmund kept a clean sheet and scored twice.
  • Dortmund average 20 shots per game with 6 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.
  • Hoffenheim's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Dortmund's 0%, suggesting differing match tempo approaches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Borussia Dortmund to win with a 68.7% chance, significantly higher than the implied 46.5% from current , indicating clear value. Dortmund's recent form includes a clean sheet and effective attacking output, supported by higher shot volumes and key player creativity. Hoffenheim's defensive issues and lack of points add to Dortmund's edge. The data quality is solid for both teams, reinforcing in this selection without price warnings or reduced stake advice.

Model Chance68.7%
Strong positive
Implied Chance from Odds46.5%
Strong positive
Recent Defensive FormDortmund clean sheet vs Hoffenheim conceding 3
Positive
Shot Volume and QualityDortmund 20 shots, 6 on target per game
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Borussia Dortmund's tactical discipline and clinical finishing provide a strong foundation for victory against a Hoffenheim side still searching for form. Dortmund's superior shot creation and defensive resilience underpin this confident outlook, making them the likely winners in this early Bundesliga encounter.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Dortmund's balance of attacking threat and defensive control positions them well to capitalize on Hoffenheim's early-season defensive frailties, making a win the most probable outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Borussia Dortmund to Win evidence

Borussia Dortmund have a 68.7% to win, showing strong value at 2.15 .

Hoffenheim have conceded 3 goals and scored 2 in recent form, while Dortmund kept a clean sheet and scored twice.

Dortmund average 20 shots per game with 6 on target, indicating strong offensive pressure.

Hoffenheim's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Dortmund's 0%, suggesting differing match tempo approaches.

What To Watch In The Data

Borussia Dortmund to Win notes

  • The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically.
  • Hoffenheim's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Dortmund's 0%, suggesting the match could feature fluctuating tempo and goal opportunities, with Dortmund's defensive discipline key to managing the trend.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

1899 Hoffenheim7
Avg corners for
Borussia Dortmund3
1899 Hoffenheim13
Avg total corners
Borussia Dortmund4
1899 Hoffenheim2
Avg yellow cards
Borussia Dortmund2
1899 Hoffenheim15
Avg shots
Borussia Dortmund20
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · Model 64% vs implied 56% · edge +8.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Load more odds for this section
Over 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Dortmund average fewer corners (3) than Hoffenheim (7), but generate more shots (20) and shots on target (6), reflecting efficient attacking play rather than relying on set-piece pressure. Both teams average two yellow cards per game, indicating moderate discipline levels. Hoffenheim's higher corner count suggests territorial advantage, but Dortmund's shot quality and volume imply better chance creation.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Bundesliga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

1899 Hoffenheim2
Avg goals scored
Borussia Dortmund2
1899 Hoffenheim3
Avg goals conceded
Borussia Dortmund0
1899 Hoffenheim100%
BTTS rate
Borussia Dortmund0%
1899 Hoffenheim100%
Over 2.5 goals
Borussia Dortmund0%
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 36% · edge +13.5 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 72%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Hoffenheim's recent matches have consistently featured over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring, indicating an open and high-scoring style. In contrast, Dortmund's recent clean sheet and no BTTS rate suggest a more controlled approach. This contrast hints at a match where Dortmund's defensive discipline will be tested against Hoffenheim's attacking openness, influencing goal and BTTS outcomes.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The for Borussia Dortmund to win reflect a significant value opportunity, with the model's 68.7% chance well above the implied 46.5% from the 2.15 price. This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates Dortmund's chances, likely due to Hoffenheim's home status and recent goal-scoring trends. The current price is attractive for bettors seeking a positive expected return on Dortmund's victory.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

1899 Hoffenheim

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
29 Aug 2026A 1. FC Köln2-3

Borussia Dortmund

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
29 Aug 2026H Hamburger SV2-0
Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Borussia Dortmund's recent form includes a clean sheet and a win, demonstrating defensive solidity and effective finishing. Hoffenheim have yet to earn points, conceding three goals while scoring twice, reflecting defensive vulnerabilities and inconsistent attack. This form disparity supports Dortmund's chances to secure victory in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

21899 Hoffenheim wins
1Draws
7Borussia Dortmund wins
18 Apr 20261899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund2-1
07 Dec 2025Borussia Dortmund v 1899 Hoffenheim2-0
26 Apr 20251899 Hoffenheim v Borussia Dortmund2-3
15 Dec 2024Borussia Dortmund v 1899 Hoffenheim1-1
25 Feb 2024Borussia Dortmund v 1899 Hoffenheim2-3
01 Nov 2023Borussia Dortmund v 1899 Hoffenheim1-0
Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 67%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The ten previous meetings between these teams have produced an average of 2.9 goals per game, indicating a tendency for open contests. While this supports the potential for goals, Dortmund's recent defensive form and Hoffenheim's scoring struggles add nuance, making the historical data a moderate but not decisive factor.
Season team stats

Bundesliga

1899 Hoffenheim1
Played
Borussia Dortmund1
1899 Hoffenheim2
Avg goals for
Borussia Dortmund2
1899 Hoffenheim3
Avg goals against
Borussia Dortmund0
1899 Hoffenheim0
Clean sheets
Borussia Dortmund1
Market aligned with main pickBorussia Dortmund to WinBet365 guide price · Model 62% vs implied 47% · edge +15 pts
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Load more odds for this section
Borussia Dortmund Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Dortmund's season stats show a strong defensive record with zero goals conceded and efficient attack, while Hoffenheim's stats reveal defensive fragility and a tendency for high-scoring games. Dortmund's ability to limit opponents' chances while creating quality opportunities underpins their favored status for the win.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Borussia Dortmund311002
121899 Hoffenheim01001-1
Dortmund sit 5th with 3 points, reflecting a positive start and competitive position in the Bundesliga. Hoffenheim's 12th place with zero points highlights early struggles and pressure to improve. While standings are early, Dortmund's position suggests momentum and advantage heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%1899 Hoffenheim Over 2.5
0%Borussia Dortmund Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
The last ten head-to-head matches average 2.9 goals, indicating a moderately high-scoring fixture historically. Hoffenheim's 100% over 2.5 goals rate contrasts with Dortmund's 0%, suggesting the match could feature fluctuating tempo and goal opportunities, with Dortmund's defensive discipline key to managing the trend.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

VfB Stuttgart v 1. FC KölnBundesliga · Fri 04 Sep 19:30Werder Bremen v RB LeipzigBundesliga · Sat 05 Sep 14:30Borussia Mönchengladbach v SV ElversbergBundesliga · Sat 05 Sep 14:30Bayer Leverkusen v Union BerlinBundesliga · Sat 05 Sep 14:30

Competition and hubs

Bundesliga hubBundesliga hubcorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre