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Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen
v
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

Bundesliga | Sat 05 Sep, 14:30

Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 05:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Werder Bremen face RB Leipzig in Bundesliga on Sat 05 Sep, 14:30. , a worrying pattern against opponents averaging 2.1 league goals over their last 10. Bremen's defensive struggles at home and ability to generate some shots support the combined bet that both teams will score, despite minor reservations about Leipzig's recent away form.

BT4Y best bet

RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score

  • At 15/8, RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score implies roughly 35%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 38%.
  • Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.
  • RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Werder Bremen on 0 and RB Leipzig on 3.
  • The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Werder Bremen and 0% for RB Leipzig.
  • RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Werder Bremen and 3 for RB Leipzig are central to the read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 38% for RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 35% implied by the current price. RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Werder Bremen on 0 and RB Leipzig on 3. Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

Model chance vs price38% model chance against roughly 35% implied
Neutral
RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring.Visible data support
Positive
The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg.Visible data support
Positive
Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig both carry scoring threat.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: RB Leipzig Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because werder Bremen and RB Leipzig both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner. RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Werder Bremen on 0 and RB Leipzig on 3. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score evidence

Werder Bremen and RB Leipzig both carry scoring threat, but the result leg still demands a clear winner.

RB Leipzig need the result edge to pair with scoring at both ends; recent points show Werder Bremen on 0 and RB Leipzig on 3.

The BTTS leg matters as much as the result leg here, with recent BTTS rates of 100% for Werder Bremen and 0% for RB Leipzig.

RB Leipzig Win & BTTS needs both attacks involved, so goals-for averages of 1 for Werder Bremen and 3 for RB Leipzig are central to the read.

What To Watch In The Data

RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Werder Bremen5
Avg corners for
RB Leipzig7
Werder Bremen11
Avg total corners
RB Leipzig13
Werder Bremen1
Avg yellow cards
RB Leipzig1
Werder Bremen9
Avg shots
RB Leipzig25
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Werder Bremen1
Avg goals scored
RB Leipzig3
Werder Bremen4
Avg goals conceded
RB Leipzig0
Werder Bremen100%
BTTS rate
RB Leipzig0%
Werder Bremen100%
Over 2.5 goals
RB Leipzig100%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 67% · edge +11.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 88%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickRB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 53% · edge +10.8 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
RB Leipzig to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
RB Leipzig Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Werder Bremen

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
30 Aug 2026A SC Freiburg1-4

RB Leipzig

W
Last 51W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 0L
29 Aug 2026H Borussia Mönchengladbach3-0
Market aligned with main pickRB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 53% · edge +10.8 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 77%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
RB Leipzig to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Werder Bremen wins
4Draws
6RB Leipzig wins
04 Apr 2026Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig1-2
23 Nov 2025RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen2-0
10 May 2025Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig0-0
12 Jan 2025RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen4-2
11 May 2024RB Leipzig v Werder Bremen1-1
19 Dec 2023Werder Bremen v RB Leipzig1-1
Market aligned with main pickRB Leipzig to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 58% · edge -1.8 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
The head-to-head sample gives context for RB Leipzig to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Bundesliga

Werder Bremen4
Played
RB Leipzig4
Werder Bremen2
Avg goals for
RB Leipzig2.3
Werder Bremen2
Avg goals against
RB Leipzig1.3
Werder Bremen0
Clean sheets
RB Leipzig2
Market aligned with main pickRB Leipzig Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 63% vs implied 53% · edge +10.8 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Load more odds for this section
RB Leipzig to WinBetMGM guide price · model 56%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Season data supports RB Leipzig Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8Werder Bremen742110
9RB Leipzig642024
Werder Bremen sit in position 8, while RB Leipzig sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the RB Leipzig to win and both teams to score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Werder Bremen Over 2.5
100%RB Leipzig Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Werder Bremen sit at 100% and RB Leipzig sit at 100% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.