Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia predictions, betting tips and match preview. Athletico Paranaense seek consecutive wins for the first time in nearly two months, hosting Bahia at Ligga Arena on Wednesday. Read on for our free predictions and tips.
Brasileiro | Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK at Alinja Arena
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Athletico Paranaense vs Bahia Predictions
Will Athletico Paranaense Maintain Their Edge Over Bahia?
Key Stats
– Athletico Paranaense have the second-best defensive record in the division, conceding only 13 goals in 15 matches.
– Bahia have lost their last three away matches, highlighting their struggles on the road.
– Julimar has scored twice in his last three appearances, making him a key player to watch.
Athletico Paranaense will be looking to string together consecutive victories for the first time in nearly two months when they face Bahia at Ligga Arena on Wednesday. Meanwhile, Bahia arrive in Curitiba aiming to rebound after losing two of their last three matches. This article delves into the current form, key players, and tactical approaches of both teams, providing a comprehensive analysis and predictions for the upcoming encounter.
Match Preview
Athletico Paranaense’s Recent Form
Athletico Paranaense edged out Atletico Goianiense 2-1 in their recent outing at Estadio Antonio Accioly. Despite conceding first to Luiz Fernando, Juliano Roberto Antonello’s side equalised through Julimar and later secured victory with a goal from Lucas Di Yorio. This win places them sixth in the Brasileiro table, holding a two-point advantage over Cruzeiro in the battle for the final Copa Libertadores spot.
The Rubro-Negro have been inconsistent at home, winning only once in their last six home games. They will be looking to end this trend and build on their recent positive results. Despite a decent standing, their home form remains a concern that needs addressing urgently.
Bahia’s Struggles on the Road
Bahia suffered a 2-0 defeat against defending champions Palmeiras at Allianz Parque. Goals from Willian Estevao and Rony were enough to hand Rogerio Ceni’s side their fifth loss of the season. With 27 points from 15 matches, Bahia are fifth in the standings, just one point ahead of Athletico Paranaense.
Bahia have been particularly poor away from home, losing their last three away fixtures. This game presents a chance for them to turn their fortunes around and strengthen their position in the league.
Team Analysis
Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense will be without Tomas Cuello, who is sidelined with an injury. However, Julimar, who has scored twice in his last three appearances, is expected to play a crucial role. Leo Linck returns from suspension and is likely to resume his duties in goal.
Expected Lineup: Linck; Godoy, Rocha, Heleno, Esquivel; Christian, Fernandinho, Zapelli, Erick, Julimar; Pablo
Bahia
Bahia are missing Nicolas Acevedo due to a knee injury. Everaldo, who scored in the last encounter between these teams, will be a key player to watch. The team needs to improve their away form to stand a chance against a resilient Athletico Paranaense side.
Expected Lineup: Felipe; Gilberto, Xavier, Kanu, Juba; Alexandre, Lucas, De Pena, Cauly; Everaldo, Thaciano
Key Areas and Duels
The midfield battle will be significant, with Athletico Paranaense’s Fernandinho and Christian up against Bahia’s Cauly and De Pena. The forward duel between Athletico Paranaense’s Julimar and Bahia’s Everaldo will also be crucial in determining the outcome of the match. Defensively, Rocha and Heleno will need to be vigilant to handle Bahia’s attacking threats.
Gameplay Expectations
Athletico Paranaense are expected to play a possession-based game, looking to control the midfield and create scoring opportunities through quick transitions. Bahia, on the other hand, might adopt a counter-attacking strategy, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses from their hosts.
Improvements and Strategies
Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense need to address their defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in set-piece situations. Enhancing their midfield coordination and ball retention will be vital for maintaining control of the game.
Bahia
Bahia must improve their away form by tightening their defensive structure and being more clinical in front of goal. Their midfield needs to be more cohesive to support both defensive and offensive transitions effectively.
Managerial Critique
Juliano Roberto Antonello
Juliano Roberto Antonello has been criticized for his team’s inconsistency, particularly at home. His tactical decisions often lack flexibility, and his reliance on a core group of players can lead to fatigue. Antonello needs to rotate his squad more effectively and adapt his strategies to changing match scenarios.
Rogerio Ceni
Rogerio Ceni has faced scrutiny for Bahia’s poor away performances. While his team has shown resilience at home, their lack of results on the road highlights a potential motivational issue. Ceni must find a way to instill greater discipline and confidence in his squad during away fixtures.
Expected Goals Analysis
Athletico Paranaense
Athletico Paranaense have an average of 1.3 goals per game this season, reflecting their ability to create scoring chances. Their xG figures indicate a consistent performance in front of goal. Defensively, they concede 0.9 goals per game, suggesting a relatively strong backline.
Bahia
Bahia average 1.5 goals per game, showcasing their attacking potential. However, their defensive record is less impressive, conceding 1.2 goals per game. This discrepancy highlights the need for better defensive coordination.
Betting Angles
Best Bet: Athletico Paranaense to Win
Considering Athletico Paranaense’s recent form and home advantage, they are likely to secure a victory. Despite their inconsistent home record, their overall performance suggests they have the edge over Bahia.
Correct Score Prediction: Athletico Paranaense 2-1 Bahia
Given Athletico Paranaense’s defensive strength and Bahia’s away struggles, a 2-1 scoreline in favour of the home team is a reasonable prediction. This aligns with Athletico Paranaense’s average goals per game and Bahia’s tendency to concede on the road.
Goalscorer Prediction: Julimar to Score
Julimar has been in good form recently, scoring twice in his last three appearances. His confidence and positioning make him a strong candidate to find the net against Bahia.
Corner Prediction: Athletico Paranaense to Win the Most Corners
Athletico Paranaense average 6.7 corners per game, indicating their attacking intent and ability to create opportunities. Bahia’s average of 4.4 corners per game suggests that Athletico Paranaense are likely to win the corner count.
Innovative Market: Total Shots on Target Over 10
Both teams have shown a propensity to take numerous shots per game. Athletico Paranaense’s average of 15.1 total shots and Bahia’s 13.7 suggest a match with over 10 shots on target is highly likely.
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