Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians Predictions

Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians predictions, betting tips and match preview. Corinthians aim for their first away win of the Brasileiro Serie A campaign against Vasco da Gama at Estadio Sao Januario on Wednesday. Read on for our free predictions and tips.

Vasco da gama

Brasileiro | Jul 10, 2024 at 11pm UK at Estadio Nivaldo Pereira

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Vasco da Gama vs Corinthians Predictions

Will Vasco da Gama Extend Their Winning Streak Against Corinthians?

Key Stats

– Vasco da Gama have won their last two league matches, showing significant improvement.

– Corinthians have failed to win any of their away matches this season, highlighting their struggles on the road.

– Adson has been a key player for Vasco da Gama, scoring crucial goals in recent matches.

Vasco da Gama are set to face Corinthians at Estadio Sao Januario on Wednesday, aiming to continue their recent run of form. Corinthians, on the other hand, are looking to secure their first away win of the Brasileiro Serie A campaign. This match promises to be a gripping encounter, with both teams having plenty to play for as the season progresses. Here is a comprehensive analysis of the teams, their form, key players, and tactical approaches, along with well-reasoned predictions for the match.

Match Preview

Vasco da Gama’s Resurgence

Vasco da Gama have shown significant improvement in recent weeks. They come into this match on the back of a 2-1 victory over Internacional at Estadio Jose Pinheiro Borda. After a quiet first half, Vasco sparked to life with goals from Adson and Lyncon, before Internacional pulled one back. This win followed a 2-0 triumph over Fortaleza, marking Vasco’s first back-to-back league victories since November.

Rafael Paiva’s men have managed to climb to 13th in the table, with 17 points from 15 matches. They are currently on a four-game unbeaten run at home, having secured two wins and two draws. This recent form has seen them move clear of the relegation zone and reach the fourth round of the Copa de Brasil, further boosting their confidence.

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Corinthians’ Struggles on the Road

Corinthians have had a difficult season, and their troubles were highlighted in their recent 3-0 defeat to Cruzeiro. Despite a resilient 3-2 win over Vitoria in the previous match, their inconsistent performances have left them languishing in 17th place, with just 12 points from 15 matches. They are one of only four teams yet to win a league game away from home this season, with six losses and two draws.

Raphael Laruccia’s side have struggled defensively, as evidenced by their poor showing against Cruzeiro. Their away form has been particularly concerning, and they will need to find a way to address these issues if they are to climb out of the danger zone.

Team Analysis

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama will be without key players such as Guilherme Estrella, Joao Victor, and Paulinho Paula due to injuries. Veteran forward Dimitri Payet is also sidelined with a thigh injury. Despite these absences, Vasco have been able to field a competitive lineup, with players like Adson and Vegetti playing crucial roles in their recent successes.

Expected Lineup: Jardim; Henrique, Rojas, Leo, Leandrinho; Sforza, Carvalho, JP; Adson, Vegetti, Rossi


Corinthians are missing several players, including Rodrigo Garro, who is suspended, and injured players Diego Palacios, Fagner, and first-choice goalkeeper Carlos Miguel. Matheus Donelli is expected to continue in goal, while the return of Felix Torres and Angel Romero from international duty will be a boost for the team.

Expected Lineup: Donelli; Matheuzinho, Torres, Caca, Farias; Raniele, Bidon, Garro; Romero, Alberto, Wesley

Key Areas and Duels

The midfield battle will be crucial, with Vasco’s Sforza and Carvalho facing off against Corinthians’ Raniele and Bidon. The attacking duel between Vasco’s Adson and Corinthians’ Yuri Alberto will also be pivotal. Defensively, Vasco’s Leo and Leandrinho will need to be vigilant to handle the threats posed by Corinthians’ forwards.

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Gameplay Expectations

Vasco da Gama are expected to play a possession-based game, looking to control the midfield and create scoring opportunities through quick transitions. Corinthians, meanwhile, might adopt a counter-attacking strategy, aiming to exploit any defensive lapses from their hosts.

Improvements and Strategies

Vasco da Gama

Vasco need to focus on maintaining their defensive solidity, particularly against set pieces. Enhancing their midfield coordination and ball retention will be crucial for maintaining control of the game.


Corinthians must improve their defensive organisation and find a balance between their attacking and defensive responsibilities. Their midfield needs to be more cohesive to support both defensive and offensive transitions effectively.

Managerial Critique

Rafael Paiva

Rafael Paiva has done well to stabilise Vasco da Gama, but his tactical decisions sometimes lack flexibility. His reliance on a core group of players can lead to fatigue, and he needs to rotate his squad more effectively and adapt his strategies to changing match scenarios.

Raphael Laruccia

Raphael Laruccia has faced criticism for Corinthians’ poor away performances. His team has shown resilience at home, but their lack of results on the road highlights a potential motivational issue. Laruccia must find a way to instill greater discipline and confidence in his squad during away fixtures.

Expected Goals Analysis

Vasco da Gama

Vasco da Gama have averaged 1.1 goals per game this season, reflecting their ability to create scoring chances. Their xG figures indicate a consistent performance in front of goal. Defensively, they have conceded 1.7 goals per game, suggesting a need for greater defensive solidity.


Corinthians have averaged 0.8 goals per game, showcasing their struggles in attack. However, their defensive record is also poor, conceding 1.3 goals per game. This discrepancy highlights the need for better coordination in both attack and defense.

Betting Angles


Best Bet: Vasco da Gama to Win and Both Teams to Score

Considering Vasco da Gama’s recent form and home advantage, along with Corinthians’ defensive struggles, Vasco are likely to secure a victory. Both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defense, making it likely that both will find the net.

Correct Score Prediction: Vasco da Gama 2-1 Corinthians

Given Vasco’s attacking prowess and Corinthians’ defensive frailties, a 2-1 scoreline in favor of the home team is a logical prediction. This aligns with Vasco’s average goals per game and Corinthians’ tendency to concede on the road.

Goalscorer Prediction: Adson to Score

Adson has been in good form recently, scoring crucial goals for Vasco da Gama. His confidence and positioning make him a strong candidate to find the net against Corinthians.

First Half Result: Vasco da Gama to Lead at Half Time

Vasco have shown a tendency to start matches strongly, especially at home. With Corinthians’ poor away form, it is likely that Vasco will be leading at half-time.

Innovative Market: Total Shots on Target Over 10

Both teams have shown a propensity to take numerous shots per game. Vasco da Gama’s average of 12.3 total shots and Corinthians’ 15.2 suggest a match with over 10 shots on target is highly likely.

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Gerard Gabasa
Gerard Gabasa is our go-to football expert for all things Spanish. His passion for the game is evident in every analysis he offers. Having played professionally with Málaga's youth team, Gerard blends firsthand experience with deep insights. While he didn't ascend to the senior ranks, this stint enriched his understanding of the game's nuances. Over the years, Gerard has crafted in-depth match analyses and player evaluations that showcase his profound knowledge. With Gerard, expect a seasoned perspective on Spanish football every time.