Tennis betting tips: US Open Day Four betting tips, predictions preview and Thursday’s best bets

On the fourth day of play at the US Open at Flushing Meadows, tennis tipster Steve Harrington is suggesting 4 best bets and a huge 17/1 accumulator to make the most of the action. Read on to find the preview and day 4 tips.

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Tennis betting tips: US Open Day Four Predictions

Can Rising Stars Upset the Old Guard on Day 4 of the US Open?
  • Nuno Borges is currently ranked 52 places higher than Thanasi Kokkinakis in the ATP rankings.
  • Jordan Thompson has defeated top players like Alex Zverev and Taylor Fritz on hard courts in 2024.
  • Carlos Alcaraz has a strong record against Botic van de Zandschulp, having won both their previous encounters comfortably.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Jannik Sinner to Win 3-0 @ 6/4
Reasoning
Sinner's dominance on hard courts and consistent form make him the favourite to win in straight sets. His powerful serve, baseline control, and Grand Slam experience should neutralise Fritz’s strengths, especially under pressure.
Odds subject to change
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As the fourth day of the US Open unfolds, the competition is heating up, with several intriguing matchups on the horizon. Key players are emerging from their early encounters, showing both their strengths and vulnerabilities. Among the highlights, Thanasi Kokkinakis will face Nuno Borges in a contest where the Australian seeks to build on his remarkable first-round win. However, his physical condition might be a concern after a gruelling four-hour battle in tough conditions. Meanwhile, Borges, a rapidly improving player on hard courts, looks to capitalise on Kokkinakis’ potential fatigue.

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Another compelling match features Jordan Thompson, who has demonstrated a strong record against big servers this season, taking on Hubert Hurkacz. Hurkacz, recovering from a knee injury, has been relying heavily on his powerful serve, but Thompson’s recent form on hard courts could pose a significant challenge. This match is expected to be a test of resilience, with the slower-than-expected courts at Flushing Meadows potentially favouring Thompson.

The day also brings attention to a clash involving Carlos Alcaraz, who showed his intent with a dominant performance in the opening round. His opponent, Botic van de Zandschulp, has had past success in New York but has struggled against Alcaraz in their previous meetings. This encounter will be a test of whether van de Zandschulp can find a way to challenge the in-form Spaniard.

US Day 4 Accumulator

Bookmaker
US Open Day 12 Double @ 15/1
Reasoning
Backing Sinner to win after losing the first set combines Draper’s strong start with Sinner’s adaptability. Meanwhile, Tiafoe thrives as the underdog, making his upset over Fritz a high-value pick.
Odds subject to change
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The standout bet for Day 4 of the US Open is Nuno Borges to defeat Thanasi Kokkinakis. While Kokkinakis’ victory over Stefanos Tsitsipas in the first round was a remarkable achievement, it’s crucial to consider the context. Tsitsipas has not been at his best recently, and Kokkinakis’ history in Grand Slam events reveals a pattern of struggling to maintain momentum after significant wins. Specifically, he has only managed to win consecutive matches at a Grand Slam on three occasions, none of which were on hard courts. This raises concerns about his ability to back up his first-round success.

Moreover, Kokkinakis’ physical durability has been questionable throughout his career. After a taxing four-hour match against Tsitsipas, his ability to recover and perform at a high level against Borges is doubtful. Borges, on the other hand, has shown considerable improvement on hard courts in 2024, which was evident in his performance earlier in the tournament. He enters this match as the world number 34, a position that reflects his rising form, and significantly higher than Kokkinakis.

Adding to Borges’ credentials is his previous win over Kokkinakis on a hard court earlier this year. In that encounter, Borges emerged victorious with a convincing 7-6, 6-1 scoreline, not dropping serve throughout the match. This history suggests that Borges knows how to handle Kokkinakis’ game effectively.

Given the physical toll on Kokkinakis and Borges’ recent form and head-to-head advantage, Borges at odds-against represents excellent value. Betting on him to win seems a sound strategy, with an additional smaller stake on a straight-sets victory offering potentially lucrative returns.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Over 9.5 Games in the First Set @ 3/5
Reasoning
For those seeking an alternative angle, backing over 9.5 games in the opening set is a solid option. Both Sinner and Fritz have strong serves, making early breaks unlikely and increasing the chances of a tightly contested first set.
Odds subject to change
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The first alternative prediction is backing Jordan Thompson to upset Hubert Hurkacz. Thompson has been in impressive form on hard courts in 2024, with a solid 22-11 record that includes victories over high-calibre players like Alex Zverev and Taylor Fritz. His ability to handle big servers has been notable, having recently defeated Reilly Opelka and Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard.

Hurkacz, though a formidable player, has been dealing with a knee injury that has impacted his movement, particularly when handling low balls. While his serve remains a potent weapon, the slower court conditions at Flushing Meadows could work against him, as he has struggled to break opponents’ serves, winning only 16% of return games on hard courts this season. Thompson’s game, which is well-suited to exploiting Hurkacz’s vulnerabilities, combined with the current conditions, makes the upset at odds of 9/5 a plausible outcome.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Medvedev to Win vs Sinner @ 11/5
Reasoning
Medvedev’s defensive skills and hardcourt consistency make him favoured against Sinner, whose injuries may hinder long rallies. Medvedev’s counterpunching and experience provide strong value at 11/5 odds.
Odds subject to change
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The second alternative prediction focusses on the match between Carlos Alcaraz and Botic van de Zandschulp, with a bet on the total games staying under 27.5. Alcaraz has been in dominant form, and his aggressive, ground-stroke-heavy style has troubled van de Zandschulp in previous encounters. The Dutchman, while capable of powerful play, tends to be inconsistent and prone to errors under pressure.

Alcaraz will likely aim to maintain his focus and keep the match short, avoiding any lapses that could give van de Zandschulp an opening. Given Alcaraz’s superiority in their past meetings and his intent to conserve energy for the later rounds, a swift match seems likely, making the under 27.5 games bet a strong choice at odds of 9/10.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Draper to Win vs de Minaur @ 1/1
Reasoning
Sabalenka, in dominant form, is favoured to beat Zheng in straight sets. Zheng has struggled against Sabalenka before, and Sabalenka's powerful serve and baseline play should secure her victory.
Odds subject to change
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The third alternative prediction suggests Mariano Navone to defeat Dan Evans. Navone, despite his lack of experience on hard courts, showcased resilience and adaptability in his first-round win over Daniel Altmaier. His game, characterised by long rallies and a high-energy baseline approach, is particularly challenging for opponents who are not at their physical peak.

Evans, after playing the longest match in US Open history in the first round, is likely to be significantly fatigued. At 34 years old, recovery from such a marathon effort will be challenging, especially against a younger and physically fresher opponent like Navone. With Navone’s odds at 1/1, there’s value in backing the Argentine to capitalise on Evans’ potential fatigue and secure a win.

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John Pentin
Born and raised in London, John has always been in love with sport. He started successfully his own blog back in 2006, while writing for football in several newspaper. John has also worked with several betting operators as sports trader and has joined BettingTips4You.com since the start in 2013. John is now head of the content team at BettingTips4You.com.