Tennis betting tips: US Open Day 10 betting tips, predictions preview and Wednesday’s best bets

Steve Harrington previews Wednesday’s quarter-final action at the US Open. The big favourite is Jannik Sinner now in the men’s single, but there are lots of betting opportunities to take advantage of. Read on for the best bets of Day 10 at Flashing Meadows, which also include a daily accumulator.

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Tennis betting tips: US Open Day 10 Predictions for Wednesday

Will Day 10 at the US Open Spring Major Surprises?
  • Muchova has only lost her serve twice in her last three matches at the US Open.
  • Sinner has served the most aces in all three of his 2023 meetings with Medvedev.
  • Pegula has faced 16 break points in her US Open matches, losing six.

Best Bet

Bookmaker
Jannik Sinner to Win 3-0 @ 6/4
Reasoning
Sinner's dominance on hard courts and consistent form make him the favourite to win in straight sets. His powerful serve, baseline control, and Grand Slam experience should neutralise Fritz’s strengths, especially under pressure.
Odds subject to change
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As the quarter-finals of the US Open reach their climax, we are greeted with some highly anticipated matchups across both the men’s and women’s draws. The 10th day promises thrilling encounters, with key players aiming for a spot in the semi-finals. Players like Karolina Muchova, Beatriz Haddad Maia, Jannik Sinner, and Daniil Medvedev will grace the courts, along with top-ranked Iga Swiatek and home favourite Jessica Pegula. Each of these players has demonstrated excellent form throughout the tournament, setting the stage for an intense day of tennis.

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Muchova, continuing her impressive run from the French Open final earlier in the year, faces Haddad Maia. While the Brazilian battled through a gruelling last round, Muchova has cruised through her matches, showcasing her exceptional variety of shots and tactical intelligence. Meanwhile, Iga Swiatek takes on Jessica Pegula in what could be a fascinating contest.

The Polish star has been untouchable, not even facing a break point in her last three matches, but Pegula, playing in front of her home crowd, will be eager to push for an upset. Jannik Sinner versus Daniil Medvedev is another match many have their eyes on, with both men displaying solid performances thus far. The question is whether Medvedev can handle Sinner’s serving prowess under the bright lights of New York.

US Day 10 Accumulator

Bookmaker
US Open Day 12 Double @ 15/1
Reasoning
Backing Sinner to win after losing the first set combines Draper’s strong start with Sinner’s adaptability. Meanwhile, Tiafoe thrives as the underdog, making his upset over Fritz a high-value pick.
Odds subject to change
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Muchova has demonstrated supreme form throughout the tournament, and her performance in this matchup against Haddad Maia looks particularly compelling. She hasn’t dropped a set in her last few matches and has been in control of her serve, losing it just twice across her last three matches. Her mastery over her varied shot selection and intelligent point construction puts her in a favourable position to win convincingly. Not only has she managed to outplay her Brazilian opponent in the past, winning all three of their previous encounters, but she’s done so while only dropping a single set.

Haddad Maia, for her part, has fought admirably, but her recent performances suggest she may struggle to keep up with Muchova’s relentless pace. Her last victory, which lasted over two hours and 40 minutes, may have left her fatigued, particularly as she endured the New York heat. Haddad Maia has also been on court frequently in the lead-up to the US Open, making it all the way to the final in Cleveland just a week before this tournament began. The physical toll could be a crucial factor, especially against an opponent as efficient and consistent as Muchova.

The Czech’s control over her service games and her ability to frustrate her opponents with a mix of powerful groundstrokes and deft drop shots will likely spell trouble for Haddad Maia. Despite the Brazilian’s fighting spirit and ability to grind out tough matches, Muchova’s superior court craft and fresher legs make her the clear favourite to win in straight sets. At odds of 6/5, backing Muchova to claim a 2-0 victory presents solid value for bettors, considering her form and head-to-head dominance over Haddad Maia.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Over 9.5 Games in the First Set @ 3/5
Reasoning
For those seeking an alternative angle, backing over 9.5 games in the opening set is a solid option. Both Sinner and Fritz have strong serves, making early breaks unlikely and increasing the chances of a tightly contested first set.
Odds subject to change
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While Swiatek has been near-flawless so far, with no sets dropped and only a handful of break points faced, this could be the moment where Pegula finally overcomes her quarter-final hurdle. The American has been in terrific form coming into this match, and her confidence will be bolstered by playing on home soil. Although Swiatek holds a 6-3 lead in their head-to-head, Pegula has beaten her on hard courts before, including as recently as the WTA 1000 in Montreal.

What stands out is Pegula’s ability to stay in points and keep pressure on her opponents. Her consistent, powerful baseline play and improved serving could force Swiatek into making errors, particularly if the Pole struggles to maintain her high standards under the pressure of a partisan crowd. The memory of their last encounter, a devastating 6-1, 6-0 loss for Pegula, could either motivate her to seek redemption or work against her confidence. Still, Pegula has shown that she can match Swiatek in rallies and should have learned valuable lessons from their past meetings.

At odds of 14/5, Pegula represents an enticing option for those looking for an outsider victory. Her recent form, combined with the potential for home-court advantage, means she cannot be ruled out despite Swiatek’s dominance.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Medvedev to Win vs Sinner @ 11/5
Reasoning
Medvedev’s defensive skills and hardcourt consistency make him favoured against Sinner, whose injuries may hinder long rallies. Medvedev’s counterpunching and experience provide strong value at 11/5 odds.
Odds subject to change
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Daniil Medvedev’s consistency on hard courts makes him a dangerous opponent for Jannik Sinner, despite the Italian’s recent success. While Sinner has often dominated the ace count in their previous meetings, Medvedev’s defensive prowess and tactical intelligence could turn the tide in this contest. Medvedev is known for his ability to wear down opponents with his court coverage and deep return positions, forcing them to play extra shots and make errors. This strategy has been effective against many hard-hitting players, and Sinner, who has dealt with injury concerns throughout the season, may struggle to maintain his intensity across long rallies.

Though Sinner’s serving has been impressive in this year’s US Open, Medvedev has a proven track record in handling strong servers, using his counterpunching skills to neutralise even the most powerful shots. Medvedev has cruised through his matches so far, losing just one set, and with his steady baseline play and intelligent use of angles, he is well-equipped to outlast Sinner in what could be a physically demanding contest.

Medvedev’s mental strength and experience in high-stakes matches, including his victory at the 2021 US Open, give him an edge over Sinner, who is still seeking his breakthrough at the US Open. At odds of 11/5, backing Medvedev to emerge victorious in this quarter-final clash presents strong value, particularly given his hardcourt expertise and Sinner’s potential physical limitations. Medvedev’s ability to disrupt Sinner’s rhythm and extend rallies will likely be decisive in determining the outcome.

Additional Prediction

Bookmaker
Draper to Win vs de Minaur @ 1/1
Reasoning
Sabalenka, in dominant form, is favoured to beat Zheng in straight sets. Zheng has struggled against Sabalenka before, and Sabalenka's powerful serve and baseline play should secure her victory.
Odds subject to change
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Jack Draper is in superb form, and his performances at this year’s US Open suggest he’s capable of pulling off an upset against Alex de Minaur. Draper hasn’t dropped a set in the tournament so far, and his serve has been particularly impressive. He has only lost one game on serve across all four rounds, which has provided him with the foundation to overpower his opponents. Despite de Minaur having won all three of their previous encounters, this may well be the perfect time for Draper to break that losing streak.

De Minaur, while known for his exceptional court coverage and defence, may struggle to contain Draper’s power and aggressive baseline play. The Australian has dropped sets in three of his four matches in New York, indicating a certain vulnerability. Furthermore, Draper has had an easier path through the draw compared to de Minaur, avoiding a top seed so far, which might give him an edge in terms of freshness.

At odds of 1/1, Draper represents a good value bet. His current form and serving prowess, combined with de Minaur’s tendency to get drawn into long rallies, make the Brit a genuine contender to win this match and reach the semi-finals.

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Steve Harrington
Steve Harrington is a sportswriter whose heart beats for football. With a passion that began in the grassroots, he's witnessed the magic of the game from local pitches to grand stadiums. Over the past 7 years, Steve has lent his expertise to several online publications, chronicling the ever-evolving world of football. Beyond his professional pursuits, he holds a special affection for Burnley Football Club, cherishing every triumph and tribulation. Steve believes in the power of storytelling and its ability to bring the beautiful game closer to its ardent fans.