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VJS crestVJS
v
Inter Turku II crestInter Turku II

Ykkönen | Sat 12 Sep, 16:00

VJS v Inter Turku II Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

VJS and Inter Turku II meet in a Ykkönen clash where both teams have shown modest scoring form recently. VJS averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game, while Inter Turku II has a lower scoring rate with 0.6 goals for and 1.4 against. Both sides have relatively low Over 2.5 Goals rates, 40% for VJS and 20% for Inter Turku II, indicating a tendency towards tighter matches. The mid-table positioning and recent points accumulation suggest a cautious approach from both teams, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • VJS averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.
  • Inter Turku II scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.4.
  • Over 2.5 Goals occurred in only 40% of VJS's matches and 20% for Inter Turku II.
  • Recent form shows both teams favor defensive solidity over high scoring.
  • Head-to-head average goals are relatively high but recent form suggests tighter play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Under 2.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 54.4% chance, significantly higher than the implied market chance of 23.8%, offering a 30.6% . Both teams have shown low scoring rates and limited goal concessions, supporting a low-scoring match scenario. The recent form data and defensive tendencies reinforce the likelihood of fewer goals, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling selection despite a modest head-to-head average goal count. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Probability54.4% chance for Under 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance23.8%
Strong positive
Value Edge30.6% positive
Strong positive
Recent Scoring FormLow goals scored and conceded by both teams
Positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals4.6 goals over last 5 matches
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is the tactical and statistical choice here, as both VJS and Inter Turku II have shown a preference for defensive organization and limited scoring in recent matches. The low goal averages and cautious recent form suggest a tight game with few clear chances, making a low-scoring outcome the most probable scenario.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive tactics and scoring trends

“The defensive discipline and modest attacking output from both sides point towards a match where goals will be at a premium, making Under 2.5 Goals a sensible and data-backed selection.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

VJS averages 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded per game.

Inter Turku II scores 0.6 goals per match and concedes 1.4.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last five head-to-head matches have averaged 4.6 goals, indicating historically open games.
  • However, recent form and season trends show a shift towards tighter defenses and fewer goals.
  • This contrast suggests that while the fixture has potential for goals, current team form favors a more measured, low-scoring contest.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

VJS

LDDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
29 Aug 2026A Rops0-2
23 Aug 2026H FC jazz1-1
16 Aug 2026H JJK4-4
09 Aug 2026A KPV-j2-1
05 Aug 2026H PKKU0-0

Inter Turku II

LLLLW
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
29 Aug 2026A FC jazz0-2
22 Aug 2026H TPV0-1
16 Aug 2026H KPV-j2-3
11 Aug 2026A PKKU0-1
07 Aug 2026A KuPS Akatemia1-0
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 85% vs implied 88% · edge -2.5 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Inter Turku II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 48%
2.37
Check odds @ 2.37
VJS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
VJS to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
5
Check odds @ 5
Inter Turku II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form data shows VJS accumulating 6 points with an average of 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded, while Inter Turku II has 3 points with 0.6 goals scored and 1.4 conceded. Both teams have low Over 2.5 Goals occurrence rates, indicating a trend towards matches with fewer goals and reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8VJS312271057
10Inter Turku II20225512-19
VJS sits 8th with 31 points and Inter Turku II 10th with 20 points, reflecting mid to lower table positions with limited pressure for high-risk attacking play. This standings context suggests both teams may prioritize defensive caution over offensive risk, aligning with a low-scoring game scenario.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

VJS1.4
Avg goals scored
Inter Turku II0.6
VJS1.6
Avg goals conceded
Inter Turku II1.4
VJS60%
BTTS rate
Inter Turku II20%
VJS40%
Over 2.5 goals
Inter Turku II20%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 47%
3
Check odds @ 3
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams exhibit low scoring and conceding rates, with VJS scoring 1.4 and conceding 1.6 goals per game, and Inter Turku II scoring only 0.6 while conceding 1.4. BTTS rates are moderate to low, especially for Inter Turku II at 20%, reinforcing the expectation of fewer goals and limited mutual scoring opportunities in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionInter Turku II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
VJS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
VJS to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
5
Check odds @ 5
Inter Turku II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively with around 4.2, reflecting a market implied chance of just 23.8%. The model's 54.4% probability indicates significant value, suggesting the market underestimates the likelihood of a low-scoring game. This price sensitivity makes the selection a strong candidate for standard staking without major caution.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2VJS wins
2Draws
1Inter Turku II wins
31 Jul 2026Inter Turku II v VJS1-1
09 May 2026VJS v Inter Turku II3-2
07 Sep 2024Inter Turku II v VJS2-2
19 Jun 2024VJS v Inter Turku II3-2
13 Apr 2024Inter Turku II v VJS4-3
Best odds for this sectionVJS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 69% · edge -8.4 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
5
Check odds @ 5
Inter Turku II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
The head-to-head sample of five matches shows a high average of 4.6 goals, which contrasts with the current defensive form of both teams. This historical openness provides background context but is outweighed by recent defensive trends and scoring restraint, making the head-to-head data less predictive for this specific fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

VJS22
Played
Inter Turku II22
VJS1.7
Avg goals for
Inter Turku II1.5
VJS1.4
Avg goals against
Inter Turku II2.3
VJS4
Clean sheets
Inter Turku II1
Best odds for this sectionInter Turku II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
VJS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 69%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
VJS to WinBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Inter Turku II to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Season-long statistics reveal that both teams maintain defensive solidity with modest attacking output. VJS's 40% Over 2.5 Goals rate and Inter Turku II's 20% rate highlight a general pattern of low-scoring matches, supporting the expectation of fewer goals in this encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%VJS Over 2.5
20%Inter Turku II Over 2.5
4.6H2H avg goals
The last five head-to-head matches have averaged 4.6 goals, indicating historically open games. However, recent form and season trends show a shift towards tighter defenses and fewer goals. This contrast suggests that while the fixture has potential for goals, current team form favors a more measured, low-scoring contest.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.