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SalPa crestSalPa
v
JJK crestJJK

Ykkönen | Sat 12 Sep, 14:00

SalPa v JJK Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

SalPa face JJK in Ykkönen on Sat 12 Sep, 14:00. SalPa come in with 10 recent points and 2 goals per match, while JJK have 6 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

SalPa to Win

  • At 1.95, SalPa to Win implies roughly 51%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 61%.
  • SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for JJK.
  • SalPa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the SalPa to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • SalPa sit 3 in the table, while JJK sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 61% for SalPa to Win sits against roughly 51% implied by the current price. SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for JJK.

Model chance vs price61% model chance against roughly 51% implied
Positive
SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points.Visible data support
Positive
SalPa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: SalPa Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for JJK. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

SalPa to Win evidence

SalPa have the stronger recent points return, taking 10 points from the sample compared with 6 for JJK.

SalPa have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the SalPa Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

SalPa sit 3 in the table, while JJK sit 7, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

SalPa to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    SalPa2
    Avg goals scored
    JJK2.2
    SalPa1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    JJK1.8
    SalPa80%
    BTTS rate
    JJK80%
    SalPa60%
    Over 2.5 goals
    JJK80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 75% · edge +0.8 pts
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 87%
    1.08
    Check odds @ 1.08
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 80% for SalPa and 80% for JJK, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSalPa to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 51% · edge +10 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    SalPa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    SalPa to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

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    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    SalPa

    WWLDW
    Last 53W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    29 Aug 2026A KuPS Akatemia3-1
    22 Aug 2026H OLS4-1
    15 Aug 2026H FC jazz0-2
    11 Aug 2026A TPV1-1
    05 Aug 2026H JJK2-1

    JJK

    WDDDL
    Last 51W 3D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 4D 4L
    29 Aug 2026H KPV-j4-1
    21 Aug 2026A PKKU2-2
    16 Aug 2026A VJS4-4
    11 Aug 2026H Tampere United0-0
    05 Aug 2026A SalPa1-2
    Market aligned with main pickSalPa to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 51% · edge +10 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    SalPa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3SalPa wins
    2Draws
    0JJK wins
    05 Aug 2026SalPa v JJK2-1
    16 May 2026JJK v SalPa2-2
    16 Sep 2023SalPa v JJK2-2
    15 Jul 2023JJK v SalPa0-1
    06 May 2023SalPa v JJK3-0
    Market aligned with main pickSalPa to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 51% · edge +10 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%
    1.3
    Check odds @ 1.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for SalPa to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Ykkönen

    SalPa22
    Played
    JJK22
    SalPa1.9
    Avg goals for
    JJK2.3
    SalPa1.6
    Avg goals against
    JJK1.9
    SalPa3
    Clean sheets
    JJK3
    Market aligned with main pickSalPa to WinBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 51% · edge +10 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    SalPa Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
    1.58
    Check odds @ 1.58
    Season data supports SalPa to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3SalPa362210666
    7JJK31228779
    SalPa sit in position 3, while JJK sit in position 7, so table pressure belongs in the SalPa to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    60%SalPa Over 2.5
    80%JJK Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: SalPa sit at 60% and JJK sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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