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FC jazz crestFC jazz
v
KPV-j crestKPV-j

Ykkönen | Thu 02 Jul, 17:00

FC jazz v KPV-j Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 05:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC jazz face KPV-j in Ykkönen on Thu 02 Jul, 17:00. FC jazz come in with 5 recent points and 1 goals per match, while KPV-j have 3 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 3.4, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 33%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for FC jazz and 100% for KPV-j, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • KPV-j are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with FC jazz at 1.
  • BTTS rates of 80% for FC jazz and 80% for KPV-j show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 33% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for FC jazz and 100% for KPV-j, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price33% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 40% for FC jazz.Visible data support
Positive
KPV-j are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers KPV-j are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with FC jazz at 1. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

KPV-j are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with FC jazz at 1.

BTTS rates of 80% for FC jazz and 80% for KPV-j show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC jazz1
Avg goals scored
KPV-j1.6
FC jazz1.2
Avg goals conceded
KPV-j3.4
FC jazz80%
BTTS rate
KPV-j80%
FC jazz40%
Over 2.5 goals
KPV-j100%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 33% vs implied 29% · edge +3.9 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 40% for FC jazz and 100% for KPV-j, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
KPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC jazz

LDDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
25 Jun 2026H Tampere United0-1
12 Jun 2026A Inter Turku II1-1
06 Jun 2026H VJS1-1
28 May 2026H SalPa1-2
24 May 2026A OLS2-1

KPV-j

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 9L
28 Jun 2026H PKKU1-3
13 Jun 2026H JJK2-3
05 Jun 2026A KuPS Akatemia1-4
29 May 2026H Inter Turku II4-2
23 May 2026A VJS0-5
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 40% · edge +11.4 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
KPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1FC jazz wins
3Draws
2KPV-j wins
20 Apr 2026KPV-j v FC jazz0-2
23 Aug 2025FC jazz v KPV-j1-1
14 Jun 2025KPV-j v FC jazz3-1
28 Sep 2024KPV-j v FC jazz2-0
24 Aug 2024FC jazz v KPV-j3-3
08 Jun 2024KPV-j v FC jazz3-3
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 69% · edge +6.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

FC jazz16
Played
KPV-j15
FC jazz1.4
Avg goals for
KPV-j0.9
FC jazz1.4
Avg goals against
KPV-j3.2
FC jazz3
Clean sheets
KPV-j2
Best odds for this sectionKPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season data supports KPV-j Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8FC jazz2016727-1
12KPV-j9152310-35
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%FC jazz Over 2.5
100%KPV-j Over 2.5
3.67H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC jazz sit at 40% and KPV-j sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.67 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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Betting context

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