Football Stats Hub

FC jazz crestFC jazz
v
KPV-j crestKPV-j

Ykkönen | Fri 11 Sep, 16:30

FC jazz v KPV-j Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 23:13 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC jazz face KPV-j in Ykkönen on Fri 11 Sep, 16:30. FC jazz come in with 9 recent points and 1.6 goals per match, while KPV-j have 3 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • At 4, Under 2.5 Goals implies roughly 25%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 39%.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for FC jazz and 100% for KPV-j, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • FC jazz are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with KPV-j at 1.4.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for FC jazz and 80% for KPV-j show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 39% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 25% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for FC jazz and 100% for KPV-j, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Model chance vs price39% model chance against roughly 25% implied
Positive
The Over 2.5 trend is 20% for FC jazz.Visible data support
Positive
FC jazz are carrying more of the scoring load at.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers FC jazz are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with KPV-j at 1.4. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

FC jazz are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.6 goals per match, with KPV-j at 1.4.

BTTS rates of 60% for FC jazz and 80% for KPV-j show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC jazz1.6
Avg goals scored
KPV-j1.4
FC jazz0.8
Avg goals conceded
KPV-j3.6
FC jazz60%
BTTS rate
KPV-j80%
FC jazz20%
Over 2.5 goals
KPV-j100%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 25% · edge +13.5 pts
4
Check odds @ 4
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.07
Check odds @ 1.07
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
FC jazz to WinBet365 guide price · model 74%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
FC jazz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
KPV-j Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC jazz

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
29 Aug 2026H Inter Turku II2-0
23 Aug 2026A VJS1-1
15 Aug 2026A SalPa2-0
09 Aug 2026H OLS1-1
05 Aug 2026A Rops2-2

KPV-j

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
29 Aug 2026A JJK1-4
21 Aug 2026H KuPS Akatemia2-4
16 Aug 2026A Inter Turku II3-2
09 Aug 2026H VJS1-2
05 Aug 2026A Tampere United0-6
Best odds for this sectionFC jazz to WinBet365 guide price · Model 74% vs implied 69% · edge +5 pts
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 86%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
FC jazz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
KPV-j Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.45
Check odds @ 3.45
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%FC jazz Over 2.5
100%KPV-j Over 2.5
3.29H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: FC jazz sit at 20% and KPV-j sit at 100% with the H2H average at 3.29 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…