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FC jazz crestFC jazz
v
KPV-j crestKPV-j

Ykkönen | Thu 02 Jul, 17:00

FC jazz v KPV-j Stats

Data last updated: Thu 02 Jul 2026, 05:33 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

FC jazz and KPV-j meet in a Ykkönen clash where goal-scoring potential is a key focus. FC jazz have shown moderate scoring ability but a solid defensive record, while KPV-j have struggled defensively, conceding an average of 3.4 goals per game. KPV-j's matches have consistently featured multiple goals, indicating an open game likely to produce scoring chances. Both teams have a strong tendency for both teams to score, setting the stage for an attacking encounter with multiple goals expected.

BT4Y match pick

Over 2.5 Goals

  • KPV-j concedes 3.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate of both teams scoring in their matches.
  • FC jazz's matches see over 2.5 goals 40% of the time, KPV-j 100%.
  • Recent head-to-head matches average 3.67 goals per game.
  • FC jazz have earned 5 points in recent form, KPV-j 3 points, showing competitive but open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70.7% chance for over 2.5 goals, driven by KPV-j's porous defense and high BTTS rate for both sides. The recent head-to-head average of 3.67 goals supports an open, attacking game. FC jazz's moderate scoring combined with KPV-j's defensive struggles creates a strong likelihood of multiple goals. No price warnings apply, making this a solid standard stake selection based on attacking tendencies and defensive frailties.

KPV-j defensive weakness3.4 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Both teams to score rate80% for both teams
Strong positive
Head-to-head average goals3.67 goals per game
Positive
FC jazz over 2.5 goals rate40%
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking match given KPV-j's defensive struggles and FC jazz's willingness to score. The high average goals in recent head-to-head meetings and both teams' tendency to concede and score suggest over 2.5 goals is a logical outcome. Tactical openness and defensive lapses should create multiple scoring opportunities.

Main risk

The main risk is FC jazz's lower over 2.5 goals rate, which could limit total goals if they tighten defensively or KPV-j's attack underperforms.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goals and attacking potential

“KPV-j's defensive record combined with FC jazz's attacking intent sets up a fixture ripe for goals. The data clearly points to an open game with multiple scoring chances, making over 2.5 goals a compelling angle.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

KPV-j concedes 3.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Both teams have an 80% rate of both teams scoring in their matches.

FC jazz's matches see over 2.5 goals 40% of the time, KPV-j 100%.

Recent head-to-head matches average 3.67 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last six head-to-head matches average 3.67 goals, indicating a consistent trend of high-scoring encounters.
  • This recent sample suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness, reinforcing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC jazz1
Avg goals scored
KPV-j1.6
FC jazz1.2
Avg goals conceded
KPV-j3.4
FC jazz80%
BTTS rate
KPV-j80%
FC jazz40%
Over 2.5 goals
KPV-j100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 75% · edge -4.5 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 53%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Both teams have an 80% rate of both teams scoring, and KPV-j's matches always exceed 2.5 goals, indicating open play and defensive lapses. The head-to-head average of 3.67 goals further confirms a high-scoring trend likely to continue.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 75% · edge -4.5 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
KPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The over 2.5 goals market is supported by a strong of 70.7%, reflecting KPV-j's defensive vulnerabilities and consistent goal concessions. Without explicit , the pick is a standard stake recommendation based on clear football reasoning rather than price value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC jazz

LDDLW
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
25 Jun 2026H Tampere United0-1
12 Jun 2026A Inter Turku II1-1
06 Jun 2026H VJS1-1
28 May 2026H SalPa1-2
24 May 2026A OLS2-1

KPV-j

LLLWL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 9L
28 Jun 2026H PKKU1-3
13 Jun 2026H JJK2-3
05 Jun 2026A KuPS Akatemia1-4
29 May 2026H Inter Turku II4-2
23 May 2026A VJS0-5
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 51% vs implied 40% · edge +11.4 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 83%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
KPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Recent form shows FC jazz earning 5 points with a modest scoring rate, while KPV-j has 3 points but concedes heavily. This contrast suggests FC jazz may control play but face defensive challenges from KPV-j, supporting a match with multiple goals and attacking momentum.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1FC jazz wins
3Draws
2KPV-j wins
20 Apr 2026KPV-j v FC jazz0-2
23 Aug 2025FC jazz v KPV-j1-1
14 Jun 2025KPV-j v FC jazz3-1
28 Sep 2024KPV-j v FC jazz2-0
24 Aug 2024FC jazz v KPV-j3-3
08 Jun 2024KPV-j v FC jazz3-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 71% vs implied 75% · edge -4.5 pts
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
The six previous meetings between FC jazz and KPV-j have produced an average of 3.67 goals per game, strongly supporting the over 2.5 goals pick. This historical trend reflects attacking tactics and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides, making it a relevant and reliable indicator for this match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

FC jazz12
Played
KPV-j12
FC jazz1.2
Avg goals for
KPV-j0.8
FC jazz1.6
Avg goals against
KPV-j3.7
FC jazz2
Clean sheets
KPV-j1
Best odds for this sectionKPV-j Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 30% · edge +11.7 pts
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Load more odds for this section
FC jazz Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz to WinBetUK guide price · model 58%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Season stats highlight KPV-j's defensive frailty with 3.4 goals conceded per game and a 100% over 2.5 goals rate, contrasting with FC jazz's more balanced but still attack-oriented profile. This disparity underpins the expectation for a high-scoring fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
8FC jazz1412525-5
12KPV-j512129-34
FC jazz sits 8th with 14 points, while KPV-j is 12th with 5 points, reflecting KPV-j's struggles and need to attack to improve their position. This competitive pressure may lead to an open game with both sides pushing forward, increasing goal opportunities.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%FC jazz Over 2.5
100%KPV-j Over 2.5
3.67H2H avg goals
The last six head-to-head matches average 3.67 goals, indicating a consistent trend of high-scoring encounters. This recent sample suggests a fast tempo and attacking openness, reinforcing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.