Football Stats Hub

FC jazz crestFC jazz
v
KPV-j crestKPV-j

Ykkönen | Fri 11 Sep, 16:30

FC jazz v KPV-j Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ykkönen fixture features FC jazz hosting KPV-j in a contest where KPV-j seeks to improve on a challenging season marked by defensive struggles. FC jazz currently sits comfortably mid-table with solid recent form, while KPV-j is positioned lower and has conceded heavily. Despite this, KPV-j's resilience and potential to avoid defeat make the match tactically intriguing, with both teams likely to contest possession and chances cautiously. The game carries importance for KPV-j to secure points and climb the standings, adding competitive edge to the encounter.

BT4Y best bet

KPV-j Draw No Bet

  • KPV-j has a 42% to avoid defeat, significantly higher than the implied suggest.
  • FC jazz concedes fewer goals on average, but KPV-j's attacking threat is notable despite defensive issues.
  • KPV-j's recent matches show a high rate of BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals, indicating open play potential.
  • FC jazz's recent form is stronger, but KPV-j's value in the Draw No Bet market is supported by model .
  • Historical average goals per match stand at 3.29, suggesting a lively game with scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies KPV-j Draw No Bet as a strong value pick with a 42% chance to avoid defeat, contrasting with the market's 19% implied chance, offering a 23% . Despite KPV-j's defensive vulnerabilities, their ability to score and the likelihood of FC jazz not securing a win underpin this selection. The model at 68% reflects reasonable certainty, supported by recent form data and goal trends. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation. Limited player data means tactical and team form insights carry more weight in this analysis.

Model chance vs Implied chance42% vs 19%
Strong positive
Value edge23%
Strong positive
Model confidence68%
Positive
KPV-j defensive recordConcedes 3.6 goals per game
Negative
KPV-j attacking output1.4 goals per game with 80% BTTS rate
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

KPV-j Draw No Bet offers a tactical opportunity as KPV-j aims to avoid defeat against a mid-table FC jazz side. The data shows KPV-j's attacking potential and resilience despite defensive frailties, making this market a compelling choice for cautious backing. The model's and reinforce this selection as a smart approach to the fixture.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Value and tactical resilience

“KPV-j's defensive struggles are evident, but their attacking resilience and the Draw No Bet cushion provide a smart angle in this matchup. The market undervalues their chance to avoid defeat, making this a standout value bet.”

Key Data Signals

KPV-j Draw No Bet evidence

KPV-j has a 42% to avoid defeat, significantly higher than the implied suggest.

FC jazz concedes fewer goals on average, but KPV-j's attacking threat is notable despite defensive issues.

KPV-j's recent matches show a high rate of BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals, indicating open play potential.

FC jazz's recent form is stronger, but KPV-j's value in the Draw No Bet market is supported by model .

What To Watch In The Data

KPV-j Draw No Bet notes

  • In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.29, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring games.
  • This suggests an open tempo with both teams contributing to goal-scoring chances, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

FC jazz1.6
Avg goals scored
KPV-j1.4
FC jazz0.8
Avg goals conceded
KPV-j3.6
FC jazz60%
BTTS rate
KPV-j80%
FC jazz20%
Over 2.5 goals
KPV-j100%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.5 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.06
Check odds @ 1.06
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have shown tendencies for goals and BTTS in recent matches, with KPV-j featuring an 80% BTTS rate and FC jazz a 60% rate. The average of 3.29 goals in their head-to-head meetings supports expectations for an open game with scoring opportunities for both sides.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickKPV-j Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The KPV-j Draw No Bet market shows significant value, with the at 42% far exceeding the implied 19% . This discrepancy suggests the market underestimates KPV-j's ability to avoid defeat, making the current price attractive for bettors seeking value with a safety net against loss.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

FC jazz

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
29 Aug 2026H Inter Turku II2-0
23 Aug 2026A VJS1-1
15 Aug 2026A SalPa2-0
09 Aug 2026H OLS1-1
05 Aug 2026A Rops2-2

KPV-j

LLWLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 6L
29 Aug 2026A JJK1-4
21 Aug 2026H KuPS Akatemia2-4
16 Aug 2026A Inter Turku II3-2
09 Aug 2026H VJS1-2
05 Aug 2026A Tampere United0-6
Market aligned with main pickKPV-j Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
2.31
Check odds @ 2.31
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
FC jazz has accumulated 9 points recently with a solid defensive record, conceding only 0.8 goals per game, indicating stable form. KPV-j's recent form is weaker with 3 points and a leaky defense conceding 3.6 goals per game, but their attacking output and resilience keep them competitive in matches.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1FC jazz wins
3Draws
3KPV-j wins
02 Jul 2026FC jazz v KPV-j0-1
20 Apr 2026KPV-j v FC jazz0-2
23 Aug 2025FC jazz v KPV-j1-1
14 Jun 2025KPV-j v FC jazz3-1
28 Sep 2024KPV-j v FC jazz2-0
24 Aug 2024FC jazz v KPV-j3-3
Market aligned with main pickKPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 23% vs implied 21% · edge +1.9 pts
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
The seven previous meetings between FC jazz and KPV-j have averaged 3.29 goals per game, reflecting open contests with multiple scoring opportunities. While KPV-j has struggled defensively, the historical data suggests they can compete offensively, providing a moderate basis to expect a competitive match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ykkönen

FC jazz22
Played
KPV-j22
FC jazz1.5
Avg goals for
KPV-j1.1
FC jazz1.3
Avg goals against
KPV-j3.1
FC jazz5
Clean sheets
KPV-j3
Market aligned with main pickKPV-j Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 34% vs implied 19% · edge +15 pts
5.25
Check odds @ 5.25
Load more odds for this section
KPV-j to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Over the season, KPV-j's defense has been porous, conceding 3.6 goals per game, but their attack averages 1.4 goals with a high BTTS rate, suggesting matches often feature goals at both ends. FC jazz's balanced attack and defense provide a contrasting profile, supporting a competitive fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6FC jazz33229673
12KPV-j15224315-44
FC jazz sits 6th with 33 points, comfortably mid-table, while KPV-j is 12th with 15 points, facing pressure to improve. The standings highlight FC jazz's relative stability and KPV-j's need to secure points, adding competitive tension to the match without direct relegation threat implications.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%FC jazz Over 2.5
100%KPV-j Over 2.5
3.29H2H avg goals
In the last seven head-to-head matches, the average goals tally is 3.29, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring games. This suggests an open tempo with both teams contributing to goal-scoring chances, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel for this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Browse football stats pages

Open the main stats hub for the latest fixture dashboards.

Competition and hubs

player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre