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Rops crestRops
v
OLS crestOLS

Ykkönen | Sat 12 Sep, 12:00

Rops v OLS Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Rops face OLS in Ykkönen on Sat 12 Sep, 12:00. Rops come in with 8 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while OLS have 8 points and 2.2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

OLS to Win

  • At 3.5, OLS to Win implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the OLS to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 43% for OLS to Win sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the OLS to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Positive
Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +14.4 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: OLS Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the OLS Win angle more than a raw possession edge. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

OLS to Win evidence

Rops have the cleaner defensive sample at 2 conceded per match, which helps the OLS Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

OLS to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Rops1.8
    Avg goals scored
    OLS2.2
    Rops2
    Avg goals conceded
    OLS2.2
    Rops60%
    BTTS rate
    OLS100%
    Rops80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    OLS80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 74% · edge +2.5 pts
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.83
    Check odds @ 1.83
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 27%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 60% for Rops and 100% for OLS, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickOLS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    OLS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    OLS to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Rops

    WLDWD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 3D 2L
    29 Aug 2026H VJS2-0
    22 Aug 2026A Tampere United0-4
    15 Aug 2026A OLS3-3
    11 Aug 2026H KuPS Akatemia2-1
    05 Aug 2026H FC jazz2-2

    OLS

    WLDDW
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 4D 3L
    29 Aug 2026H Tampere United2-1
    22 Aug 2026A SalPa1-4
    15 Aug 2026H Rops3-3
    09 Aug 2026A FC jazz1-1
    05 Aug 2026H TPV4-2
    Market aligned with main pickOLS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 67%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    OLS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Rops wins
    3Draws
    5OLS wins
    15 Aug 2026OLS v Rops3-3
    02 Jun 2026Rops v OLS1-1
    07 Jul 2025OLS v Rops2-1
    26 Apr 2025Rops v OLS4-1
    05 Oct 2024Rops v OLS1-1
    17 Aug 2024Rops v OLS0-1
    Market aligned with main pickOLS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.33
    Check odds @ 1.33
    The head-to-head sample gives context for OLS to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Ykkönen

    Rops22
    Played
    OLS22
    Rops2.1
    Avg goals for
    OLS2
    Rops1.5
    Avg goals against
    OLS1.6
    Rops8
    Clean sheets
    OLS4
    Market aligned with main pickOLS to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 29% · edge +14.4 pts
    3.5
    Check odds @ 3.5
    Load more odds for this section
    OLS Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Season data supports OLS to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Rops Over 2.5
    80%OLS Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Rops sit at 80% and OLS sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.