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Vis Pesaro crestVis Pesaro
v
Reggiana crestReggiana

Serie C - Girone B | Wed 16 Sep, 20:00

Vis Pesaro v Reggiana Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Reggiana enters this Serie C - Girone B fixture in strong form, currently sitting third in the standings with eight points from their opening matches. Their solid defensive record, conceding just one goal on average, contrasts with Vis Pesaro's struggles near the bottom of the table, having secured only one point and conceding two goals per game. Reggiana's tactical discipline and recent momentum suggest they will control the match tempo, while Vis Pesaro's high over 2.5 goals rate indicates potential openness at the back, adding intrigue to this contest.

BT4Y best bet

Reggiana to Win

  • Reggiana holds a commanding third place with 8 points, showing consistent form.
  • Vis Pesaro is bottom of the table with just 1 point and defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Reggiana concedes only 1 goal per game on average, indicating defensive solidity.
  • Vis Pesaro's matches have a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking openness.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3.2, supporting a lively match environment.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Reggiana to win with a 70% chance, reflecting their superior form and defensive strength compared to Vis Pesaro. The price offers positive value with a 10.1% edge, indicating the market underestimates Reggiana's chances. While Vis Pesaro's high over 2.5 goals rate signals attacking intent, Reggiana's balanced approach and higher points tally make them the more likely victors. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Win Probability70%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance59.9%
Positive
Value Edge10.1%
Strong positive
Recent Form PointsReggiana 8 vs Vis Pesaro 1
Strong positive
Defensive RecordReggiana concedes 1 goal per game
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Reggiana's tactical discipline and strong recent form make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their defensive resilience and ability to control matches contrast with Vis Pesaro's struggles, providing a solid foundation for this pick.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Reggiana's consistent defensive performances and superior form position them well to capitalize on Vis Pesaro's defensive frailties in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Reggiana to Win evidence

Reggiana holds a commanding third place with 8 points, showing consistent form.

Vis Pesaro is bottom of the table with just 1 point and defensive vulnerabilities.

Reggiana concedes only 1 goal per game on average, indicating defensive solidity.

Vis Pesaro's matches have a 75% rate of over 2.5 goals, suggesting attacking openness.

What To Watch In The Data

Reggiana to Win notes

  • Over the last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals trend is prominent, especially with Vis Pesaro's 75% rate and a 3.2 average in head-to-head meetings.
  • This suggests a match tempo conducive to multiple goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Vis Pesaro1
Avg goals scored
Reggiana1.75
Vis Pesaro2
Avg goals conceded
Reggiana1
Vis Pesaro75%
BTTS rate
Reggiana100%
Vis Pesaro75%
Over 2.5 goals
Reggiana50%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 83%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 47%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams show contrasting goal trends: Vis Pesaro's matches have a 75% over 2.5 goals rate and 75% BTTS rate, indicating open games, while Reggiana's 50% over 2.5 and 100% BTTS rates suggest balanced attacking and defensive play. The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals supports expectations of a lively contest with goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickReggiana to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Reggiana Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The for Reggiana to win reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model assigning a 70% chance against a market-implied 59.9%. This suggests the market underestimates Reggiana's likelihood of victory, making the current price attractive for bettors seeking value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Vis Pesaro

LLDL
Last 50W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 3L
12 Sep 2026A Forli1-2
05 Sep 2026H Ostia Mare1-2
30 Aug 2026H Perugia2-2
22 Aug 2026A Pescara0-2

Reggiana

DWWD
Last 52W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 0L
12 Sep 2026A Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
06 Sep 2026H Vado3-1
30 Aug 2026A Gubbio2-1
24 Aug 2026H Ravenna1-1
Market aligned with main pickReggiana to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Reggiana Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Reggiana's recent form is markedly superior, accumulating 8 points compared to Vis Pesaro's single point. This reflects Reggiana's ability to secure results consistently, underpinned by a stronger defense and more effective attack, which should translate into and control in this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Vis Pesaro wins
0Draws
5Reggiana wins
05 Mar 2023Vis Pesaro v Reggiana0-3
29 Oct 2022Reggiana v Vis Pesaro3-0
15 Mar 2022Reggiana v Vis Pesaro3-1
07 Nov 2021Vis Pesaro v Reggiana0-3
17 Nov 2019Reggiana v Vis Pesaro2-1
Market aligned with main pickReggiana to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
The five previous meetings between these teams have averaged 3.2 goals per game, indicating historically open and competitive encounters. While this supports expectations of goals, the head-to-head data is moderate and should be considered alongside current form and tactical setups.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Vis Pesaro4
Played
Reggiana4
Vis Pesaro1
Avg goals for
Reggiana1.8
Vis Pesaro2
Avg goals against
Reggiana1
Vis Pesaro0
Clean sheets
Reggiana0
Market aligned with main pickReggiana to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Reggiana Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Season statistics highlight Reggiana's balanced approach, averaging 1.75 goals scored and only 1 conceded per game, contrasting with Vis Pesaro's lower scoring and weaker defense. This profile supports Reggiana's capacity to manage the game and capitalize on scoring chances.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Reggiana842203
20Vis Pesaro14013-4
Reggiana's third-place position with 8 points underscores their strong start and competitive edge in the league, while Vis Pesaro's bottom placement with 1 point reflects struggles that may continue. The standings context reinforces Reggiana's status as favorites in this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

75%Vis Pesaro Over 2.5
50%Reggiana Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, the Over 2.5 goals trend is prominent, especially with Vis Pesaro's 75% rate and a 3.2 average in head-to-head meetings. This suggests a match tempo conducive to multiple goals, driven by attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.