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Grosseto crestGrosseto
v
Campobasso FC crestCampobasso FC

Serie C - Girone B | Wed 16 Sep, 17:30

Grosseto v Campobasso FC Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Grosseto face Campobasso FC in Serie C - Girone B on Wed 16 Sep, 17:30. Grosseto come in with 8 recent points and 1.25 goals per match, while Campobasso FC have 6 points and 1.25 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Grosseto to Win

  • At 2.55, Grosseto to Win implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 54%.
  • Grosseto have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Campobasso FC.
  • Grosseto have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Grosseto to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Grosseto sit 4 in the table, while Campobasso FC sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 54% for Grosseto to Win sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. Grosseto have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Campobasso FC.

Model chance vs price54% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Strong positive
Grosseto have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points.Visible data support
Positive
Grosseto have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Grosseto Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Grosseto have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Campobasso FC. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Grosseto to Win evidence

Grosseto have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 6 for Campobasso FC.

Grosseto have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Grosseto Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Grosseto sit 4 in the table, while Campobasso FC sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Grosseto to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Grosseto1.25
    Avg goals scored
    Campobasso FC1.25
    Grosseto0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Campobasso FC1.25
    Grosseto50%
    BTTS rate
    Campobasso FC25%
    Grosseto25%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Campobasso FC25%
    Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 63% · edge +3.5 pts
    1.6
    Check odds @ 1.6
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 22%
    4.33
    Check odds @ 4.33
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Under 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 25% for Grosseto and 25% for Campobasso FC, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Grosseto

    DWWD
    Last 52W 2D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 2D 0L
    12 Sep 2026A Pianese0-0
    06 Sep 2026H Torres2-0
    29 Aug 2026A Ostia Mare2-1
    23 Aug 2026H Spezia1-1

    Campobasso FC

    WLLW
    Last 52W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 2L
    12 Sep 2026A Vado1-0
    05 Sep 2026H Gubbio2-4
    29 Aug 2026A Spezia0-1
    23 Aug 2026H Pianese2-0
    Market aligned with main pickGrosseto to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 81%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Grosseto Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

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    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Grosseto842203
    10Campobasso FC642020
    Grosseto sit in position 4, while Campobasso FC sit in position 10, so table pressure belongs in the Grosseto to Win assessment.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickGrosseto to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Grosseto Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    Grosseto to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Grosseto wins
    0Draws
    0Campobasso FC wins
    21 Aug 2021Grosseto v Campobasso FC2-1
    Market aligned with main pickGrosseto to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 54%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 37%
    2.3
    Check odds @ 2.3
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Grosseto to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Serie C - Girone B

    Grosseto4
    Played
    Campobasso FC4
    Grosseto1.3
    Avg goals for
    Campobasso FC1.3
    Grosseto0.5
    Avg goals against
    Campobasso FC1.3
    Grosseto2
    Clean sheets
    Campobasso FC2
    Market aligned with main pickGrosseto to WinBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
    2.55
    Check odds @ 2.55
    Load more odds for this section
    Grosseto Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 64%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Season data supports Grosseto to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    25%Grosseto Over 2.5
    25%Campobasso FC Over 2.5
    3H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Grosseto sit at 25% and Campobasso FC sit at 25% with the H2H average at 3 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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