Football Stats Hub

Latina crestLatina
v
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 crestGuidonia Montecelio 1937

Serie C - Girone B | Wed 16 Sep, 17:30

Latina v Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Stats

Data last updated: Tue 15 Sep 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Latina face Guidonia Montecelio 1937 in Serie C - Girone B on Wed 16 Sep, 17:30. Latina come in with 4 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 have 7 points and 1.5 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.1, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Latina show a 50% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Latina average 1 goals scored and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price. Latina show a 50% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Positive
Latina show a 50% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937.Visible data support
Positive
Latina average 1 goals scored and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Latina show a 50% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Latina show a 50% BTTS rate and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 show a 50% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Latina average 1 goals scored and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 average 1.5, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Latina1
Avg goals scored
Guidonia Montecelio 19371.5
Latina1.5
Avg goals conceded
Guidonia Montecelio 19370.75
Latina50%
BTTS rate
Guidonia Montecelio 193750%
Latina50%
Over 2.5 goals
Guidonia Montecelio 193750%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +14.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Latina

LWLD
Last 51W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 2L
12 Sep 2026A Gubbio1-3
05 Sep 2026H Forli2-0
29 Aug 2026A Ravenna1-3
23 Aug 2026H Pineto0-0

Guidonia Montecelio 1937

DWLW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
12 Sep 2026H Reggiana1-1
05 Sep 2026H Pianese1-0
30 Aug 2026A Atalanta II1-2
22 Aug 2026H Gubbio3-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Load more odds for this section
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Latina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Latina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Guidonia Montecelio 1937742113
16Latina44112-2
Latina sit in position 16, while Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit in position 5, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +14.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Latina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Latina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Latina wins
3Draws
1Guidonia Montecelio 1937 wins
19 Jan 2024Latina v Guidonia Montecelio 19371-0
18 Sep 2023Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Latina2-2
04 Mar 2023Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Latina0-0
30 Oct 2022Latina v Guidonia Montecelio 19370-2
24 Apr 2022Guidonia Montecelio 1937 v Latina0-1
19 Dec 2021Latina v Guidonia Montecelio 19373-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +14.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Latina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Season team stats

Serie C - Girone B

Latina4
Played
Guidonia Montecelio 19374
Latina1
Avg goals for
Guidonia Montecelio 19371.5
Latina1.5
Avg goals against
Guidonia Montecelio 19370.8
Latina2
Clean sheets
Guidonia Montecelio 19372
Best odds for this sectionGuidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Load more odds for this section
Guidonia Montecelio 1937 to WinBetMGM guide price · model 48%
3
Check odds @ 3
Latina Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Latina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Season data supports Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Latina Over 2.5
50%Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Over 2.5
2.33H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Latina sit at 50% and Guidonia Montecelio 1937 sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.33 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.