Football Stats Hub

Viking crestViking
v
Lillestrom crestLillestrom

Eliteserien | Sun 20 Sep, 16:00

Viking v Lillestrom Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lillestrom hosts Viking in a pivotal Eliteserien clash where both sides bring strong attacking credentials and high stakes. Lillestrom, fourth in the league, have shown resilience and attacking intent at home, averaging over two goals per match and recently bouncing back with solid wins. Viking, second in the table, lead the league in scoring with over 2.5 goals per game and possess a potent offense spearheaded by Zlatko Tripic. Both teams control similar possession levels, setting the stage for an open, intense contest where defensive discipline and attacking execution will be crucial.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Lillestrom average 2.17 goals per home match, showing strong attacking intent.
  • Viking lead the league with 31 goals in 12 matches, indicating offensive strength.
  • Key creators Zlatko Tripic and Felix Va drive their teams’ scoring and assist tallies.
  • Historical meetings and recent form suggest a high likelihood of goals at both ends.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Viking’s league-leading goal tally and high shot volume contrast with Lillestrom’s solid home scoring and occasional defensive lapses. The match context, including recent fixtures and historical high-scoring encounters, supports an open game with goals at both ends. No price warning is needed as the fairly reflect this probability, making this a confident selection based on balanced offensive and defensive data.

Model Chance76%
Strong positive
Viking Scoring Rate2.58 goals per game
Strong positive
Lillestrom Home Goals2.17 goals per home match
Positive
Historical H2H Goals3.7 average goals per match
Positive
Defensive VulnerabilitiesViking conceded in 4 of last 5 matches
Positive
Main risk

Their response to promotion has been anything but timid.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with potent offenses and some defensive frailties, setting up a likely scenario where both teams find the net. Viking’s attacking volume and Lillestrom’s home goal-scoring record make BTTS a compelling selection.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Lillestrom average 2.17 goals per home match, showing strong attacking intent.

Viking lead the league with 31 goals in 12 matches, indicating offensive strength.

Key creators Zlatko Tripic and Felix Va drive their teams’ scoring and assist tallies.

Historical meetings and recent form suggest a high likelihood of goals at both ends.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.7, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games.
  • Viking’s 80% rate of over 2.5 goals and 100% BTTS rate in recent away matches further underline the likelihood of an open, goal-filled contest.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Viking8.6
Avg corners for
Lillestrom6.2
Viking15
Avg total corners
Lillestrom12.2
Viking0.8
Avg yellow cards
Lillestrom1.8
Viking18.4
Avg shots
Lillestrom13.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Viking’s higher average of 8.6 corners and 18.4 shots per match compared to Lillestrom’s 6.2 corners and 13.2 shots indicates sustained attacking pressure. Lillestrom’s higher average of 1.8 yellow cards per game suggests a physical approach that could lead to set-piece opportunities and open play chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Viking2.8
Avg goals scored
Lillestrom1.2
Viking1.2
Avg goals conceded
Lillestrom1.6
Viking100%
BTTS rate
Lillestrom60%
Viking80%
Over 2.5 goals
Lillestrom40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 39%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 47%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 28%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both teams have demonstrated consistent scoring ability, with Viking averaging over 2.5 goals per game and Lillestrom scoring frequently at home. Historical encounters average 3.7 goals per match, reinforcing the expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Lillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Viking Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Viking to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.5, reflecting an implied chance of 66.7%, while the model suggests a higher 76% probability. This indicates positive value and in goals from both sides, supported by their attacking stats and recent scoring trends.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Viking

WDWLW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
13 Sep 2026H Kristiansund BK8-1
04 Sep 2026A Sandefjord1-1
30 Aug 2026H Aalesund2-1
14 Aug 2026A Rosenborg1-2
08 Aug 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF2-1

Lillestrom

WWLDL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
12 Sep 2026H Valerenga2-0
05 Sep 2026A Brann2-1
30 Aug 2026H Fredrikstad1-4
15 Aug 2026A KFUM Oslo1-1
09 Aug 2026H Rosenborg0-2
Best odds for this sectionLillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Load more odds for this section
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Viking Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Viking to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
Recent form data shows Viking with 4 wins in their last 5 matches, scoring 2.8 goals per game, while Lillestrom have 3 wins in 5 with 1.2 goals per game. Both teams have conceded goals regularly, supporting the BTTS selection as both sides have offensive momentum but defensive vulnerabilities.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Viking wins
1Draws
2Lillestrom wins
22 Jul 2026Lillestrom v Viking1-2
29 Sep 2024Lillestrom v Viking1-4
16 May 2024Viking v Lillestrom1-4
13 Aug 2023Lillestrom v Viking1-3
15 Apr 2023Viking v Lillestrom2-0
26 Feb 2023Viking v Lillestrom2-2
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 76% vs implied 67% · edge +9.3 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Viking to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
DrawBetUK guide price · model 22%
4.75
Check odds @ 4.75
The last 10 meetings between Viking and Lillestrom have averaged 3.7 goals per game, with Viking winning four of the last six encounters. These high-scoring matches suggest a strong historical trend supporting goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS selection.
Season team stats

Eliteserien

Viking20
Played
Lillestrom20
Viking2.6
Avg goals for
Lillestrom1.4
Viking1
Avg goals against
Lillestrom1.3
Viking5
Clean sheets
Lillestrom6
Best odds for this sectionLillestrom Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
Load more odds for this section
Viking Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 77%
1.26
Check odds @ 1.26
Viking to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Lillestrom to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Over the season, Viking lead the league in scoring with 31 goals in 12 matches, while Lillestrom have a strong defensive record but still concede at a rate allowing goals in most matches. Both teams’ season stats align with an expectation of goals at both ends in this fixture.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Viking4720152331
6Lillestrom322010282
Viking sit second with 47 points, closely chasing the leader, while Lillestrom are fifth with 32 points. The tight competition heightens the stakes, encouraging attacking play from both sides to secure vital points, which supports an open game with goals from both teams.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Viking Over 2.5
40%Lillestrom Over 2.5
3.7H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 3.7, indicating a trend towards high-scoring games. Viking’s 80% rate of over 2.5 goals and 100% BTTS rate in recent away matches further underline the likelihood of an open, goal-filled contest.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.