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Tromso crestTromso
v
Ham-Kam crestHam-Kam

Eliteserien | Sun 20 Sep, 16:00

Tromso v Ham-Kam Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Tromso and Ham-Kam meet in an Eliteserien clash where both sides have shown contrasting defensive records but a shared tendency to concede goals. Tromso, positioned 4th, have a potent attack but a leaky defense, while Ham-Kam, 11th, struggle defensively but remain capable of scoring. Recent matches highlight open play and goal-scoring opportunities for both teams, setting the stage for a contest likely to see goals at both ends. Tactical setups suggest neither side will sit back, increasing the chance for a lively, goal-filled encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.
  • Tromso averages 11.2 shots per game with 5.6 on target, showing attacking intent.
  • Ham-Kam concedes 3 goals per game but also scores, supporting BTTS potential.
  • Recent form shows Tromso scoring 2.2 goals per match and Ham-Kam 0.8, both conceding regularly.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.6 over 10 matches, reinforcing goal likelihood.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking output and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides. Tromso's high shot volume and Ham-Kam's willingness to attack despite defensive frailties create a scenario ripe for goals at both ends. The 12.9% and 1.75 indicate this pick offers good value without price warnings. Player data supports this with key attackers like Ieltsin Camões and M. Alassane Niang contributing goal threats, enhancing the likelihood of goals from both teams.

Model Probability70% chance for BTTS
Strong positive
Value Edge12.9% positive edge at 1.75 odds
Strong positive
Recent FormBoth teams score in 60% of recent matches
Positive
Player Attacking StatsKey attackers with strong shot and goal rates
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

The tactical openness and attacking roles of Tromso and Ham-Kam suggest goals at both ends are likely. Tromso's offensive pressure combined with Ham-Kam's resilience and occasional counterattacks provide a strong foundation for both teams to find the net. Data on shots, goals, and BTTS rates further reinforce this expectation, making Both Teams to Score a compelling choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS likelihood

“Both teams possess attacking players capable of breaking down defenses, and their defensive records suggest vulnerabilities that can be exploited. This match is set for goals at both ends, driven by tactical openness and key players' finishing abilities.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent mutual scoring.

Tromso averages 11.2 shots per game with 5.6 on target, showing attacking intent.

Ham-Kam concedes 3 goals per game but also scores, supporting BTTS potential.

Recent form shows Tromso scoring 2.2 goals per match and Ham-Kam 0.8, both conceding regularly.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.6, reflecting a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (60% for Tromso, 80% for Ham-Kam) indicate a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, aligning with the BTTS expectation.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Tromso2.2
Avg goals scored
Ham-Kam0.8
Tromso2.4
Avg goals conceded
Ham-Kam3
Tromso60%
BTTS rate
Ham-Kam60%
Tromso60%
Over 2.5 goals
Ham-Kam80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 48%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
2
Check odds @ 2
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, supported by Tromso's 2.2 goals scored and Ham-Kam's 0.8, alongside defensive frailties conceding 2.4 and 3 goals respectively. The head-to-head average of 2.6 goals per match over 10 meetings underscores a pattern of open games with goals from both sides.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Ham-Kam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Tromso to WinBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.75 with a of 70%, indicating clear value. The positive of nearly 13% suggests the underestimate the likelihood of both teams scoring, making this a favorable bet without price sensitivity concerns.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Tromso4.4
Avg corners for
Ham-Kam5.4
Tromso9
Avg total corners
Ham-Kam10.6
Tromso2
Avg yellow cards
Ham-Kam1.4
Tromso11.2
Avg shots
Ham-Kam9.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 53% · edge +5.7 pts
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Tromso averages 4.4 corners and 11.2 shots per game with 5.6 on target, reflecting sustained attacking pressure. Ham-Kam's 5.4 corners and 9.8 shots per game indicate active offensive efforts. Discipline is moderate with Tromso averaging 2 yellows and Ham-Kam 1.4, suggesting a balanced but competitive match environment conducive to attacking play.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Tromso

LLDLW
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
12 Sep 2026A Rosenborg3-5
06 Sep 2026A Kristiansund BK0-2
30 Aug 2026H Sarpsborg 08 FF0-0
16 Aug 2026A Molde2-3
02 Aug 2026A Aalesund6-2

Ham-Kam

LLDLD
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 3D 6L
13 Sep 2026H Molde1-5
05 Sep 2026A Rosenborg0-4
30 Aug 2026H Kristiansund BK2-2
16 Aug 2026A Brann0-3
09 Aug 2026H Aalesund1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 86% vs implied 89% · edge -3.3 pts
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
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Ham-Kam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 46%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Tromso to WinBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Recent form shows Tromso scoring 2.2 goals per game and conceding 2.4, while Ham-Kam scores 0.8 but concedes 3. Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, reflecting a pattern of mutual scoring in recent matches and reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

7Tromso wins
2Draws
1Ham-Kam wins
18 Jul 2026Ham-Kam v Tromso1-4
21 Sep 2025Tromso v Ham-Kam1-0
22 Jun 2025Ham-Kam v Tromso1-3
22 Mar 2025Tromso v Ham-Kam2-0
03 Nov 2024Tromso v Ham-Kam3-3
07 Jul 2024Ham-Kam v Tromso0-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Tromso to WinBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBet365 guide price · model 23%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
The 10 previous meetings between Tromso and Ham-Kam have averaged 2.6 goals per game, suggesting a history of open contests. This sample supports the likelihood of both teams scoring, though the trend is moderate and should be considered alongside current form and tactical setups.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Tromso20
Played
Ham-Kam20
Tromso1.9
Avg goals for
Ham-Kam1.4
Tromso1.4
Avg goals against
Ham-Kam2.1
Tromso9
Clean sheets
Ham-Kam4
Best odds for this sectionHam-Kam Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 42% vs implied 28% · edge +13.8 pts
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Load more odds for this section
Tromso to WinBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Tromso Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Ham-Kam to WinBet365 guide price · model 23%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
Season-long data reveals Tromso's strong attacking numbers offset by defensive vulnerabilities, while Ham-Kam's defense concedes frequently despite lower scoring output. Both teams' BTTS rates at 60% highlight a consistent trend of both sides finding the net, supporting the BTTS market selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
4Tromso3520105510
11Ham-Kam2320659-14
Tromso sits 4th with 35 points, indicating competitive form, while Ham-Kam is 11th with 23 points, facing pressure to improve. The standings suggest Tromso may push for control, but Ham-Kam's need for points could encourage attacking risk, increasing the chance of goals from both teams.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Tromso Over 2.5
80%Ham-Kam Over 2.5
2.6H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2.6, reflecting a moderately high-scoring trend. Both teams' recent over 2.5 goals rates (60% for Tromso, 80% for Ham-Kam) indicate a tempo and openness conducive to multiple goals, aligning with the BTTS expectation.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.