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Molde crestMolde
v
Aalesund crestAalesund

Eliteserien | Sat 19 Sep, 17:00

Molde v Aalesund Stats

Data last updated: Fri 18 Sep 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Molde face Aalesund in Eliteserien on Sat 19 Sep, 17:00. Molde come in with 12 recent points and 3 goals per match, while Aalesund have 5 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 2.25, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 44%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 59%.
  • Molde show a 80% BTTS rate and Aalesund show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Molde average 3 goals scored and Aalesund average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 59% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 44% implied by the current price. Molde show a 80% BTTS rate and Aalesund show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price59% model chance against roughly 44% implied
Strong positive
Molde show a 80% BTTS rate and Aalesund show a.Visible data support
Positive
Molde average 3 goals scored and Aalesund average 2, so.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Molde show a 80% BTTS rate and Aalesund show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Molde show a 80% BTTS rate and Aalesund show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Molde average 3 goals scored and Aalesund average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Molde3
Avg goals scored
Aalesund2
Molde1.6
Avg goals conceded
Aalesund2
Molde80%
BTTS rate
Aalesund80%
Molde80%
Over 2.5 goals
Aalesund60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.05
Check odds @ 1.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 28%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Molde v Aalesund predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Aalesund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Molde to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Aalesund to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
6
Check odds @ 6
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Molde5.6
Avg corners for
Aalesund5.6
Molde8.8
Avg total corners
Aalesund13.4
Molde2
Avg yellow cards
Aalesund2.4
Molde18.8
Avg shots
Aalesund17.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 10.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Molde

WWWWL
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
13 Sep 2026A Ham-Kam5-1
06 Sep 2026H KFUM Oslo2-0
30 Aug 2026A Valerenga4-3
16 Aug 2026H Tromso3-2
09 Aug 2026A Kristiansund BK1-2

Aalesund

LWLDD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 5D 4L
13 Sep 2026A KFUM Oslo1-2
04 Sep 2026H Start2-0
30 Aug 2026A Viking1-2
16 Aug 2026H Valerenga5-5
09 Aug 2026A Ham-Kam1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Load more odds for this section
Aalesund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 39%
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 86%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Molde to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Aalesund to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
6
Check odds @ 6
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8Molde wins
1Draws
1Aalesund wins
11 Jul 2026Aalesund v Molde2-2
27 Feb 2026Molde v Aalesund4-1
16 May 2023Aalesund v Molde3-1
03 May 2023Molde v Aalesund3-0
25 Mar 2023Aalesund v Molde0-3
18 Sep 2022Molde v Aalesund3-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Load more odds for this section
Molde to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 76%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Aalesund to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 18%
6
Check odds @ 6
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Eliteserien

Molde20
Played
Aalesund20
Molde2.2
Avg goals for
Aalesund1.6
Molde1.5
Avg goals against
Aalesund2.3
Molde4
Clean sheets
Aalesund1
Best odds for this sectionAalesund Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 39% vs implied 24% · edge +15 pts
4.25
Check odds @ 4.25
Load more odds for this section
Molde Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 78%
1.21
Check odds @ 1.21
Molde to WinBetMGM guide price · model 74%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Aalesund to WinBetMGM guide price · model 23%
7
Check odds @ 7
Season data supports Aalesund Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Molde3620113613
15Aalesund1820398-14
Molde sit in position 3, while Aalesund sit in position 15, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Molde Over 2.5
60%Aalesund Over 2.5
3.9H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Molde sit at 80% and Aalesund sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.9 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Molde v Aalesund prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Competition and hubs

Molde v Aalesund predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hub

Next step

Betting context

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